The Bitcoin price outlook remains under scrutiny as market analysts assess whether the world’s largest cryptocurrency can still reach $140,000. Given BTC’s recent downturn and fluctuating price, it’s understandable that a dramatic surge to $140,000 could be viewed skeptically. However, the analyst points to global M2 Money Supply, highlighting its correlation with Bitcoin and its support for a significant upside move.

New discussions have emerged in the crypto space about the relationship between the Bitcoin price action and the global M2 Money Supply. Pseudonymous crypto analyst ‘MoneyLord’ has projected a massive price surge to $140,000 for BTC based on M2 data. The analyst noted that many people are skeptical about the relevance of M2 Money Supply, likely questioning whether it still holds predictive value for Bitcoin’s performance.

Global M2 Money Supply To Fuel $140,000 Bitcoin Price Surge

According to MoneyLord, the recent disconnect between Bitcoin and M2 data should not be viewed as a failure of the model, but rather as a consequence of aggressive market interference and increased stress across global financial systems. In his technical report released on X, he argued that, without heavy manipulation and the collapse and insolvency of major entities, Bitcoin would have continued to track global liquidity growth.

Related Reading: Is It More Profitable To Hold Bitcoin For The Short-Term? 2025 Numbers Are Here

MoneyLord believes that those shocks temporarily suppressed BTC’s price expansion, likely contributing to its recent decline and slow momentum. With market conditions somewhat stabilizing, the analyst suggests that Bitcoin is poised to realign with global M2 Money Supply trends, potentially setting the stage for renewed upward momentum. 

From this perspective, the current phase is viewed as a delayed reaction rather than a failed cycle. MoneyLord predicts that if Bitcoin begins to catch up with M2 data, the cryptocurrency’s price could hit a target above $140,000 sooner than the market expects. The accompanying chart illustrates this bullish outlook, showing global liquidity, represented by the blue line, continuing to rise toward the projected price. 

With Bitcoin trading near $90,000 after a more than 6% decline this month, a rally to $140,000 would require a gain of at least 55%. Reaching this level would set a new all-time high, exceeding its present peak of over $126,000 by more than 10%. 

Bitcoin Shows Resilience Amid Market Sell-Offs

According to crypto analyst Don, Bitcoin has bounced back after a period of sharp sell-offs that shook out many traders and triggered widespread liquidations. The analyst noted that bulls have stepped in to reclaim critical support and restore confidence in the market as BTC resumes trading within a well-defined ascending triangle pattern. 

The chart shows that the triangle has an upper boundary near $94,324 and a lower boundary around $89,241. Price action inside the formation suggests that Bitcoin is consolidating and likely building momentum for a potential breakout. 

The lawsuit between Ripple and the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) had dominated headlines for years, with XRP in the spotlight over its potential classification as a security. Now that the legal dispute is over and XRP has been definitively cleared as non-security, experts argue that Ripple’s greatest success extends far beyond XRP regulation.  

Ripple’s True Victory Beyond XRP Regulation 

A crypto market expert operating under the name “Stellar Rippler” on X has shared a compelling report that reassesses what truly constitutes Ripple’s biggest win. The analyst highlighted that the real win for Ripple was not regulatory approval but an intellectual shift in how the project is perceived. 

The expert highlighted that while he favors XRP, he has historically been skeptical of Ripple’s intentions. However, he stated that the recent approval of the crypto company’s bank charter by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) speaks volumes about Ripple’s long-term vision in the financial sector. 

Last week, on December 12, the OCC granted conditional approval to five crypto-related firms, including Ripple, to obtain national trust bank charters. This achievement marked a significant milestone for Ripple, reinforcing its legitimacy in traditional finance despite the numerous oppositions. 

In his post, the analyst compares XRP and XLM, noting that the debate between the two cryptocurrencies has often been driven by emotion. He said that discussions were frequently centered on conflicts between retail and institutions, accusations of token dumpings, and differing visions for the future. 

According to the expert, XRP and XLM have always been structurally similar, both designed for fast, low-cost settlement, cross-border liquidity, interoperability, and real-world financial infrastructure. However, he notes that the primary difference between the two cryptocurrencies has always been strategy rather than values. 

