BNB has slipped below its long-standing bullish trendline, raising fresh concerns about a deeper pullback. However, the selloff is unfolding right into a key support zone, where multiple technical signals hint that buyers may be preparing for a counter-move. With breakdown risk clashing against early rebound signs, BNB now sits at a pivotal moment that could define the next major move.

Bullish Trendline Break Signals A Change In BNB Market Character

According to crypto analyst Marcus Corvinus, BNB has just experienced a significant structural shift by losing its long-held bullish trendline. This technical break is a critical development that is rapidly changing the market mood from optimism to caution, as a primary support trendline has been invalidated.

The analyst noted that while the price had been respecting this upward trend for a considerable period, this decisive break indicates that buyers are finally losing control. Momentum is visibly cooling off, providing sellers with the necessary opening to press and take command of the short-term price action.

Corvinus warned that if the price fails to reclaim the broken trendline, the path will likely open for a much deeper move to the downside. He emphasized that this current behavior appears to be a fundamental shift in market structure rather than just a typical small pullback, suggesting a more prolonged period of weakness.

Thus, the market has now entered a caution zone, with the analyst noting that bears are knocking on the door of lower support levels. The next major reaction from the market will be the deciding factor in whether BNB can recover its uptrend or embark on a new, sustained bearish trajectory.

Confluence Emerges At Key Support Zone

In a recent update shared on X, analyst Batman revealed that BNB is currently carving out a highly attractive long setup. The asset is exhibiting a rare alignment of multiple technical indicators, suggesting that the current price level may serve as a powerful launchpad for the next leg up.

This setup is rooted in a confluence of support levels. Specifically, BNB is resting within a strong bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG). This high-interest zone has seen a positive reaction from the market, as the price tapped the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level.

To further bolster the bullish conviction, the momentum oscillators have aligned with the price action. Batman pointed out that the Stochastic indicator has officially formed a bullish divergence followed by a golden cross. Significantly, this combination signals that selling exhaustion has been reached and that buyers may be regaining control, thereby paving the way for a potential sustained price recovery.

In the midst of the waning action of the Ethereum price, investor sentiment, especially those on centralized exchanges, appears to be holding remarkably strong. Despite experiencing a pullback, causing ETH to lose the $3,000 price mark, the overall supply of the altcoin on cryptocurrency exchanges has fallen sharply, reaching a new multi-year low.

Exchange-Held Ethereum Hits New Low

Ethereum is becoming less prevalent on centralized exchanges at a rate that is difficult to ignore, indicating a significant change in the way investors are placing themselves. A CryptoQuant report from Arab Chain, a market expert and author, reveals that ETH exchange supply is steadily declining, reaching one of the lowest levels in years.

Specifically, the metric has dropped to its lowest levels since 2016, indicating a shift towards long-term holding and less selling pressure. As more ETH shifts from trading platforms to long-term storage or self-custody, the amount of available sell-side liquidity keeps getting tighter.

Arab Chain highlighted that the current state of ETH reflects a significant change in supply behavior across crypto exchanges, as indicated by the Exchange Supply Ratio across all platforms. The metric shows that the percentage of ETH held in exchanges has been steadily declining, which is important to comprehend the present supply and demand equilibrium.

According to the chart reading, the Exchange Supply Ratio is currently at the 0.137 level, marking one of the lowest points since 2016. This decline points to a rise in ETH outflow from exchanges to external wallets, which suggests demand for immediate selling has decreased.

Historically, such behavior signaling a growing preference for long-term holdings often emerges during periods of reaccumulation. It also manifests in the lead-up to more stable price movements following periods of volatility.

ETH Withdrawal Highly Evidenced On The Binance Platform

On Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange, the Exchange Supply Ratio has dropped to around 0.0325, a relatively low level in comparison to previous months. What this implies is that there is a noticeable ETH withdrawal from Binance‘s wallets, which is the biggest exchange in terms of liquidity. 

As a result, the supply of ETH available on the platform for immediate sale in the spot market decreases. Arab Chain noted that this dynamic reflects growing trader caution and a decline in short-term selling pressure. An interesting aspect of this trend is that withdrawals are rising even while ETH’s price is facing heightened volatility.

During the time of the research, Ethereum was trading near $2,960, a mid-range level that reflects a relative balance between supply and demand. The decreasing supply on exchanges, coupled with price stability, indicates that there is not much selling pressure on the market. Rather, it is going through a process of repositioning and absorbing liquidity.

The idea that Bitcoin’s halving operates on a fixed four-year timetable has become one of the most oversimplified narratives in the crypto markets. While the halving still reduces new supply, its influence is no longer confined to predictable timelines or uniform outcomes. As BTC matures into a globally traded asset, the forces shaping its market behavior have expanded beyond the event.

How The Cycle Narrative Became Oversimplified

In an X post, an analyst known as Deg_ape revealed that the Bitcoin halving cycle was never a rigid four-year clock. BTC’s cycle has always been about phase transitions, shifting liquidity conditions, and market behavior, but never about buying every four years and selling four years later. This cycle actually maps macro bear phases that expand, contract, overlap, and stretch based on macro flows and positioning. 

The four-year cycle still exists, but it is not a linear process. Deg_ape explains that BTC halvings act as a structural anchor, not a price guarantee. This is why market tops usually arrive later than most expect and why bear markets last longer than people can tolerate. Trying to time the BTC market cycle without understanding that these phase dynamics can lead to expensive mistakes.

Kyle Chassé has pointed out that Bitcoin dipped, and traders stopped watching the printer, which is a big mistake. This is the most dangerous divergence in the market as price is down, but liquidity is vertical. While traders were panicking and selling their slips, the US Treasury and the Fed quietly injected around $130 billion of fresh liquidity into the system. 

This shows that liquidity would lead the price, but it won’t do it instantly. There’s a big lag as liquidity will flood the market first, then the assets will reprice. However, a red candle on a green liquidity chart isn’t a crash, but a mispricing. While the printer is screaming up, the price chart is whispering down.

