Ethereum has retraced from the $3,240 level and is now testing the $3,150 zone as support, a key area that traders are closely watching. Bulls are attempting to defend this level after a modest rebound, but uncertainty remains high as the market tries to establish direction following weeks of volatility and aggressive selling pressure. While some analysts view this consolidation as the early stages of a recovery, others warn that ETH may still be vulnerable to deeper pullbacks if momentum fails to strengthen.

According to top analyst Darkfost, Ethereum’s recent price action is being shaped by a notable shift in market structure. Over the past few days, spot volumes have continued to decline, even as the price attempted a small recovery. This weakening in spot activity reduces the impact of actual buying and selling on the underlying asset, making futures markets increasingly influential in dictating short-term price direction.

As Darkfost explains, when spot volume thins out, futures often become the dominant driver of volatility. This dynamic can accelerate both upside and downside moves, depending on traders’ positioning. With Ethereum now sitting at a critical support level, the market awaits clearer signals to determine whether this rebound can evolve into a sustained recovery or merely represents a temporary pause in the downtrend.

Futures-Driven Momentum Raises the Stakes for Ethereum

Darkfost expands on this dynamic by noting that when spot volumes weaken to the extent seen over the past few days, the risk of heightened volatility increases sharply. Thin spot liquidity means fewer buy and sell orders are available to absorb sudden moves, allowing futures-driven momentum to exert an outsized influence on price. This environment often produces sharper swings and rapid directional shifts, as leveraged traders and algorithmic strategies dominate short-term market behavior.

For now, the futures market is tilting upward, providing a constructive force that is helping Ethereum hold above the $3,150 support zone. Darkfost emphasizes that this upward pressure from futures could work in the bulls’ favor, as volatility—if it expands to the upside—may push the spot market to follow the same trajectory.

In other words, a sustained futures-led rebound could act as the spark needed for a broader recovery, especially if spot buyers gain confidence and begin re-entering the market.

However, this setup cuts both ways. Without stronger spot participation, any reversal in futures positioning could quickly translate into accelerated downside pressure. For now, Ethereum sits in a delicate phase where volatility is both a potential catalyst and a potential threat, making the next few sessions crucial for determining the market’s short-term direction.

ETH Weekly Structure Holds Key Support

Ethereum’s weekly chart shows a market attempting to stabilize after a steep downturn from the $4,500 region. ETH has rebounded toward $3,140, reclaiming its 100-week moving average (green line) — a historically important support level that often defines the boundary between mid-term bullish and bearish phases. This bounce signals renewed demand at a critical zone, especially after the strong wick rejection seen near $2,700, where buyers stepped in aggressively.

However, Ethereum still faces meaningful resistance overhead. The 50-week moving average (blue line), now hovering near $3,400–$3,500, has flipped into resistance and remains the next major hurdle for bulls. A successful reclaim of this zone would materially improve ETH’s technical structure and open the door to a challenge of higher levels. Until then, the weekly trend remains neutral to slightly bearish.

Volume offers an encouraging signal: the recent rebound occurred with a noticeable uptick in buying activity compared to prior weeks, suggesting strengthened interest at these lower levels. Yet the broader structure shows a pattern of lower highs since August, meaning ETH must demonstrate follow-through to avoid slipping back into deeper consolidation.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

Ethereum is holding firmly above the $3,150 level as the market shifts into a more bullish phase after enduring weeks of heavy selling pressure and fear-driven liquidation. The recovery has sparked debate among analysts: some view the bounce as nothing more than a relief rally within a broader bearish trend, while others believe Ethereum may be building the foundation for a more sustained rebound.

A new CryptoQuant report offers one of the clearest insights. According to Ethereum data on Binance, the past several weeks have shown heightened volatility in the Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) — a metric that tracks real-time buying and selling pressure. This volatility reflects sharp, rapid shifts in trader behavior as the market attempts to stabilize.

Although Ethereum remains in a downtrend from its August peak, recent CVD spikes point to the return of notable buying activity. However, the report emphasizes that these bursts of demand are sporadic and lack the sustained strength needed to confirm a full bullish reversal.

CVD Volatility Highlights Ongoing Battle Between Buyers and Sellers

According to the Arab Chain report, Ethereum’s CVD recently turned positive, coinciding with the price’s attempt to stabilize above the $3,100 level. This shift indicates fresh liquidity entering the market through short-term buy orders, suggesting that some traders are stepping in to accumulate during dips.

However, the sudden spikes and rapid pullbacks within the CVD reveal that the market remains locked in a strong tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. This volatility underscores the fact that Ethereum has not yet reached either temporal stability or a clear structural trend.

The report also highlights the importance of the 30-day correlation between price and CVD, which has held steady at around 0.6 despite lower price levels. This relatively high reading shows that liquidity flows continue to influence Ethereum’s price direction in a meaningful and consistent way. Even though buying pressure appears irregular, its recurring impact on price suggests that traders are still actively responding to market conditions.

Overall, this pattern reflects investors attempting to capitalize on volatility, especially as anticipation grows around potential liquidity inflows tied to upcoming network upgrades. Yet, Arab Chain stresses that without a more sustained accumulation phase and reduced short-term selling, Ethereum may struggle to generate a decisive upward movement.

Ethereum Attempts a Recovery but Faces Key Resistance

Ethereum’s latest price action shows a cautious recovery as ETH climbs back above the $3,150 level, but the chart reveals that the broader structure remains fragile. After a steep decline from the October highs near $4,500, ETH found support slightly above $2,700, where buyers stepped back in with increased volume—visible in the recent surge of green candles at the bottom of the chart. This reaction suggests renewed interest at lower levels, but not yet a decisive shift in trend.

The price is now pressing against the 100-day SMA (red line), a level that previously acted as support and has now flipped into resistance. Reclaiming this line would be an important step toward restoring bullish momentum. Above it, ETH faces another barrier at the 50-day SMA (blue line), which continues to slope downward, reflecting ongoing medium-term selling pressure.

Despite the rebound, volume remains inconsistent, indicating hesitation among market participants. ETH will need stronger follow-through buying to challenge the next resistance zone around $3,300–$3,350, a region aligned with previous breakdown levels.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

Ethereum price started a fresh increase above $3,200. ETH is now consolidating gains and might aim for more gains above $3,250.