He explained that while Ripple prioritized tackling regulatory hurdles, banking, and building institutional partnerships first, Stellar focused on grassroots adoption and open networks. With the new OCC bank charter, the expert emphasizes that Ripple’s strategic approach is now clearly validated and undeniable. 

Stellar Rippler highlighted that Ripple did not abandon its crypto principles but took on the regulatory responsibility to ensure its network could operate at scale. He stated that this milestone shows that history favors builders who solve foundational problems rather than those who focus on tribal disputes.  

Stellar Expert Shifts Stance After Ripple Gains OCC Approval 

In a previous post, Stellar Rippler publicly announced a significant change in perspective on Ripple following news that the company had received conditional approval for a national bank charter. He admitted he was wrong in his past views, describing the recent development as a full submission to the highest level of federal and state oversight in the United States. 

The Stellar expert now believes that Ripple is firmly committed to long-term global finance, stating that a company would not take such a path if it were not building something designed to last decades. He added that this milestone represents maturity and legitimacy for Ripple and strengthens confidence in XRP.

Crypto pundit Crypto Wimar has explained why the Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP prices crashed, highlighting the continuous selling pressure. The crypto market is also at risk of further downward pressure due to macro factors such as the impending Japan rate hike. 

Why The Bitcoin, Ethereum, And XRP Prices Crashed

In an X post, Crypto Wimar revealed that Wintermute has dumped 40% of its holdings over the last three weeks, which has contributed to the crash in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP prices. The crypto pundit further noted that the market maker is still dumping millions in BTC and ETH on Binance, which puts these coins at risk of further declines. 

The Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP prices are also crashing as crypto market investors brace for a Japan interest rate hike by the BOJ at their December 19 meeting. Polymarket data shows that there is currently a 97.4% chance that the BOJ will increase rates by 25 basis points. A Japan rate hike impacts the crypto market as it puts the yen carry trade in focus, with investors moving to sell their assets before the yen strengthens and their debt becomes more expensive. 

Meanwhile, it is worth mentioning that the Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP prices have crashed after every Fed rate cut this year. This similar price action is playing out as the Fed lowered rates by 25 bps last week. These crypto assets had seen a notable rebound prior to the Fed rate decision last week, indicating that the cut was already priced in. 

Demand for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP also appears to be dwindling, even among institutional investors. Crypto analytics platform CryptoQuant stated that Bitcoin treasury growth is losing momentum, noting that the accumulation pace is slowing despite the fact that 117 new companies added BTC to their treasuries this year. Ethereum treasury company BitMine is also the only company that has continued to accumulate ETH at an impressive pace amid this market downturn. 

BTC At Risk Of Drop Below $50,000

Crypto analyst Titan of Crypto has indicated that the Bitcoin price could still drop below $50,000, which also puts Ethereum and XRP at risk of crashing. In an X post, the analyst raised the possibility that a BTC bear pennant is forming.

He noted that this is not a structure that market investors will typically want to see in a bull market. Titan of Crypto added that the structure is still developing, but it is one that is worth monitoring closely. 

Meanwhile, the analyst’s accompanying chart showed that the Bitcoin price could drop below $50,000 as soon as February next year. It is worth mentioning that veteran trader Peter Brandt had also earlier predicted that BTC could drop below $50,000 based on his belief that the flagship crypto is already in a bear market.

Legendary analyst Peter Brandt has criticized XRP investors, describing them as uneducated. His criticism comes amid the drop below the psychological $2 level, despite recent fundamentals that paint a bullish picture for the altcoin. 

Peter Brandt Describes XRP Investors As “Uneducated”

In an X post, Brandt stated that XRP investors, who are permabulls, are the most uneducated and biased set of people he has seen over his 50 years of trading. The veteran trader classified this set of investors alongside those who trumpet Silver. He also highlighted how this was a big deal considering that he has traded thousands of contracts of every commodity, stock indexes, and many cryptos. 

