Ethereum finds itself in an unusual position where the fundamentals are strengthening, but capital flows remain hesitant. On-chain activity and the real-world tokenization of assets point to a network that is becoming increasingly useful and more deeply embedded in financial infrastructure. The price action movement shows that ETH is stuck in a range where it is struggling to attract sustained momentum.

Why Fundamentals And Price Are Diverging

Ethereum is stuck in the middle, with the price hovering around $3,300, which is slightly up from earlier this month, but it remains compressed within the same triangle that has been forming since November. An investor known as Pepeisfriend mentioned on X that this kind of price action usually means pressure is building and a move is coming. However, the direction hasn’t been specified. 

As a result of this move, big money doesn’t seem very excited. ETH whales have been slowly reducing their exposure since mid-December, with no panic selling, just lightening positions. This kind of behavior signals a lower willingness from large investors to carry risk at these levels. The ETF flows have shown that there have been a few days of positive inflows, but the overall net flows are still negative, showing institutions haven’t truly rotated back into ETH the way they did during the previous hype phase.

Meanwhile, Decentralized Finance (DeFi) activity looks weaker, and total value locked (TVL) has dropped noticeably, suggesting that on-chain capital is either leaving or just sitting on the sidelines. When DeFi isn’t active, ETH struggles to generate sustained upside momentum.

Investor Pepeisfriend concluded that ETH isn’t bearish, but also not inspiring confidence for a breakout. This is a clear “wait for confirmation” phase that must be held, but probably still too early to go all-in or expect an immediate breakout.

The Moment That Will Look Obvious In Hindsight

While the market is obsessed with layer-1 competition, Ethereum is transitioning from a speculative asset into a yield-bearing, productive asset. Analyst Senior pointed out that on January 15, 2026, Sharplink Gaming deployed $170 million worth of ETH into a combined staking and restaking strategy on Linea. This move shows that institutional treasuries have moved beyond simple accumulation to active yield generation.

At the same time, Visa is piloting stablecoin payouts directly on-chain, and EIP-7702 infrastructure is finally going live to eliminate biometric authentication seed phrases via Face ID. The user experience gap that once held ETH back has officially closed. This is the moment ETH is positioning itself as the most secure and liquid on-chain neobank financial platform in the world, and why the $3,500 breakout attempt will feel obvious.

Ethereum’s outlook has been improving its case. After a prolonged period of underperformance and skepticism, the network is starting to exhibit signs of renewed structural and fundamental strength.  While BTC continues to anchor the market as the primary store of value and digital gold, conditions are emerging that could allow ETH to outperform BTC over the coming period.

Why The Ethereum Narrative Is Gaining Strength

Ethereum has been seen outperforming Bitcoin. In a recent post on X, Walter Bloomberg revealed that Standard Chartered says that the ETH outlook has improved, and now ETH might outperform BTC, citing rising institutional demand and stronger fundamental positioning across key on-chain sectors. 

While weakness in BTC has weighed on the broader crypto market, ETH has continued to benefit from institutional-driven demand, and its dominance in stablecoins, decentralized finance (DeFi), and real-world assets (RWA) tokenization.

Standard Chartered also points to the increased throughput and potential US regulatory clarity that it could provide additional upside. In terms of valuation, the bank forecasts ETH at $7,500 this year and $30,000 by 2029, reflecting the expectations of sustained network growth.

The Co-founder of PinkBrains_io, a DeFi Creator Studio, DefiIgnas, has highlighted that Ethereum could outperform Bitcoin this year, and the reason is roadmap execution. While BTC will likely keep facing recurring waves of quantum FUD into 2026, ETH has a clear roadmap to prepare for future cryptographic risks. 

Furthermore, ETH is actually scaling. Gas limits on layer 1 keep rising, and zkEVMs will get full production readiness, making ETH cheap and fast enough for high-value transactions, while layer 2s will handle most of the trading and high-frequency activity.

Related Reading: Bitcoin And Ethereum Market Structure Points To Crypto Winter – Details

These upgrades are incremental, which means there’s no breaking news moment for ETH, but progress is happening fast. Early in the cycle, a lot of Degens loaded up on ETH before the bull run, but many got disillusioned and sold their ETH for BTC. “It would be fun to see the playbook reverse higher,” DefiIgnas noted.

A Different Liquidity Cycle Than Previous Bull Markets

Crypto liquidity quality witnessed a change in 2025. A technical analyst and show host of Crypto Banter, Kyledoops, reported that Wintermute noted that capital in 2025 stopped rotating broadly across the market. Instead, liquidity is concentrated into Bitcoin, Ethereum, and a small group of large-cap tokens. As a result, the long-anticipated wave of altcoin-wide liquidity never really arrived.

Meanwhile, the rise of spot ETFs and crypto treasury vehicles created a new, highly structured inflow channel that funneled flow into the top of the market. These vehicles break the crypto’s oldest playbooks. Price action is no longer driven by broad market expansion. It’s driven by where new liquidity can actually enter.

Solana’s price has delivered a slight rebound as the broader crypto market gradually shifts towards a bullish outlook. Although the price of SOL may be demonstrating strength once again, its future trajectory is largely tied to the performance of the leading network in the days ahead.

Network Performance Becomes The Key Catalyst For Solana’s Price

Following a slight bounce on Monday, Solana is back above the $140 price mark. However, on-chain data suggests that the altcoin is nearing a turning point where its next significant price change may depend more on how well its network functions going forward than on market sentiment.

This thesis was outlined by Santiment, a leading market intelligence and on-chain data platform, after examining the correlation between SOL’s current price movement and its network activity. With price spikes coinciding with reduced network activity, the focus is now on the blockchain’s ability to maintain that momentum.

Santiment highlighted that as ongoing market volatility cools off, the price of SOL experienced a leg up as high as $144, drawing dangerously close to breaking past its $145 resistance level. While the price remains below the key resistance level, the altcoin awaits its next major catalyst in order to clear this level.

According to the on-chain platform, this will mostly depend on whether SOL network growth can start to increase once more, drawing attention to its fading new wallet creation. Data shows that the number of new wallet addresses created in a weekly timeframe has dropped significantly over the last few weeks.

In contrast to the prior optimistic moments, when new addresses were generated at record rates, accompanied by soaring trading and meme-coin activity, the slowdown represents a significant change.

As of November 2024, the number of weekly wallet addresses created was approximately 30.2 million. Fast forward to today, and the figure has fallen sharply, sitting at about 7.3 million. This massive drop in wallet creation signals a growing cooling phase in user onboarding across the SOL network. 

SOL Maintaining Large Daily Transactions

New wallet addresses may have reduced significantly, but Solana’s transaction scale remains robust. Despite fluctuations in the overall market momentum, SOL maintains a remarkably high level of daily transactions, demonstrating the power of its network.

In a recent report from Solana Daily on the X platform, it was revealed that the network has persistently carried out more than 60 million transactions every day for the past 750 days. This consistency demonstrates the chain’s widespread use in Decentralized Finance (DeFi), Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs), payments, and high-throughput applications that depend on its affordability and speed.

An interesting aspect of this growth is that the network has maintained zero uptime within the timeframe, reinforcing its position as a reliable hub for on-chain activity. Currently, Solana is supported by real usage rather than just speculative spikes, which increases network efficiency.