• Ethereum started a fresh increase above the $3,050 and $3,120 levels.
• The price is trading above $3,120 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
• There is a short-term contracting triangle forming with support at $3,130 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
• The pair could continue to move up if it settles above the $3,240 zone.

Ethereum Price Eyes Another Upside Break

Ethereum price managed to stay above $2,920 and started a fresh increase, like Bitcoin. ETH price gained strength for a move above the $3,000 and $3,050 resistance levels.

The bulls even pumped the price above $3,150.  However, the bulls struggled to clear $3,240 and $3,250. A high was formed at $3,239 and the price recently corrected some gains. There was a spike below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $2,718 swing low to the $3,239 low.

Ethereum price is now trading above $3,120 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is also a short-term contracting triangle forming with support at $3,130 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD.

If there is another upward move, the price could face resistance near the $3,200 level. The next key resistance is near the $3,240 level. The first major resistance is near the $3,250 level. A clear move above the $3,250 resistance might send the price toward the $3,320 resistance. An upside break above the $3,320 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $3,450 resistance zone or even $3,500 in the near term.

Downside Correction In ETH?

If Ethereum fails to clear the $3,240 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $3,120 level. The first major support sits near the $3,050 zone.

A clear move below the $3,050 support might push the price toward the $3,000 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $2,980 region and the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $2,718 swing low to the $3,239 low in the near term. The next key support sits at $2,850 and $2,840.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone.

Major Support Level – $3,130

Major Resistance Level – $3,240

Ethereum is approaching a critical moment as multiple bullish signals begin to align. A clear Inverse Head & Shoulders formation, combined with rising accumulation and weakening trend rejection, suggests that the market may be gearing up for a powerful upside move. With momentum tightening and key levels coming into focus, ETH now stands on the verge of a breakout that could set the stage for its next major rally.

Inverse Head And Shoulders Signals Brewing Momentum

According to a recent update shared by crypto analyst Donald Dean, Ethereum may be gearing up for a significant move. He highlighted the development of a potential inverse head and shoulders pattern, a classic bullish reversal formation that often precedes strong upward momentum. This emerging structure suggests that ETH could soon shift into a more aggressive bullish phase if confirmed.

Dean also pointed out that the weekly chart is showing solid support near the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, positioned around $2,750. Adding to the bullish signals, a hammer candle has appeared on the weekly timeframe, hinting at buying pressure stepping back in after recent downside movement.

If the pattern plays out, Dean noted that Ethereum’s first major target lies at $4,109, a level that would allow ETH to challenge previous resistance/support zones. Reclaiming this region would mark a meaningful shift in momentum and strengthen the bullish outlook for the asset.

Beyond that, the next upside target sits near $5,766, which aligns closely with the 1.618 Golden Ratio extension calculated at approximately $5,793.51. Dean described this confluence as particularly noteworthy, suggesting that if Ethereum breaks above its nearer targets, a larger rally toward this golden-ratio level becomes a realistic possibility.

Growing Accumulation Suggests Bulls Are Preparing For Action

In an earlier analysis, LSTRADER reminded followers of the impressive move from $1,600 to $4,800, noting that this surge had been identified in advance through both the ETH chart and the ETH/BTC setup. The analysis captured the momentum shift that preceded the rally, reinforcing the value of tracking key structural signals.

In the current market structure, LSTRADER noted that the chart clearly shows multiple instances where the trend faced rejection. Despite these rejections, the trend is steadily losing strength while accumulation continues to build, a combination that typically reflects growing bullish interest and the potential for an upward breakout.

However, LSTRADER stressed that no major move should be assumed until the trendline itself is broken, and confirmation is still required. For now, patience is key as traders continue monitoring the structure and waiting for a decisive shift in trend direction.

Ethereum has witnessed a recovery surge recently as on-chain data shows the shark-sized investors have been participating in strong buying.

Ethereum Sharks Have Added 450,000 ETH Since Mid-November

According to data from on-chain analytics firm Santiment, the supply of the Ethereum sharks has gone up recently. The indicator of relevance here is the “Supply Distribution,” measuring the total amount of tokens that a given wallet group as a whole is holding right now.

In the context of the current topic, the cohort of focus is the one corresponding to a coin range of 1,000 to 10,000 ETH. At the current exchange rate, the lower bound of the range roughly converts to $3.2 million and the upper one to $32 million. Investors of this large size are popularly known as the sharks. While not as massive as the whales (addresses with more than 10,000 ETH), the sharks are still considered influential entities. This can make their behavior often worth keeping an eye on.

As the chart below, shared by Santiment, suggests, the latest Ethereum shark behavior has been one of accumulation.

During the November price decline, the Supply Distribution had been going down for the Ethereum sharks, but around the time of the market bottom, its trend began to reverse. Between November 18th and December 2nd, the sharks added a total of 450,000 ETH (worth about $1.4 billion) to their wallets, a massive amount. Alongside this sharp uptick in the metric, ETH went through its price recovery.

The cryptocurrency’s sharp retrace to start December didn’t dissuade these large hands, either, as their supply only continued to rise. This may be one of the factors behind the quick resumption of bullish momentum that the asset has seen. Another bullish factor has been the trend in the Network Growth, another on-chain indicator displayed in the chart. This metric measures the daily number of addresses that are coming online on the Ethereum network for the first time.

A wallet is considered “online” when it participates in transaction activity on the blockchain, so the Network Growth essentially tracks the addresses making their very first transfer.

From the graph, it’s visible that this Ethereum metric has also surged recently, hitting a peak value of 190,000 addresses. Generally, a surge in network activity is usually a positive sign for any rally’s sustainability, as it implies that the network is able to attract fresh attention.

That said, too much attention too fast can actually end up having a negative effect on the cryptocurrency. It now remains to be seen whether the sharks will continue to buy in the near future and if investor FOMO will remain at healthy levels.

ETH Price

At the time of writing, Ethereum is floating around $3,185, up more than 5% over the last seven days.

Ethereum is demonstrating notable relative strength after reclaiming the $3,150 level and attempting to push higher, offering a refreshing shift in sentiment following weeks of intense selling pressure, fear, and market-wide uncertainty. As the broader crypto landscape begins to stabilize, ETH stands out as one of the assets showing early signs of recovery, drawing renewed attention from traders and long-term investors alike.

A key factor supporting this shift is the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) reading for Ethereum on Binance, which is currently sitting around 0.22 while price trades near $3,100.