Why Retail Holders Are Capitulating At A Historic Rate

A crypto analyst known as OnChainCollege outlined that retail holders are under pressure. On-chain data shows the deepest 30-day balance decline among retail wallets since 2018, a level typically associated with periods of extreme fear and capitulation. While retail balances are falling sharply, larger holder cohorts are quietly absorbing the difference. 

The market sentiment has split into two groups with polar-opposite perspectives from retail that are reacting to price action against larger holders that are responding to structure, liquidity, and long-term positioning. In the meantime, the OG whales have continued to distribute throughout this bull market, but Mega whales and institutional participants are stepping in as the marginal buyers.

Bitcoin has entered a critical make-or-break phase as price clings to key weekly support while momentum continues to fade. Despite holding above a major confluence zone, repeated rejections overhead suggest buyers are losing control. With macro pressure building and liquidity levels still untested, the next move from here could define whether BTC stabilizes or slides into a deeper reset.

Lower-Timeframe Rejection Keeps The Downtrend In Control

Crypto analyst Michael Van De Poppe revealed in a recent post that Bitcoin has faced a clear rejection at a key resistance level. This failure signals that the short-term downtrend remains intact on lower timeframes, confirming that selling pressure currently outweighs buying momentum in the immediate term.

To flip this short-term bias, Van de Poppe expects a clear breakout above the $88,000 level. A successful move above this mark would serve as a strong, unequivocal signal to the markets that the corrective phase is over and that upward momentum is likely to take hold from that point forward.

If buyers fail to achieve this necessary breakout, it remains highly probable that the price will pursue liquidity targets below, specifically targeting a test at $83,000 for liquidity. Should that fail, a further descent to the $80,000 level will trigger stop-losses.

Finally, Van De Poppe connected the technical outlook to the broader economic environment. Given the high volume of macroeconomic events scheduled to take place over the course of the week, such as FOMC, Poppe believes that the market could experience significant volatility and end up reaching one of the predicted downside liquidity tests.

$93,000 Rejection Stalls Momentum, but Weekly Structure Still Intact

According to a weekly chart update by Crypto Damus, Bitcoin recently faced a firm rejection at the $93,000 resistance level. Despite that setback, price action remains constructive for now, with BTC holding above the crucial $86,000 weekly support zone. This area is reinforced with the key 100-week moving average confluence, making it an important level to watch in the near term.

That said, the broader structure still leaves room for deeper downside. Crypto Damus notes that a full retracement toward the rising wedge breakdown target cannot be ruled out, which aligns closely with the April low around the $78,000 region. A move into that zone would represent a more pronounced corrective phase within the larger cycle.

Looking further ahead, a deeper bear-market-style retest may ultimately present a more attractive long-term opportunity. A revisit of the $70,000 level is highlighted as a potential high-conviction buying area, should the market extend its pullback.

Solana’s price may be slowly regaining upward momentum once again following weeks of bearish action due to the volatile condition of the broader cryptocurrency market. While the price may have displayed weakness during the period, the SOL network appears to be holding strong even with waning on-chain activity.

Interest In Solana Bolstering The Network’s Dominance

In the blockchain sector, many analysts consider the Solana network as the apex of all blockchains due to its robust and fast performance. According to recent data, the blockchain continues to stand out from the rest of the cryptocurrency market, even as the hysteria over meme coins slowly fades away.

CryptoRank, a leading crypto industry researcher and data analytics platform, shared the data in a recent post on the social media platform X. Short-term traders may be moving away from viral tokens, and speculative activity may have decreased, but Solana’s core indicators reveal a very different picture.

Interestingly, on-chain gambling and meme mania are frequently linked to SOL, but the network continues to outpace other chains in a fading meme market. This discrepancy indicates that Solana is well-positioned as market conditions change since its strength is increasingly based on fundamentals rather than speculation.

As seen in the data shared by the platform, Solana remains at the number 1 spot across most major blockchain metrics. This position highlights SOL’s resilience even as the meme narrative cools off and traders reduce their risk in the face of bad market circumstances. 

Given the fading meme narrative, the total daily Decentralized Exchange (DEX) traders have now dropped from their peak of almost 5 million to approximately 514,000. Despite this drop, the blockchain is still maintaining strong results, which shows that it does not rely only on memes.

Currently, CryptoRank states that institutions are demonstrating more attention and interest in SOL for tokenization. These large firms are including the blockchain in their platforms, which proves its increasing dominance.

SOL Leads In 2025 With The Most Traffic Market Share

After robust network usage, developer traction, and capital flows, Solana has secured the top spot in the Mindshare War in 2025. A report from CryptoRus reveals that SOL is the most talked-about blockchain in the world. 

According to CoinGecko’s data, it marks the second year in a row that the blockchain has come on top. The study examined interest in blockchain ecosystems using data from CoinGecko’s global web traffic between January 1 and December 14, 2025. Solana now controls about 26.79% of global crypto mindshare, which is more than that of Ethereum and Base networks put together.

CryptoRus highlighted that this is not price, nor narratives pushed by Venture Capitalists (VCs). Rather, this is where attention builders, users, and culture actually reside. “Mindshare comes before liquidity, attention comes before capital, and history shows whoever wins mindshare, eventually wins the cycle,” CryptoRus added.

Seasoned Bitcoin Holders Are In Distribution Mode

Bitcoin’s price action is shifting, and so is the sentiment of investors, especially the long-term BTC holders. The development carries weight in the market because these holders are often considered the most patient and conviction-driven players in the crypto sector.

Following a research of the BTC Long-Term Holder Flow metric, IT Tech, an on-chain analyst and author at CryptoQuant, revealed that these investors are unloading their coins. This time, they are unloading into strength, triggering questions about BTC’s next price direction.