This level reflects a delicate equilibrium between fear and optimism, indicating that a significant portion of ETH holders remain in moderate profit. Importantly, NUPL has not yet moved into the “greed” zone typically seen in the late stages of a bullish cycle, suggesting that the market is far from overheated.

Instead, Ethereum appears to be transitioning into a more neutral, constructive phase where investors are cautiously optimistic but not excessively euphoric. This balance often forms the foundation for a healthier recovery, especially after a deep correction. If momentum continues building and NUPL remains stable or trends higher, ETH could be positioning itself for a stronger upside move in the coming weeks.

NUPL Signals a Transitional Market Phase

Arab Chain notes that Ethereum’s NUPL index experienced a significant rise between June and August, reaching levels far higher than today and reflecting strong profitability across the network during mid-2025. At that time, investor sentiment leaned toward optimism, supported by rising prices and improving macro conditions.

However, as Ethereum’s price began to decline steadily from October onward, unrealized profits started to shrink. This pushed NUPL down toward more neutral territory, signaling a shift in sentiment from elevated optimism to a more grounded, cautious outlook.

Crucially, NUPL has not fallen into negative territory, meaning the average ETH holder has not transitioned into unrealized losses. This is an important sign of underlying market strength. When investors remain in profit, they tend to be less motivated to sell aggressively at lower prices, reducing the risk of panic-driven capitulation and helping stabilize price action during corrections.

Taken together, these signals indicate that Ethereum is currently in a transitional phase. The market is neither euphoric nor fearful—rather, it is waiting for a decisive catalyst to define the next trend. As long as NUPL stays above 0.20, Ethereum retains a meaningful level of investor confidence, increasing the likelihood of a rebound if liquidity strengthens or positive fundamental developments emerge.

ETH Rebounds Strongly on the Weekly Chart

Ethereum’s weekly chart shows a powerful rebound as price surges back above the $3,150–$3,200 region, reclaiming a critical support band that had turned into resistance during the November sell-off. The long lower wick from last week’s candle confirms strong buy-side interest around the $2,700–$2,800 zone, an area that has historically acted as a major demand region during multi-month corrections.

ETH has now reclaimed the 100-week SMA, a key trend indicator currently positioned near $2,900, signaling renewed structural stability. The 200-week SMA, sitting comfortably lower, continues to reinforce the long-term uptrend. However, the 50-week SMA, which has flattened and now looms around the $3,350–$3,400 level, represents the next significant resistance level. ETH will need a decisive weekly close above this moving average to confirm a true shift back into bullish momentum.

Volume on the rebound is notably stronger than in previous consolidation phases, suggesting increased participation and growing confidence among market participants. However, ETH is not yet in the clear. The series of lower highs since the September peak forms a descending structure that must be broken for a sustained uptrend to resume.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

Ethereum is showing notable relative strength as it reclaims the $3,150 level and attempts to push higher, signaling early signs of recovery after weeks dominated by heavy selling pressure, fear, and uncertainty. The broader market rebound has helped restore confidence, but ETH’s ability to outperform key altcoins highlights growing demand and improved sentiment around the asset.

Adding to the renewed optimism, fresh on-chain data from Lookonchain reveals a significant move from one of the market’s most recognized whales. During the rebound, whale 0xdECF deposited another 5,000 ETH—worth approximately $15.52 million—into Binance.

This wallet has become well-known for sending large batches of ETH to exchanges throughout the recent downturn, often coinciding with moments of heightened volatility and capitulation.

Its latest deposit suggests that the whale remains highly active and responsive to market conditions. While such movements can sometimes introduce uncertainty, they also highlight increasing liquidity and engagement from major holders. With price reclaiming key levels and whales repositioning, Ethereum enters a critical phase where sustained strength could confirm a broader shift in market structure.

Ethereum Whale Distribution Highlights Market Caution

According to Lookonchain, whale 0xdECF has sold 25,603 ETH—valued at approximately $85.44 million—across Binance and Galaxy Digital since October 28. Despite this substantial distribution, the wallet still holds 5,000 ETH (around $15.52 million), suggesting that the whale has not fully exited its position but has significantly reduced exposure during the recent market decline.

This pattern of behavior provides important insight into sentiment among large holders: while they are not abandoning Ethereum entirely, they are actively managing risk and responding to volatility more aggressively than usual.

Such persistent selling pressure from a large wallet often acts as a drag on price during periods of weakness, especially when market liquidity is thin. However, the fact that the whale continues to retain a meaningful position indicates an expectation of potential recovery—or at least a desire to remain strategically exposed to future upside.

Ethereum now finds itself in a critical phase. The asset has reclaimed key levels, but its mid-term structure remains highly sensitive to macro conditions and whale behavior. If selling from major holders slows and accumulation begins to outpace distribution, the recent rebound could solidify into a sustained trend. Otherwise, renewed sell flows could place Ethereum at risk of revisiting lower support zones.

ETH Reclaims Short-Term Momentum but Faces Heavy Resistance

Ethereum’s daily chart shows a clear improvement in momentum after reclaiming the $3,150–$3,200 region, but the broader structure remains fragile. The bounce from the $2,750–$2,850 support zone marked a decisive shift in buyer behavior, with strong lower wicks indicating aggressive demand. This rebound has pushed ETH back above key short-term levels, yet the asset still faces a challenging path forward.

Price is now approaching the 50-day SMA, currently sloping downward just above $3,250, which now acts as immediate resistance. This moving average has capped every rally since late October and remains the first major barrier for bulls to reclaim. Beyond it, the 100-day SMA around $3,450 and the 200-day SMA near $3,600 form a tight cluster of overhead resistance that defines the medium-term downtrend.

Volume on the recent bounce is stronger than previous attempts, signaling that buyers are showing more conviction compared to the mid-November attempts to recover. However, the overall trend still leans bearish until ETH can break above the 50-day SMA and begin closing daily candles over $3,300.

Ethereum sits in a critical inflection zone: holding above $3,100 strengthens the case for continued recovery, while rejection from the $3,250–$3,300 band could trigger another retest of the $2,800 region. The next few sessions will determine whether this rebound evolves into a deeper trend reversal.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

Ethereum price started a fresh increase above $3,120. ETH is now attempting to clear the $3,250 resistance and might accelerate higher.

• Ethereum started a fresh increase above the $3,000 and $3,120 levels.
• The price is trading above $3,150 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
• There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $3,120 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
• The pair could continue to move up if it settles above the $3,250 zone.

Ethereum Price Eyes More Gains

Ethereum price managed to stay above $2,880 and started a fresh increase, like Bitcoin. ETH price gained strength for a move above the $2,950 and $3,000 resistance levels.

The bulls even pumped the price above $3,120.  However, the price is now testing a key barrier at $3,250. A high was formed at $3,239 and the price is now consolidating above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $2,718 swing low to the $3,239 low.

Ethereum price is now trading above $3,150 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If there is another upward move, the price could face resistance near the $3,250 level.

The next key resistance is near the $3,265 level. The first major resistance is near the $3,320 level. A clear move above the $3,320 resistance might send the price toward the $3,450 resistance. An upside break above the $3,450 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $3,500 resistance zone or even $3,540 in the near term.

Downside Correction In ETH?

If Ethereum fails to clear the $3,250 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $3,160 level. The first major support sits near the $3,120 zone and the trend line.

A clear move below the $3,120 support might push the price toward the $3,050 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $2,980 region and the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $2,718 swing low to the $3,239 low in the near term. The next key support sits at $2,920 and $2,880.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone.

Major Support Level – $3,120

Major Resistance Level – $3,250

The highly anticipated Fusaka Upgrade for Ethereum is on the verge of going live on Wednesday, heralding significant enhancements to the network’s overall functionality. 

Analysts contend that this pivotal development could usher in a considerable supply crunch for ETH, potentially boosting its price during a challenging period for the broader cryptocurrency market.

Layer 2 Solutions To Boost ETH Burn

According to analysts at Bull Theory, the Fusaka Upgrade integrates components from previous upgrades—Osaka, Fulu, and PeerDAS—but its most impactful feature is its resolution of one of Ethereum’s biggest challenges. 

Layers 2 (L2) solutions have long utilized Ethereum’s security while contributing minimal fees back to the network. Despite L2 solutions like Base, Arbitrum, Optimism, and zkSync generating millions in fees from users, the fees recorded on Ethereum tended to diminish to nearly zero when they posted their data. 

Consequently, this meant that significant L2 activity did not result in substantial ETH being burned, even though approximately 85% of Ethereum transactions now occur on these Layer 2 solutions.

The Fusaka Upgrade fundamentally changes this dynamic. A key enhancement is EIP-7918, which mandates that Layer 2 transactions pay real fees to Ethereum. 

This adjustment ensures that every L2 transaction will contribute directly to the burning of ETH—something that was not previously guaranteed. The analysts assert that this feature represents one of the most significant value shifts since the introduction of EIP-1559.

Post-Fusaka Projections

The upgrade is further expected to broaden the scope of ETH burn from being predominantly derived from Layer 1 (L1) transactions to encompassing all L2 activity. 

Historically, most ETH burn has originated from mainnet transactions; thus, the network saw slight inflation in 2024–2025 as Layer 2s made transactions cheaper, leading to a decrease in ETH burn while staking continued to issue new ETH. 

Post-Fusaka, every L2 blob will incur a minimum cost, which will be burned. As Layer 2 adoption increases, the rate at which ETH is burned will also rise, contributing to increased scarcity of ETH.

This enhancement positions Ethereum to shift back towards deflation for the first time in several years. Currently, ETH issues around 620,000 new tokens annually for stakers while burning approximately 350,000 tokens. This results in a net slight inflation. 

However, projections following the Fusaka Upgrade, even with conservative estimates, suggest that the additional burn from L2 activity could range from 200,000 to 400,000 ETH per year. 

Combined with existing burn rates, this could bring the total to over 600,000 ETH, leading to a net neutral or slightly deflationary state for ETH. 

More bullish models predict that if L2 adoption flourishes and demand for blobs rises, burn rates could soar to between 900,000 and 1.2 million ETH annually, resulting in a supply decrease of 200,000 to 300,000 ETH each year. 

Monetary Transformation For Ethereum?

Another notable aspect of the Fusaka upgrade is PeerDAS, which enhances Layer 2 growth by reducing bandwidth requirements by 85%. This efficiency allows L2 solutions to publish more blobs at lower costs, resulting in increased fees and, consequently, more ETH burned.

The upgrade also increases the block gas limit from 36 million to 60 million, allowing more transactions to fit within each block. This increase means that more transactions can occur, leading to higher fees collected and a corresponding rise in burning. 

Furthermore, lower fees for transactions—such as swaps, bridges, on-chain gaming, and social applications—will likely drive more usage, resulting in increased transactions and higher ETH burn.

Ultimately, the analysts believe that the Fusaka Upgrade represents a significant monetary transformation for Ethereum, indicating that the network is not only scaling but also beginning to monetize that scaling effectively.

Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com

Over the past few weeks, the price of Ethereum has been on a downward trend due to a highly volatile market environment. ETH’s bearish action appears to have hampered on-chain activities, as evidenced by a decline in its total transactions carried out within a monthly period.

A Quiet Month For The Ethereum Network

Ethereum’s on-chain activity appears to have slowed down alongside the ongoing decline of ETH’s price. The blockchain, which is typically bustling with contract calls, exchanges, and transfers, now feels a little more roomy, suggesting a cooling pulse beneath the surface.

After examining the Transactions on the Ethereum Network metric in the monthly time frame, Everstake.eth, a market analyst and the head of the ETH segment at Everstake, revealed that the blockchain has recorded its worst month of the year. While price has declined, ETH’s total transactions executed in a month, particularly November, experienced a cool-off.

According to the data, the overall number of transactions carried out on the Ethereum network in November alone was approximately 32.2 million. Although this figure may seem large, it actually marks the lowest monthly count in the past 12 months.

Such a drop in transactions may suggest the renewed waning appetite for the network. In addition to suggesting a retreat, this delay reads more like a collective pause as users catch their breath, procedures recalibrating, and the market adjusting to its new rhythm. 

Everstake.eth highlighted that this kind of cooldown usually occurs when the market moves into a wait-and-see phase. During this phase, capital is observed sitting on the sidelines while developers continue to build on the blockchain. Despite this trend, the network still records more than 33 million transactions in a quiet month, which reflects its robust strength.

At a time like this, the expert noted that user behavior typically follows the market sentiment. As seen in the past, on-chain activity tends to cool down when volatility drops. However, Ethereum still retains the status as the most reliable network even during slow phases.