As seen on the chart, coins that have been hoarded for years are increasingly returning to the market during times of price strength rather than panic. Such a tendency suggests either the locking in of profits following an extended rise or a phase of strategic distribution among the cohort.

Furthermore, the chart shows a rise in long-term holders’ distribution in the 30-day time frame. According to the expert, this 30-day rise in LTH distribution is one of the biggest in the previous 5 years. Interestingly, these kinds of distribution often turn up near major tops, and not bottoms.

IT Tech highlighted that the long-term holders’ supply is currently rolling over from a record high. At the same time, spot trades are well above the realized price of long-term holders while old coins are locking in big profits, not capitulating.

A key takeaway outlined by the expert regarding the action is that it looks similar to late-cycle distribution and de-risking, instead of fresh accumulation. Due to the state of the market, IT Tech urges investors to adjust their risks, not their hopes.

BTC Whales Resume Buying Activity

Even with ongoing waning price action, major Bitcoin holders seem to be making a decisive move once again. After a period of strategic caution, these investors have resumed accumulation, indicating renewed interest and conviction in the flagship asset’s long-term prospects.

As reported by Marty Party, a macro analyst and the host of The Office Space, whales or large investors have scooped up over 54,000 BTC valued at $4.66 billion over the past week. This massive accumulation from deep-pocket investors raises the possibility that they are preparing for a more significant change in the market.

According to the analyst, this purchase in a weekly time frame marks the fastest accumulation pace ever recorded since 2012. Historically, heavy whale movement has influenced BTC’s next price direction, which means that the ongoing accumulation could pave the way for a short-term bounce if it extends.

At the time of writing, BTC’s price was hovering around $86,800, demonstrating a 0.27% increase in the past day. Its trading volume has turned bearish, falling by more than 12% within the same time frame.

Despite recent positive closes from spot XRP ETFs, the cryptocurrency’s price action is sending a clear warning to traders. Market structure remains weak, and without signs of a confirmed reversal, short-term risks persist. XRP’s current behavior highlights that bullish sentiment from ETFs alone isn’t enough to drive a sustained rally, making caution essential for anyone entering the market.

New Year Volatility Hits Crypto Markets Hard

Efloud, in a recent update, highlighted that with the start of the new year and continued uncertainty across the markets, cryptocurrencies have once again been among the hardest hit. Low trading volume and a lack of clear direction have kept pressure on the sector, and without an obvious reversal signal, altcoins continue to grind lower day by day.

Given this backdrop, caution remains essential. As emphasized in previous analyses, any attempt to trade against the prevailing trend at support levels should be backed by clear bullish breakout structures on lower timeframes. Without such confirmation, moves higher are more likely to be short-lived reactions rather than meaningful reversals.

From a technical standpoint, XRP’s price has now lost the “Daily Imb” zone, weakening the overall structure. If price dips below the most recent swing low and then attracts buying interest, the $1.98 area is expected to act as the first major resistance. As previously noted, the outlook remains negative unless the YO region is reclaimed.

Beyond $1.98, another key resistance lies within the red boxed zone. Together, $1.98, the YO area, and the red boxed region form three critical hurdles where price is likely to face selling pressure in the near term.

Price Action Still Outweighs ETF Optimism

According to Efloud, while spot XRP ETFs have posted positive closes for 18 consecutive days, this development alone does not outweigh what the chart itself is signaling. He emphasized that price action and market structure remain the most important factors. Until these begin to shift in a clearly bullish direction, any purchases are better seen as part of a gradual accumulation strategy rather than a confirmation of a trend reversal. 

From this perspective, these buys are primarily aimed at averaging down while the market searches for a more stable structure. Efloud added that if market suppression continues and a sharper correction unfolds, the area around $1.53 could emerge as a potential buy zone. However, this scenario depends on broader market behavior and is not a certainty.

Finally, the analyst clarified that the $1.53 level was illustrated as a hypothetical example. Efloud warned that entering positions at support zones or key levels without observing clear breakout or reversal structures carries added risk and should be approached with caution.

In a significant milestone for the evolution of on-chain finance, a new money market fund has selected Ethereum as its primary settlement layer toward blockchain-native infrastructure for traditional financial products. This decision reflects growing confidence in ETH security, scalability, ecosystem maturity, and qualities that institutional investors and asset managers increasingly demand when moving regulated financial instruments onto public blockchains.

How The New On-Chain Settlement Improves Operational Efficiency

The largest money whale in institutional finance just made its biggest move by launching a new money market fund on Ethereum, and it’s coming from J.P. Morgan Asset Management. According to an analyst known as Milk Road on X, the company oversees roughly $4 trillion in client assets, and seeds these funds with $100 million of its own capital before opening them up to the public. This fund is called My On-Chain Net Yield Fund (MONY), which is similar to a normal money market fund.

It is set to hold assets designed to preserve capital and remain liquid. A key difference between the fund and others is that shares are issued and tracked on ETH using JPMorgan’s Kinexys platform. The feature allows the fund to settle faster, issue and redeem shares continuously, and transfer ownership without waiting on the traditional clearing system.

Furthermore, this product is limited to large investors, individuals with at least $5 million investments, and institutions with $25 million, including a $1 million minimum to get started. The risk profile and purpose are familiar, and it’s a safe yield for investors. 

Meanwhile, for JPMorgan, this is a major operational upgrade offering faster cash transactions, tighter integration with treasury systems, and smoother collateral movement. Larger asset managers are starting by moving the safest, most conservative products on-chain first, because that’s where efficiency gains would show up immediately. “Adoption is accelerating,” Milk Road noted.

Why Ethereum Is More Than Just Technology

According to AdrianoFeria, the world’s greatest misunderstanding of Ethereum is viewing it solely as a technology. AdrianoFeria has pointed out that ETH is a network of economic actors coordinating around shared rules. It is also a social contract and a system that is designed to enable collaboration in the most adverse situations. 