With the Fusaka Upgrade set to hit the market, Everstake.eth predicts that ETH transactions will see explosive growth. “If this is the worst month, imagine what the best will look like after Fusaka rolls out. It will be huge,” the expert stated.

ETH Active Transactions Pick Up

The monthly transactions may have slowed down, but the active addresses on the Ethereum network are heating up again. Leon Waidmann, the head of research at On-Chain Foundation, reported that active addresses throughout the entire ecosystem, Layer 1 and Layer 2s, bounced back above 9.5 million this week.

This surge points to a quiet resurgence of interest, utility, or a group readiness for the future. Waidmann highlighted that this marks the first meaningful reversal after several weeks of downside action.

ETH layer 2s such as Base, Arbitrum, Optimism, and World Chain have witnessed a strong rebound following a period of decline. Furthermore, multi-chain activity is starting to stabilize after the drop in Q3. These factors are painting a bullish picture for the network and its price prospects.

Ethereum has reclaimed the $3,000 level after a strong market reaction to improving macro conditions, offering investors a much-needed shift in momentum. The move comes just days after the Federal Reserve officially ended Quantitative Tightening (QT), a policy shift that immediately boosted liquidity expectations across all risk assets. With markets now pricing in an imminent interest rate cut, confidence has begun to return, and ETH is one of the first major assets to respond.

This rebound reflects more than just macro relief. According to data from Arkham, shared by Lookonchain, Bitmine continues to accumulate Ethereum at current prices, reinforcing bullish sentiment at a moment when many traders remain cautious. Bitmine’s persistent buying throughout the correction has become one of the most influential signals for on-chain analysts, suggesting that large players see long-term value even as the market wrestles with volatility.

Reclaiming $3,000 places Ethereum back above a key psychological level, and the combination of supportive macro policy and whale accumulation provides a stronger foundation than the market had just weeks ago.

Bitmine and Linked Wallets Expand Ethereum Holdings

According to data from Arkham reported by Lookonchain, Bitmine has purchased another 18,345 ETH, worth approximately $54.94 million, just a few hours ago. This marks yet another large buy in a growing series of aggressive accumulation moves that Bitmine has made throughout the correction. Their continued willingness to buy at current levels signals strong confidence in Ethereum’s long-term value, even as the market navigates heightened volatility.

Shortly after this report, Lookonchain highlighted activity from a newly created wallet, 0x52B7, which withdrew 30,278 ETH—valued at $91.16 million—from Kraken. The size and timing of the withdrawal have led analysts to speculate that this wallet may be linked to Bitmine or part of a broader accumulation strategy.

Large withdrawals from exchanges typically indicate that the owner intends to hold the assets off-exchange, often for long-term storage or staking, rather than preparing to sell.

If the wallet is indeed connected to Bitmine, this would bring their latest combined accumulation to nearly 50,000 ETH in a single day. Such behavior suggests strategic positioning ahead of potential macro-driven upside or internal confidence in Ethereum’s recovery.

This kind of synchronized whale activity often precedes significant price shifts, reinforcing the idea that large players are preparing for a stronger market phase.

ETH Reclaims $3,000 But Still Faces Key Resistance

Ethereum’s 3-day chart shows a notable improvement after reclaiming the $3,000 level, but the broader trend still carries signs of fragility. The recent bounce followed a deep corrective move that sent ETH from the $4,500 region down to the $2,700–$2,800 support zone, where buyers finally stepped in with conviction. The strong lower wicks around this area confirm that demand remains active, but Ethereum has yet to fully recover its bullish structure.

Price now trades just below the 50 SMA, which sits near the $3,100–$3,150 zone—an important short-term resistance level. A clean break above this moving average would signal renewed momentum and increase the chances of retesting the $3,400–$3,600 range. Meanwhile, the 100 SMA and 200 SMA remain slightly above price, reflecting the broader downtrend that has dominated since September.

Volume has picked up slightly during the recovery, but it remains muted compared to the selling spikes seen during the drawdown. This indicates cautious buying rather than aggressive accumulation at these levels. To confirm a trend reversal, ETH must close above the 50 SMA and then challenge the cluster of resistance around $3,200–$3,300.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

The crypto market delivered a dramatic rebound this week, with the Bitcoin price vaulting above $92,000 and Ethereum climbing back over $3,000. The sharp recovery in both leading cryptocurrencies has caught the market’s attention, with analysts now sharing the major reason for the unexpected pump. 

Why The Ethereum And Bitcoin Price Are Rebounding

Bitcoin is currently trading above $93,000 after experiencing a period of accelerated selling and heavy long liquidations that had briefly pushed its price down over the past few weeks. Now that forced selling has eased, the cryptocurrency has recovered significantly, adding an astonishing $75 billion to its market capitalization within 10 hours. 

Ethereum has followed the same upward swing. Data from CoinMarketCap shows that ETH has gained more than 9% in the past 24 hours, with steady accumulation pushing its price above $3,050. 

Crypto market analyst Wimar.X has explained the reason behind the sudden surge in both Bitcoin and Ethereum prices. He framed the resurgence as a rapid wave of high-volume coordinated institutional buying. In his words, the market pumped because a massive round of accumulation occurred within a single hour. 

Data from Arkham Intelligence shows that Wintermute, a leading algorithmic trading firm, had bought 8,577 BTC ahead of the market surge. Binance, the world’s largest crypto exchange, also acquired 7,658 BTC, while a major whale wallet added 6,010 BTC to its portfolio. Finally, BitMEX, a crypto exchange co-founded by Arthur Hayes, reportedly accumulated 5,818 BTC, while Bitfinex absorbed 5,778 BTC. 

According to Wimar.X analysis, the sudden accumulation and its timing appear coordinated. He described the activity as manipulation, implying that it was intended to influence market perception and artificially sway prices. 

Analysts Share Outlook For Bitcoin And Ethereum Price After Pump

As the crypto market showed renewed strength and BTC recovered above $90,000, crypto expert Michael van de Poppe took to X to highlight the significance of the rebound. He noted that the recent dip in Bitcoin’s price at the start of the month appeared unusual but was followed by a strong bounce. According to the analyst, surpassing $92,000 will be critical for Bitcoin and could pave the way for a new all-time high and a potential test of $100,000. 

On the other hand, a market analyst identified as ‘More Crypto Online’ on X has stated that Ethereum is currently testing the micro support zone between $2,907 and $2,974. He noted that holding this support area is crucial for sustaining the upward momentum that began earlier this week.