At the core, ETH functions as a global and neutral arbitrator. Over time, it has proven itself to be the most long-standing, reliable, and trustworthy neutral arbitrator in the world. This arbitrator is the most valuable aspect of ETH, and any valuable model must account for it to have a chance of estimating realistic ETH price targets.

“If you are stuck with a cash flow-centric valuation for ETH, then it is time to sit down and study the system more deeply, and if you believe cash flow explains most of ETH’s value, you haven’t dug deep enough,” the expert mentioned.

Except for Ethereum’s fluctuating price action in the past few weeks following a broader market volatility, another key area is drawing notable attention in the sector. ETH’s price has been exhibiting bearish performance, and at the same time, its supply dynamics have been demonstrating a negative trend.

Net Negative Ethereum Supply Persists

Even with the current bearish state of the market, the supply dynamics of Ethereum are hinting at a quiet but powerful signal to the market. In a post on the social media platform X, Leon Waidmann, a market expert and the head of research at On-Chain Foundation, has delved into the asset’s supply dynamics, revealing a persistent negative trend.

On-chain data indicates that Ethereum supply has remained net negative despite continuous price swings, as seen on the chart shared by Waidmann. The data also shows that the metric has been exhibiting a negative trend over the last 7 days.

When Ethereum’s supply dynamics stay negative, it simply implies that more ETH are being removed from circulation compared to those being added to the market. This pattern is a result of persistent network activity, ongoing fee burning, and rising long-term holding and staking demand.

During the 7-day period, Waidmann highlighted that over 30,000 fresh ETH were added to the market. Meanwhile, Spot Ethereum Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) accumulated over 67,100 ETH, with about 11,700 ETH being burned via network fees. 

Overall, this brings the network’s net supply change to -49,800 ETH. Therefore, the number of ETH removed from circulation was 2.7x more than those issued in the market within the period. What this means is that the current demand for ETH continues to structurally outpace issuance.

Typically, heightened demand in the market has preceded upward swings in price. However, the price of ETH has failed to respond in this direction. Waidman noted that the price is not moving yet, because most demand is passive and not price-chasing. 

Thus, the expert declares absorption first before breakout comes later. Furthermore, large holders are still distributing into rallies, which leads to the capping of short-term moves. Another reason hinges on derivatives, as it often sets the marginal price, not spot flows. 

During negative supply dynamics, there is usually a tightening of the floor before it lifts the ceiling. Waidmann has highlighted a market structure where supply breaks first, then price follows, which is a clear pattern of how bases are formed.

ETH Network Throughput Makes Historical Highs

With recent updates, the Ethereum network has sprung back to life at a rapid rate. Joseph Young, a crypto enthusiast, has shared a fresh milestone for ETH, as the network’s execution throughput surges to an all-time high. The newly launched Fusaka Upgrade drives the network’s recent spark. 

Since the introduction of the key update, Young stated that ETH’s mainnet capacity has doubled, and rollups such as Base are already processing 10x that execution. According to Young, rollups are scaling in production while ETH is rapidly scaling, reinforcing the growing notion that ETH is the settlement layer of finance.

Following the sudden pullback observed across the cryptocurrency market, the price of XRP has fallen sharply, causing it to revisit the $1.8 threshold. With XRP’s price facing heightened bearish pressure, traders appear to be stepping back, raising questions about the current price action.

Leverage Unwinds Across XRP Markets

XRP’s waning price action is starting to trigger a crucial shift in investors’ action and sentiment toward the leading altcoin. A widely monitored derivatives metric outlined by Arab Chain, an author at CryptoQuant, is still trending lower, suggesting that the market risk balance for the altcoin is subtly recalibrating.

Specifically, the Estimated Leverage Ratio (ELR) for XRP, a metric that monitors the amount of borrowed capital traders use in relation to exchange balances, is showing a persistent downtrend. Typically, a continued decline in the measure is a clear sign of reduced risk in the derivatives market.

After examining the XRP’s ELR on Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange, Arab Chain found a persistent decrease to roughly 0.18, reflecting a clear sign of caution in the XRP market on Binance. It is worth noting that this position is one of the lowest levels recorded during the ongoing period, as the price of the token trades close to the $2.00 mark.

Arab Chain highlighted that the drastic decline in the ELR suggests that investors’ reliance on decrease is decreasing, meaning that most of the funded positions have been closed or limited. Structurally, a decline in leverage is seen as an indication of reduced market fragility.

When this occurs, it lowers the likelihood of forced liquidations, which are caused by sudden price movements. As the market tends to lower risk and reset open positions, this behavior usually happens following times of increased volatility or price corrections. 

Interestingly, the drop is occurring along with a downward trend in XRP’s price compared to its previous levels above $3.00. This synchronicity is a sign that the accumulation of highly leveraged positions does not fuel the price decline. Rather, it is riven by the unwinding of such positions.

In the past, environments like these typically marked transitional phases. During this period, the market transitions from active speculation to a calmer phase concentrated on rebalancing. 

A Stabilization To Kickstart A Rally

Once the metric starts to stabilize again at a relatively low level, Arab Chain noted that it could lay the foundation for more substantial XRP price movements in the future. However, this is expected to happen once liquidity slowly returns to the derivatives market in the absence of excessive leverage.

In other words, low leverage would make any future rally less likely to see a dramatic reversal. While the ELR sits at 0.18, the market is still reconstructing itself and creating a more balanced base prior to calculating its next major direction. Whether it resumes its upside direction or enters a prolonged consolidation phase depends heavily on the metric’s movement.

Ethereum (ETH) is currently consolidating in a tight range following its recent selloff, demonstrating resilience by holding above key support zones. However, the price remains firmly capped by a descending trendline and structural resistance around the $3,400 level. While buyers defend the vital $2,905 low, the trend remains sideways until ETH can achieve a decisive close above the descending resistance to initiate the next major rally.

ETH Attempts To Stabilize After The Selloff

According to a daily update from CyrilXBT, Ethereum is attempting to form a base following its recent selloff, but the price remains capped below the 50-day EMA around $3,281. This level continues to act as a key barrier, keeping ETH from confirming a stronger recovery for now.

At the time of the update, ETH was trading near $3,131. On the downside, initial support sits around $3,050, while a broader demand zone between $2,750 and $2,900 remains the more significant area where buyers are expected to step in if selling pressure returns. On the upside, resistance is concentrated between $3,280 and $3,300, aligning closely with the 50-day EMA, which represents a clear “prove-it” level.

Looking ahead, a clean break and sustained hold above $3,300 could open the door for a move back toward the $3,500 area and beyond. However, failure to reclaim this resistance would likely lead to choppy price action, with a possible retest of the $3,000 level and even a revisit of the $2,800 zone.

Ethereum Trades Below Descending Trendline Resistance

Crypto analyst Kamile Uray revealed that ETH is currently confined, moving persistently under a blue descending trendline. This trendline is acting as a significant diagonal resistance barrier, limiting the extent of ETH’s bullish bounces and keeping the short-term pressure tilted downward.

Despite this overhead resistance, the analyst identified a critical support structure. Uray noted that the possibility of the upward movement continuing remains valid as long as the price stays above the rising black trendline and above the low established at $2,905. This confluence of support is crucial for maintaining the market’s current bullish bias.

If the blue descending trendline resistance is decisively broken, the subsequent rally is expected to target a series of higher resistance levels: $3,661, then $3,878, and finally $4,292. Kamile Uray synthesized the condition for the breakout, stating that the descending trendline will approximately be broken if ETH manages to achieve a daily close above the $3,400 level. Meanwhile, the key condition for expecting a continued upward movement is a close above $3,400 combined with the price successfully avoiding a close below the critical $2,905 low.

The narrative surrounding XRP, the digital asset native to the XRP Ledger, has shifted from a speculative cryptocurrency to a recognized digital asset within the global financial system. This shift reflects growing legal clarity and rising interest from financial institutions seeking compliant blockchain-based solutions for payments, liquidity, and settlement. 

How Institutional Interest In XRP Continues To Build

As XRP gains recognition in regulated financial markets, it’s moving beyond its earlier perception as a speculative digital asset. An analyst known as Skipper_xrp has mentioned on X that this milestone has placed XRP in the conversation alongside traditional assets that institutions already trust. With recent developments from the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and rising institutional interest, investors are wondering whether XRP’s growing credibility could be the catalyst for the next major price movement.

Meanwhile, tokenization is no longer a theoretical concept; it’s now a tangible reality. The ability to unlock trillions of dollars in real-world assets through blockchain is transforming how the markets will operate. On this front, the REAL token on the XRP Ledger isn’t just participating, it’s leading the change, and opening doors to an unprecedented global market.

Ripple recently made the single biggest unlock for XRP since the case against the US SEC, and it has nothing to do with a court ruling. X Finance Bull has provided insight into the CLARITY Act, which legally defines digital commodities under CFTC oversight, eliminating guesswork and excuses from institutions. The real barrier to mass XRP adoption wasn’t tech or liquidity, but a legal risk, and that wall just cracked wide open.

Currently, banks can use XRP rails, brokers can move in flow, and corporate treasuries can hold XRP on their books without stepping into uncertainty. This isn’t future potential; it’s the regulatory permission that is required before deploying serious capital.

Many tokens don’t fit the mold, but XRP already operates on payment-grade, bank-ready infrastructure designed for real-world settlement, and first in line for real volume. “When institutions get the green light, the token with roads already built will lead,” Xfinancebull noted.

A New Gateway Between Asian Markets And Ripple Labs

Technical analyst, ChartNerd, revealed that VivoPower International PLC has quietly transformed a standard joint venture agreement into a strategic expansion vehicle with asymmetric exposure. Instead of deploying heavy capital, the structure creates a bridge between Seoul’s institutional crypto markets and Ripple Labs’ private equity, which is aligning with access rather than ownership.

ChartNerd stated that the play is targeting $300 million in Ripple Lab shares. Furthermore, VivoPower has a capital-light model that delivers substantial upside while minimizing corporate risk.

The price of XRP may be declining as volatility extends, but a lot of the leading altcoin has been observed leaving cryptocurrency exchanges at a rapid rate. With the token heavily leaving exchanges during the bearish phase, this raises the possibility of an anticipated supply shock.

Is An XRP Supply Shock Incoming?

As XRP battles with bearish movements, its presence on centralized exchanges is subtly shrinking, which is starting to attract notable attention in the market. A report from Ripple Bull Winkle, a market expert and the founder of Lux Lions NFT, shows that the token has been consistently leaving crypto exchanges, even with fading price momentum.

This decline in supply on exchanges signals that investors may be transferring their coins into long-term storage or self-custody rather than making them easily accessible for trading. While these investors maintain the trend, it is often considered a strategic move in order to position themselves for potential upward spikes in price.

In the post on the X platform, Ripple Bull Winkle highlighted that the supply of XRP on exchanges is now totaled at 4 billion. Despite the massive coins still available on crypto exchanges, the figure only represents nearly 8% of the total supply circulating in the market.

As the altcoin exchange supply shrinks, the trend is sparking fresh debate about its possible implications for price behavior in the upcoming weeks. In the past, it has frequently preceded times of decreased sell pressure, shifting liquidity dynamics, and increased demand sensitivity.

Ripple Bull Winkle noted that the majority of the supply on exchanges is not for sale liquidity. Such thin float with growing institutional demand is likely to lead to explosive conditions, allowing XRP to kick off another sharp rally. According to the expert, this trend could be a sign of a supply shock because they do not show warnings; instead, they just detonate.

Taking a look at another post, Ripple Bull Winkle revealed a massive withdrawal from crypto exchanges, indicating rising conviction and reducing sell-offs. During the weekend, over 30 million XRP were withdrawn from exchanges, which was carried out in a single day.