As a result, the analyst has predicted that Ethereum’s next upside window sits between $3,165 and $3,210. He cautioned that a breach below the lower support level could trigger a deeper corrective wave. However, current trends suggest that ETH is mainly aiming higher. 

Ethereum price started a fresh increase above $2,920. ETH is now attempting to clear the $3,050 resistance and might accelerate higher.

• Ethereum started a fresh increase above the $2,920 and $2,950 levels.
• The price is trading above $2,950 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
• There was a break above a short-term bearish trend line with resistance at $2,825 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
• The pair could continue to move up if it settles above the $3,050 zone.

Ethereum Price Eyes Upside Break

Ethereum price managed to stay above $2,720 and started a fresh increase, like Bitcoin. ETH price gained strength for a move above the $2,850 and $2,880 resistance levels.

There was a break above a short-term bearish trend line with resistance at $2,825 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. The bulls even pumped the price above $2,950.  However, the price is now testing a key barrier at $3,050. A high was formed at $3,047 and the price is now consolidating above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $2,718 swing low to the $3,047 low.

Ethereum price is now trading above $2,950 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If there is another upward move, the price could face resistance near the $3,050 level.

The next key resistance is near the $3,080 level. The first major resistance is near the $3,120 level. A clear move above the $3,120 resistance might send the price toward the $3,200 resistance. An upside break above the $3,200 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $3,350 resistance zone or even $3,380 in the near term.

Another Decline In ETH?

If Ethereum fails to clear the $3,050 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2,970 level. The first major support sits near the $2,880 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $2,718 swing low to the $3,047 low.

A clear move below the $2,840 support might push the price toward the $2,800 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $2,750 region in the near term. The next key support sits at $2,720 and $2,710.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone.

Major Support Level – $2,970

Major Resistance Level – $3,050

Ethereum has fallen below the $2,800 mark after a sharp and sudden decline, deepening panic across the market and reinforcing the sense that bulls have lost control. The recent drop has pushed investors into defensive mode, with some analysts now openly discussing the possibility of a broader bear market emerging. Selling pressure has intensified across spot and derivatives markets, and volatility continues to rise as traders struggle to identify a reliable support zone.

A new CryptoQuant report by Darkfost highlights one of the most alarming developments: Ethereum’s open interest on Binance has been steadily collapsing for more than three months. After reaching an all-time high of $12.6 billion on August 22, open interest has now been cut in half. Nearly $6.4 billion in derivative positions have evaporated, bringing ETH’s open interest down to $6.2 billion, a steep 51% decline.

While this appears to be an extraordinary contraction, Darkfost notes that open interest has only just slipped below the previous all-time high of $7.7 billion. This underscores how speculative and overstretched the 2025 derivatives market had become — and suggests that Ethereum may be undergoing a much deeper structural reset than most expected.

Speculation Unwinds Across Exchanges as Ethereum Enters Deep Reset Phase

Darkfost emphasizes that 2025 has been the most speculative phase in Ethereum’s history, fueled by aggressive leverage, rapid inflows, and a market structure that proved far less solid — and far less sustainable — than it appeared during the rally. The collapse in open interest on Binance is only part of the story.

The same pattern is unfolding across major derivatives platforms, revealing a broader structural unwind rather than an exchange-specific phenomenon.

On Gate.io, ETH open interest has fallen from $5.2 billion to $3.5 billion. On Bybit, the drop is even more severe, plunging from $6.1 billion to $2.3 billion. This synchronized contraction shows how aggressively speculative positions have been flushed out. Meanwhile, the ongoing correction has dragged Ethereum’s price from $4,830 to $2,800, marking a steep 43% decline from the highs.

This widespread reduction in leverage suggests the market is undergoing a deeper reset than typical corrections. Investors are not rushing to re-enter positions, especially as liquidations continue to stack up across exchanges.

While shrinking open interest weighs on short-term momentum and sentiment, Darkfost notes that such aggressive deleveraging may ultimately help rebuild a healthier market foundation — one capable of supporting a durable bottom for ETH.

ETH Loses Key Trend Support as 3-Day Structure Turns Fully Bearish

Ethereum’s 3-day chart shows a decisive breakdown in structure, with price now firmly below the 50 SMA, 100 SMA, and 200 SMA for the first time since late 2024. The rejection from the $3,600–$3,800 region triggered a strong impulse to the downside, sending ETH directly through all major moving averages and confirming a shift toward a higher-timeframe downtrend. The current trading zone around $2,800 reflects a critical test of former support, but momentum remains weak.

The 50 SMA has now crossed below the 100 SMA, while both are beginning to converge downward toward the 200 SMA — a configuration that typically precedes sustained corrections. Volume has increased on red candles, showing that sellers remain dominant, and there is little evidence of aggressive dip-buying. The most recent candle wick toward $2,700 highlights vulnerability rather than strength, suggesting buyers are hesitant to defend this level with conviction.

ETH is also forming a series of lower highs and lower lows, further confirming bearish market structure. If $2,750 breaks cleanly, the next significant liquidity zones sit near $2,550 and $2,300, where prior consolidations developed earlier in the cycle.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

The prices of Ethereum and Dogecoin have followed a similar trajectory to the Bitcoin price crash as the pioneer digital asset continues to lead the crypto market lower. The muted action from Bitcoin has led to speculations that the market is finally headed into another bear trend after rising over the last few years. In this same vein, a crypto analyst has predicted when they believe that the bear market will really start, and that the current trend could still lead to an eventual pump in the market.

Why The Bitcoin, Ethereum, And Dogecoin Prices Could Still Pump

Crypto analyst ChainShinobi explained what is going on in the market, predicting that the trend could end up going against what investors are expecting at this time. According to the X post, while everyone is currently calling for lower prices, it could lead to another pump that culminates in the final top for the crypto market

ChainShinobi predicts what they refer to as “a face-melter”, the type of rally that no one sees coming and takes the likes of Bitcoin, Dogecoin, and Ethereum to possibly new all-time highs. However, instead of using this time to call for higher prices, the analyst believes that it is the best time for investors to actually get out of the market. This pump, which the analyst refers to as an exit window, could provide investors one final chance to actually get out of the market before another price crash.