The expert claims that this is how supply shocks are kicked off quietly, and the price does not move first. “Liquidity disappears first. Most people won’t notice until sellers are gone,” the expert added.

ETFs Market Is Thriving

XRP continues to experience significant demand both from retail and institutional investors via its Spot Exchange-Traded Funds. X Finance Bull highlighted that the funds are the only ETFs without any daily outflows over the last 30 days.

Currently, the funds hold the line with $1.34 billion and 669 million XRP locked. While others rotate their capital, institutions are building up on the token with conviction. According to the expert, institutional investors understand that the token is shaping up to be the liquidity layer for global finance, but retailers fail to. Meanwhile, this is how smart money moves prior to a paradigm shift.

Bitcoin’s bounce last week was quickly cut off by growing volatility in the broader crypto market, causing the price to fall below the pivotal $90,000 mark once again. Given the recent price fluctuations, investors’ sentiment, especially those on crypto exchanges, has shifted as inflows from BTC wholecoiners plummet.

Binance Sees Sharp Drop In BTC Wholecoiner Inflows

While the price of Bitcoin pulls back this new week, there is one key metric that is currently standing out. This metric is the BTC Wholecoiners Inflows on Binance, which is starting to tell a different story about investors on the largest cryptocurrency exchange in the world.

After examining this metric, Darkfost, a market analyst and author at CryptoQuant, revealed that on the Binance platform, wholecoiner deposits are drying up. Specifically, wholecoiner inflows imply transactions larger than 1 BTC, which provides vital insight into both current selling pressure and the broader evolution of the market.

Data shows that the inflows from this cohort are declining when compared to past years. Presently, BTC’s yearly average now sits around 6,500 BTC, representing a level not seen since 2018. Meanwhile, on the shorter time frame, the weekly average is situated near 5,200 BTC, marking one of its lowest readings of this cycle.

While the wholecoiner inflows dry up, the pattern that inflows have followed this cycle in comparison to previous ones is very intriguing. Even as Bitcoin continued to rise, wholecoiner inflows to Binance have steadily decreased rather than rising as they once did.

Beyond indicating that investors with sizable Bitcoin holdings are less inclined to sell, this trend could also point to a deeper structural shift in the market. With Bitcoin’s valuation experiencing a steady increase, owning a full BTC has become extremely difficult, which naturally decreases the total number of transactions larger than 1 BTC.

At the same time, Darkfost highlighted that there are now more options available in the ecosystem for owning or trading Bitcoin. Even crypto exchanges have multiplied, and the steady growth of Decentralized Finance (DeFi) provides more venues, a trend that is likely to redirect flows that previously went nearly exclusively to major exchanges such as Binance.

BTC Still Trading Below Short-Term Cost Basis

Bitcoin is still trading below the Short-Term Holder Cost Basis located at $105,400. What this means is that the crypto king has been trading below the level for nearly 2 months now. However, Darkfost stated that staying beneath the level for such an extended period is not uncommon. 

During previous corrections, the duration of these phases has ranged from two months to over four months, making the present correction fall well within a typical range. However, since this indication tends to stay negative for much longer after the market actually enters a bear phase, it would be crucial to prevent Bitcoin from declining any further.

In the meantime, this does not invalidate the notion that these periods remain a signal for accumulation opportunities. Nevertheless, caution is still crucial, and access points should be carefully optimized. Darkfost believes that an accumulation of this type is only appropriate for long-term investors.

Bitcoin has been the undisputed dominant force in the financial world. In a swift change of financial gravity, the spotlight has shifted from the decentralized digital asset to the US government treasury. As liquidity becomes the defining force behind every major market move, the Treasury General Account (TGA) has emerged as the true engine capable of driving risk assets.

Why Bitcoin’s Cycles Matter Less When Federal Cash Levels Shift

The most important chart for 2026 isn’t Bitcoin, it’s the US Treasury’s checking account. Crypto analyst Kyle Chassé has noted that the reason crypto has stalled is because of the government’s liquidity plumbing. Meanwhile, the TGA has just surged to $1 trillion, creating a massive liquidity vacuum in the cycle. When the treasury replenishes its funds, it drains dollars from the broader financial system.

However, to avoid a recession heading into 2026, the government must drain the account back down. Draining the TGA means pushing $150 billion to $200 billion back into the banking system. In addition, the Quantitative Tightening (QT) has officially ceased, meaning the government is done draining liquidity, and asset prices track liquidity.

Analyst Theunipcs revealed that the third rate cut of 2025 has been released, bringing the target range to its lowest level in nearly three years. The Fed also announced a new liquidity injection of roughly $40 billion per month in Treasury bill purchases. This policy pivot is happening immediately after BTC bounced from a 35% correction, which is the deepest pullback BTC has seen so far in this cycle.

At the same time, the most conservative trillion-dollar asset managers like Vanguard and Charles Schwab are pushing crypto products to their tens of millions of users for the first time. This isn’t the time to be bearish, but to be buying the dips aggressively.

Weekly Support Holds As Bitcoin Searches For A Relative Trend Reversal

A full-time crypto trader and investor, Daan Crypto Trades, highlighted that Bitcoin is currently trading only about 18% above its 2021 highs compared to the NASDAQ. Currently, the BTC/NASDAQ ratio is testing the Weekly Exponential Moving Average (EMA), a level that is providing support. Initially, BTC saw a clear breakout in this ratio during 2024 and early 2025,  but since then, momentum has stalled as stocks continued to grind higher, fueled by the AI tech rally.

According to the expert, the tech stock momentum is starting to cool, at least temporarily, and will watch if this ratio moves back in favor of BTC again for a while. Due to the rotation signal, BTC is already showing signs that the index, like the Russell 2000 (Small Caps), is starting to outperform, as the tech stocks are cooling off a bit.

Ethereum is holding firm above key support as smart money steps in, hinting at growing confidence beneath the surface. With bullish signals and steady inflows aligning, the market now watches whether this stability can spark a meaningful upside move.

ETH Coils Below $3,200 Ahead Of A Decisive Move

AltCoin Việt Nam, in a recent post, highlighted that ETH is positioned at an extremely tense moment on its chart, signaling that the asset is preparing for a major directional move. This immediate pressure is being fueled by a significant bullish divergence that has just appeared on the chart, marking the first time the signal has materialized in over a month.

The analyst reinforced the expectation of high volatility by referencing historical data. Their research shows a consistent history of 9–16% price volatility whenever ETH falls below the $3,200 level. Given that the price is currently fluctuating tightly around the $3,100 mark, this historical context provides a clear signal that a sharp volatility explosion may be imminent.

Adding overwhelming conviction to the bullish case is the recent action of market movers. AltCoin Việt Nam reported that a single super large whale just opened a leveraged long position totaling a massive $392 million (equivalent to 120,094 ETH). This colossal bet on the upside demonstrates a firm, high-conviction among institutional players.

Furthermore, the institutional framework continues to provide a reliable underlying demand. The Spot Ethereum ETF market is still actively attracting substantial capital inflows, totaling over $250 million this week. BitMine Technologies also purchased an additional 33,504 ETH (valued at $112 million) today, highlighting persistent institutional accumulation.

Considering the confluence of technical divergence, historical volatility context, and massive whale and institutional purchasing, the market faces a critical juncture. AltCoin Việt Nam posed the final question: Can ETH break out strongly and immediately confirm the uptrend, or will it need to retest lower support levels before initiating the expected explosive rally?

Buyers Step In As Ethereum Defends Key Support

According to crypto analyst The Boss, ETH has shown a highly encouraging response from a key technical area. Ethereum has reacted positively with the $3,091 support zone, and is currently holding firmly above this level, which is a strong signal that short-term buying pressure remains resilient and active in the market.

As long as the price stays above the green line, the analyst confirms that the primary focus remains the upside, validating the potential for a move toward the resistance zone marked by the blue line. The Boss emphasized the importance of these structural defense moves, concluding that such strong reactions from established support levels are vital signals for confirming the validity of the current structure and providing clear direction of the prevailing trend.

Bitcoin is facing a critical juncture as its macro retracement converges with a tight mid-range battle between $86,000 and $100,000. With bearish patterns confirmed and short-term support holding, the market now waits to see if bulls can reclaim momentum or if a deeper pullback is on the horizon.

Bitcoin Confirms Macro Top: Bearish Phase Underway

According to an update from Crypto Patel, Bitcoin appears to have confirmed a market top and is now transitioning into a broader macro retracement phase. The loss of a key bullish support level has shifted the market structure into a bearish phase.

The chart shows that a Head and Shoulders formation has fully played out. Classical technical rules suggest that the 162% downside projection has already been achieved, reinforcing the view that a cycle top is in place and a larger trend reversal is underway.

Looking at the macro Fibonacci retracement from the bear-market low to the recent peak, several key levels come into focus. These include the 0.382 retracement, which sits near $56,700, and the 0.5 level around $44,000, representing a zone of potential bear-market acceptance. Additionally, the 0.618 retracement near $35,000 stands out as the strongest long-term support area.

On the liquidity side, an unfilled fair value gap between $98,000 and $100,000 acts as a magnet for a short-term relief bounce before the broader downtrend resumes. Overall, the macro outlook for Bitcoin remains bearish. 

While a bounce toward the $98,000–$100,000 region is possible, the dominant path points toward a deeper move into the $70,000–$60,000 Fibonacci supports. Traders are advised to wait for confirmation and remain flexible, respecting multiple scenarios as the market unfolds.

BTC Trapped: $96,000–$100,000 Cap Meets $86,000 Support

Bitcoin remains range-bound between two critical zones as noted by CyrilXBT. Price is hovering near the $90,300 area after facing another rejection from the $96,000–$100,000 supply zone and the 50-day EMA. This region has consistently capped upside attempts over the past several weeks.

On the downside, buyers continue to show up around the $86,000–$88,000 demand zone, preventing the price from slipping into a broader breakdown and keeping BTC locked within its current range. From a broader market perspective, Bitcoin previously cooled off while tech stocks surged. As momentum in tech begins to slow, BTC is attempting to stabilize, but a decisive reclaim of the $96,000–$100,000 zone is still required to shift momentum.

A sustained move above $100,000 would open the door to trend reversal. Conversely, a loss of the $88,000 support could expose Bitcoin to a deeper pullback toward the $72,000–$76,000 region. Until either scenario plays out, price action remains choppy, and patience is warranted.

Dogecoin is entering a pivotal phase as its price action tightens within a symmetrical triangle, aligning with a high-timeframe Wyckoff setup. The combination of higher lows, compressed structure, and developing Wyckoff signals suggests growing strength beneath the surface, raising the possibility that DOGE is quietly preparing for its next major move.

MTF Range Strategy: Longs At Discount, Shorts At Premium

According to an update by  Wyckoff Insider via the lens of a multi-timeframe (MTF) range, the focus is on seeking long positions in areas of extreme discount and short positions in areas of extreme premium. When an MTF range is present, it often develops a Wyckoff structure near both the range highs and lows, providing clearer points of interest for traders.

Dogecoin is currently forming an 8H Bojan pivot in the extreme discount zone of this MTF range. The key to trading a Bojan pivot is identifying the Sign of Strength (SOS) that forms on the third candle. Bitcoin displayed a similar 8H Bojan recently, but trading it was more challenging due to deviations on both sides of the range, making DOGE difficult to trade also.

On the lower timeframes, Dogecoin is also showing a Wyckoff Model 1 range. When the third candle opens, and price pulls down, traders look for an LPS, BOS, and internal BOS pattern. Valid entries include taking the breakout on the 3-minute BOS with a stop below the M1 low, or entering on the LPS after the internal BOS, with a stop placed beneath the LPS itself.