This is “The moment to lock in massive profit while everyone else is busy blinding themselves with hopium and pushing their targets higher and higher… the same way they dragged their targets lower and lower right now,” the crypto analyst said.

The Same Wave Every Cycle

As for when the Dogecoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin prices could move into the next bear market, the crypto analyst tells investors not to expect it until next year. More precisely, ChainShinobi believes that the bear market will fully begin by the end of the first quarter of 2025.

When the pump comes, the analyst warns that there could be an influx of bullish sentiment, with bullish news flooding the market. But it is during this time that the market is expected to turn. Essentially, the bear market is expected to begin when investors least expect it. “It’s pretty easy to see what’s coming. You don’t need to overdo TA or PA right now to see the path laid out,” the post read.

Ethereum has fallen below the $2,800 mark after a sharp and sudden decline, deepening market anxiety and raising fresh questions about whether a broader bearish phase may be emerging. The drop has undermined bullish momentum, with buyers struggling to defend key support levels as selling pressure accelerates across both spot and derivatives markets.

Sentiment has deteriorated quickly, and several analysts are beginning to openly discuss the possibility of a sustained bear market if ETH fails to stabilize soon.

Yet amid the growing panic, a notable counter-signal continues to attract attention: Bitmine’s ongoing accumulation. Despite ETH’s decline, the firm has repeatedly added to its holdings, purchasing thousands of ETH over the past several weeks. Bitmine’s persistent buying behavior suggests that at least some large players still view the current correction as an opportunity rather than a risk.

For investors searching for signs of resilience, Bitmine’s actions have become a point of cautious optimism. While the macro structure remains fragile and the downtrend intact, steady accumulation from an institutional buyer provides a potential anchor of support — and raises the possibility that a rebound could form once selling pressure exhausts.

Bitmine Expands Its Massive Ethereum Position

According to on-chain data from Arkham, shared by Lookonchain, Bitmine has continued its aggressive accumulation strategy, purchasing an additional 7,080 ETH—worth approximately $19.8 million—just a few hours ago.

This latest buy adds to a series of repeated inflows over the past several weeks, reinforcing the firm’s conviction even as Ethereum trades near multi-month lows. Bitmine’s willingness to keep adding during periods of heightened volatility has become one of the most notable accumulation trends in the market.

With this purchase, Bitmine’s total Ethereum holdings have climbed to roughly 3.43 million ETH, now valued at around $9.6 billion at current prices. This positions the firm as one of the largest known institutional holders of ETH, and its continued accumulation stands in sharp contrast to the broader atmosphere of fear and defensive positioning. While many traders are reducing exposure amid Ethereum’s sharp decline, Bitmine appears to be doubling down.

Such behavior from a major entity often signals longer-term confidence in Ethereum’s fundamentals, regardless of short-term price action. For investors, Bitmine’s expanding position has created a counter-narrative to prevailing bearish sentiment, suggesting that deeper-pocketed players may be preparing for a recovery once the market finishes resetting.

ETH Tests Weekly Support as Trend Weakens

Ethereum’s weekly chart shows a significant loss of momentum, with price breaking below the 50 SMA and now sitting directly on top of the 100 SMA near the $2,750–$2,800 region. This zone has historically served as an important structural support during prior corrections, making the current interaction a critical moment for the broader trend. The sharp rejection from the $4,500 level marks one of ETH’s steepest weekly declines since 2022, highlighting the intensity of the current sell-off.

The 50 SMA has begun to curl downward, signaling early signs of medium-term trend weakness. Meanwhile, the 100 SMA is flattening, acting as the last dynamic support before the 200 SMA at $2,450, which represents the true long-term floor. A clean weekly close below the 100 SMA would open the door to a deeper retracement toward that level.

Volume has increased during the recent decline, reflecting forced selling and derivatives-driven liquidations rather than orderly profit-taking. Despite this, the long lower wicks forming near $2,700 suggest buyers are still attempting to defend the area.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

Data shows the Ethereum Open Interest has shot up by more than 4% following the sharp move down in the cryptocurrency’s price.

Ethereum Has Seen A Pullback Over The Past Day

The cryptocurrency sector as a whole has witnessed a plunge to kick off the new month, with Bitcoin and Ethereum both being down by more than 5% over the last 24 hours. ETH is back in the low $2,800 levels, having essentially retraced the recovery that it had made during the last week of November.

The sudden price decline has unleashed a wave of liquidations on the derivatives exchanges, leading to $158 million in Ethereum-related contracts being flushed. Of these, $140 million of the liquidations involved long positions alone.

Below is a heatmap from CoinGlass that breaks down the liquidation numbers related to the various digital asset symbols.

Interestingly, while notable liquidations have occurred, derivatives investors still haven’t become discouraged.

ETH Open Interest Has Gone Up Since The Dip

As pointed out by CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn in an X post, the Ethereum Open Interest has witnessed a sharp jump following the price decline. The “Open Interest” here refers to an indicator that measures the total amount of positions related to ETH that are currently open on all centralized derivatives platforms.

Here is the chart shared by Maartunn that shows the trend in this metric over the past couple of days:

As displayed in the above graph, the Ethereum Open Interest initially collapsed alongside the price drop as long positions suffered forceful closures. As ETH’s bearish momentum tapered off and the price settled into a sideways rhythm, however, the metric saw a gradual reversal in direction, indicating that speculators have started opening up fresh positions.

Since the dip, the ETH Open Interest has gone up by almost $654 million, equivalent to an increase of 4.3%. “Looks like the gamblers are back for another round,” noted the analyst.

Historically, a high value on the metric has generally been something that has led to volatility for the cryptocurrency. This is because an extreme amount of positions implies the presence of a high amount of leverage in the sector. In these conditions, any sharp swing in the asset can induce a large number of liquidations in the market. These liquidations only feed back into the price move that caused them, making it more intense.

An example of this pattern was already seen during the past day. With the Ethereum Open Interest now rising again, it remains to be seen whether more volatility will follow.

Ethereum price started a fresh decline below $2,880. ETH is now attempting to recover from $2,720 but the bulls might face resistance.

• Ethereum started a fresh decline below $2,880 and $2,800.
• The price is trading below $2,850 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
• There is a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2,820 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
• The pair could continue to move up if it settles above the $2,850 zone.

Ethereum Price Attempts Recovery

Ethereum price failed to stay above $2,950 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin. ETH price declined below $2,880 to enter a bearish zone. The bears even pushed the price below $2,800.