In terms of trade management, Wyckoff Insider outlines a clear plan: risk should be kept at 2% per setup, with TP1 at the Wyckoff target zone (40%), and TP2 at the first range supply, fully closing the trade once a Sign of Weakness (SOW) appears. This structured approach helps navigate DOGE’s multi-layered Wyckoff-driven price action with discipline and clarity.

Daily Structure Shows Strength Despite Downtrend

Trader Tardigrade revealed that the daily chart provides clear indications that Dogecoin is actively building a stronger market structure despite the recent overall downtrend. This strength is apparent when comparing the current price action to past cycles.

Historically, when the broader market is weak, DOGE typically reinforces its bearish trend by forming lower lows following a distinct new swing low. However, in a significant departure from this pattern, DOGE is now attempting to establish a higher lows structure within a symmetrical triangle pattern.

This formation is key, as the analyst suggests the symmetrical triangle structure indicates that Dogecoin has been rejected from trading further downward. Such a development signals that selling exhaustion is setting in, preparing the market for a potential directional breakout.

The Bitcoin’s behavior around US Federal Reserve announcements has become one of the most consistent market patterns of the year. After every FOMC update, the world’s largest cryptocurrency has reacted with a noticeable downside move, underscoring how closely the asset is now tied to shifting interest-rate expectations and broader macro sentiment. 

What Future FOMC Meetings Could Mean For Bitcoin

In an X post, analyst CryptoMichNL has mentioned that the Federal Reserve (FED) is preparing to update the printer from 2021 liquidity settings toward a more supportive 2025 stance. However, this doesn’t mean it will have an immediate impact on the markets, as these things take time. As a result of the update, Bitcoin has dropped after every Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in 2025, but these moves are primarily aimed at flushing out longs through high liquidations.

According to the expert, the actual move on the markets and the direction should come in the next 1-2 weeks, which would give a better outlook going into 2026. The bullish trend has remained intact, and the thesis is still valid. However, BTC shouldn’t break the lows during the FOMC flush. Instead, it should break the $92,000 resistance zone to retest the $100,000 level.

Bitcoin is still moving in a choppy pattern, driven by illiquid order books and fast moves in both directions. CryptoMichNL has also highlighted that BTC is still in for a new upward breakout in the coming days to weeks. Despite the volatility, BTC has continued to form higher lows, which is a clear sign that an upward structure is building.

CryptoMichNL noted that, as the price doesn’t break down anymore, the heavy correction in the market was highly manipulated and not organic, which is very natural for the market to return to normal.

Why Bitcoin Market Structure Remains Intact Despite Deep Pullback

Bitcoin has not proven to be any different from the cycle. A full-time crypto trader and investor, Daan Crypto Trades, pointed out that the good initial bounce is right off the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, which is taken from the entire cycle move. Realistically, that was the lowest the price could go without breaking the broader weekly market structure.

According to Daan, the invalidation is clearly the higher-timeframe outlook, and the November lows would become a very uncomfortable place for the bulls. As the year comes to an end, a lot of the 4-year cycle selling should also be diminishing. Meanwhile, Q1 2026 is shaping up to be extremely important as it will likely reveal where the BTC cycle will move next.

As the market volatility heats up again, the price of Bitcoin witnessed a pullback, bringing it closer to the $90,000 threshold. While BTC’s price faces a pullback, key on-chain metrics are beginning to follow suit, reaching levels that could shape or determine the next trajectory of the market.

A Crucial Breakdown In Bitcoin Realized Loss

Given the bearish state of the market, on-chain indicators for Bitcoin are flashing a slight but crucial signal in its dynamics. BTC On-Chain Trader Realized Price and Profit/Loss Margin, one of the most important metrics, has now dropped below a crucial level as the market and BTC’s price fluctuate.

According to Ali Martinez, a seasoned crypto analyst and trader, this drop in the metric is offering a clue to the next potential path for the BTC market. Following weeks of increased capitulation-driven losses, the drop in realized losses indicates that market players are no longer selling coins at sharp discounts.

While the wave of panic selling that clouded recent market turbulence may finally be dissipating, this crucial indicator is providing traders with new grounds to reevaluate the short-term course of Bitcoin. This implies that sentiment is gradually stabilizing, pointing to an early shift from capitulation to accumulation.

In the post, Ali Martinez highlighted that the metric has fallen below the critical -37%, now located at -18%. The drop may appear increasingly negative, but it is hinting at a pivotal junction for the broader Bitcoin market.

Historically, this drop in the metric below this level has led to a rebound in investors’ confidence in the market. Martinez claims that some of the best buy-the-dip opportunities have emerged when Bitcoin on-chain traders’ realized loss falls below -37%.

BTC’s Rebound Requires Fresh Liquidity

Since the sharp pullback from its all-time high, Bitcoin has failed to bounce back strongly. Darkfost, a market and author at CryptoQuant, claims that one of the major reasons why BTC is currently struggling to recover is the absence of incoming liquidity. This is the biggest issue in the market now.

Liquidity here refers solely to stablecoins. According to Darkfost, monitoring these flows makes it easier to assess if new liquidity is poised to enter the market or if it is still lacking. Data shows that since August, stablecoin inflows into exchanges have steadily declined from 158 billion to around $76 billion. 

This sharp drop represents a 50% decrease in incoming liquidity. Additionally, the 90-day average has dropped, from $130 billion in stablecoin inflows to $118 billion. A drop in liquidity suggests that Bitcoin is battling with a decline in demand, which has not been strong enough to absorb the selling pressure impacting the market. 

Presently, the trend is still negative, and the minor rebounds observed are primarily a consequence of reduced selling pressure rather than more purchasing demand. For BTC to regain a genuine bullish trend, Darkfost stated that the key rests on new liquidity entering the market.