A low was formed at $2,718 and the price is now attempting to recover. There was a move above the $2,750 level. The price climbed above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,052 swing high to the $2,718 low.

Ethereum price is now trading below $2,850 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If there is another upward move, the price could face resistance near the $2,820 level. There is also a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2,820 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD.

The next key resistance is near the $2,880 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,052 swing high to the $2,718 low. The first major resistance is near the $2,920 level. A clear move above the $2,920 resistance might send the price toward the $3,000 resistance. An upside break above the $3,000 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $3,050 resistance zone or even $3,150 in the near term.

Another Decline In ETH?

If Ethereum fails to clear the $2,880 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2,760 level. The first major support sits near the $2,740 zone.

A clear move below the $2,740 support might push the price toward the $2,720 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $2,650 region in the near term. The next key support sits at $2,550 and $2,500.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is losing momentum in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone.

Major Support Level – $2,720

Major Resistance Level – $2,880

Ethereum lost the critical $3,000 level on Sunday, sliding toward $2,800 and triggering a new wave of fear across the market. The drop highlights a deepening corrective phase that has pushed short-term investors into heavy unrealized losses, prompting many to reassess their risk exposure.

Adding to the uncertainty, fresh on-chain data has revealed renewed distribution from major holders. According to data from Arkham, shared by Lookonchain, the well-known whale 0xdECF deposited another 5,000 ETH—roughly $15.05 million—into Binance.

This move expands a pattern of consistent selling pressure from large wallets, often seen during heightened market stress. While one whale does not define the broader trend, these deposits usually reinforce bearish sentiment among traders who monitor exchange inflows as a proxy for potential sell-side liquidity.

Whale Distribution Deepens Amid Broader Market Anxiety

Since October 28, the same whale wallet has accelerated its selling activity, unloading 25,603 ETH—approximately $85.44 million—across Binance and Galaxy Digital. Despite this aggressive distribution, the wallet still holds 10,000 ETH valued at roughly $30.34 million, leaving open the possibility of continued sell pressure if market conditions weaken further. Large-scale movements like these often signal a shift in sentiment from sophisticated holders who tend to anticipate volatility earlier than the broader market.

This selling spree comes at a moment when confidence is already fragile. The recent Tether FUD, fueled by speculation around reserve transparency and potential regulatory scrutiny, has added stress to liquidity conditions.

Meanwhile, renewed headlines about a supposed China Bitcoin ban have resurfaced on social media, amplifying fear across both retail traders and short-term investors. Although neither narrative reflects new fundamental risks, emotional markets often react sharply to sensational news during corrective phases.

Together, these factors create a backdrop where whale distributions gain outsized influence. If the remaining 10,000 ETH enters exchanges, it could deepen short-term downside pressure. Conversely, a pause in selling may suggest that the whale views current levels as near-capitulation territory, offering a potential floor for stabilization.

Ethereum Price Tests Support as Downtrend Remains Intact

Ethereum’s 4-hour chart shows a market still struggling to regain momentum after losing the $3,000 handle. The broader structure remains decisively bearish, with price trading below the 50 SMA, 100 SMA, and 200 SMA—a clear indication that sellers continue to control the trend. Each attempt to recover above the moving averages has been rejected, reinforcing the downtrend that began in late October and has continued through November.

The recent bounce from the $2,750–$2,800 support zone shows that buyers are defending this level, but the reaction lacks conviction. Volume remains muted, and the latest attempt to reclaim $3,000 quickly failed, forming another lower high. This signals hesitation and suggests that bulls are not yet strong enough to shift market structure.

The compression seen toward the end of the chart formed a small symmetrical triangle, but the breakdown that followed confirms that sellers still dominate short-term momentum. As long as ETH remains below the 200 EMA—now near $3,350—the macro trend favors continuation to the downside.

If $2,800 breaks cleanly, the next liquidity pockets sit around $2,600 and $2,450, levels that could attract stronger buyer interest. For now, Ethereum must reclaim $3,000 with sustained volume to neutralize bearish pressure.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

The leading Ethereum network is witnessing serious engagement even as its price struggles to undergo a major surge. After a massive wave of both new and old investors, the ETH mainnet utilization has increased drastically, reaching levels of adoption not seen since its inception.

Historic Lift-Off For Ethereum Mainnet Utilization

Ethereum is undergoing a shift in network adoption. In a significant landmark that cements its dominance, the Ethereum Maninnet usage has increased to the point where it feels more like a structural awakening than regular growth. 

Leon Waidmann, the founder of On-Chain Foundation and market expert, reported that the ETH mainnet’s utilization is currently at an all-time high. This kind of spike in network traffic may indicate the return of activity from the periphery to the center of the chain, new applications, or even a resurgence of trust in the network’s long-term prospects.

Data shared by the market expert shows the network’s usage in the past 30 days rose to 1.97mags/s, marking its highest level in history. The chart reveals that the rise to a new peak represents a more than 57% increase in Year-Over-Year (YoY), indicating that ETH is moving with intent once again.

While weak network effects and parasitic Layer 2s are being debated within the community, Waidmann highlighted that the Ethereum Mainnet continues to display strong growth and strength. This robust growth is evidenced by the increase in activity, spiking gas fees, and the surge in the number of ETH being burned.

By combining these key factors about the network, Waidmann claims that ETH could attract more economic load. As a result, the leading altcoin may gradually shed its old skin and take on a more rigid financial function.

Waidmann has declared that ETH could become harder money and a settlement collateral. As a result, ETH is starting to resemble the foundation of a future financial structure rather than just a utility token.

ETH Layer 2s Dominates Network’s Transactions

In the midst of surging network activity and adoption, Ethereum layer 2s are now dominating in terms of transactions at a speed that makes the base layer feel nearly slow in contrast. While the center might still hold, the edges are undeniably where users’ action currently resides.

Last week, Waidmann noted that the total Transaction Per Second (TPS) across the Ethereum network reached over 358.21. Meanwhile, a more significant portion of these transactions was carried out on layer 2 networks. According to the data shared by the on-chain Foundation founder, layer 2s controlled over 95.2% of the overall throughput. 

Such a development implies that execution has largely moved to the layer 2 chains. A major reason for this might be that users, liquidity, and developers are looking for quicker and less expensive channels to carry out transactions, transforming ETH’s scaling stack into the ecosystem’s actual heartbeat.