XRP has, over the years, been known to have one of the strongest crypto communities, which commonly refer to themselves as the ‘XRP Army.’ Brandt has, on several occasions, been criticized by some investors over some of his bearish predictions for the altcoin. This has led to him calling them out in the past whenever he makes such predictions. 

It is worth mentioning that Brandt had also earlier in the month asserted that the “most madly obsessed perma-bulls” on earth are bulls. Although the veteran trader didn’t state an exact reason for making these statements, some pundits have developed a knack for making outlandish price predictions. 

An example of such a pundit is Barry C, who recently stated that the price will skyrocket from $2 to $1,000 a lot sooner than people anticipate. The pundit has in the past alluded to banks’ potential adoption of the token as a factor that could spark the rally to $1,000. He recently highlighted the OCC’s grant of a conditional approval to Ripple to operate as a bank, which provides a boost for the altcoin. 

Largest IQ Holder Is Now A Bull

XRP pundit Zach Rector clapped back against Brandt’s statement, noting that the largest IQ holder is now an XRP bull. The largest IQ holder, Young Hoon Kim, recently revealed that he had started buying the token, having become bullish on the altcoin. He also predicted that the altcoin could reach a new all-time high (ATH) before the year ends. 

Meanwhile, in his latest X post, Kim opined that the price could potentially reach $100 over the next five years. However, he didn’t mention what could spark such a parabolic price surge for the altcoin. It is worth mentioning that such predictions have raised eyebrows because of what the altcoin’s market cap will be if it reaches such price targets. A $100 price target would give XRP a market cap of almost $10 trillion. 

At the time of writing, the token’s price is trading at around $1.98, down over 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

As the eventful year of 2025 draws to an end, crypto analysts are looking into what the Dogecoin price could hold for investors going into the end of the year. One of these analysts is BitGuru, who shared an interest in the Dogecoin price chart, highlighting the next possible roadmap that the meme coin could take. With the possibility of a bounce rising, the next targets have become increasingly important to identify in order to maximize gains.

Why The Dogecoin Price Could Recover Quickly

BitGuru’s analysis focuses on the rising demand surrounding the meme coin after finding support from the recent crash. The Dogecoin price had stopped above $0.13, suggesting that the demand at this level continues to hold strong as buyers return to the market.

Pointing out this demand, the crypto analyst explains that the Dogecoin price is actually holding the demand zone after a prolonged downtrend. This is often bullish for the digital asset as it shows rising interest in the cryptocurrency as it establishes new support levels.

This base formation, as the analyst calls it, could serve as the starting point for the next rally that could push the Dogecoin price higher. However, for this to happen, the Dogecoin bulls would have to maintain their position above this demand level.

If this support level is held, then BitGuru forecasts that the Dogecoin price could start to recover again. This bounce could lead to a 50% increase, with the analyst’s chart outline putting it as high as $0.188. The upper end of the rally shows the price climbing to $0.22 before hitting resistance.

End Of Year Could End Red

Interestingly, the last quarter of the year has often been reasonably bullish for the Dogecoin price, but the year 2025 has deviated hard. So far, the quarter is already 41.8% deep in the red, according to data from the CryptoRank website, and it doesn’t look like that would change anytime soon.

The Dogecoin price is already down more than 7.5% in the month of December so far, contributing to the decline that has been felt in the quarter. The months of October and November ended in the red with 20% and 21.3% losses, respectively, and if this trend continues, then the Dogecoin price could follow suit.

After hitting a new all-time high back in October 2025, the Bitcoin price has been in what appears to be a consistent downtrend, pushing it to new yearly lows. The first wave was triggered by sell-offs from large accounts, coinciding with the 10/10 crash. Since then, each recovery attempt has been met with more sell-offs, preventing the Bitcoin price from reclaiming $100,000. As sentiment continues to trend low, the chances of a meaningful recovery grow slimmer by the day.

Bitcoin Price Correction May Not Be Over

A crypto analyst on the TradingView website has highlighted where the Bitcoin price is and the next decision levels for the cryptocurrency. Right now, it continues to trend low, favoring the bears. Nevertheless, there is still the opportunity for the bulls to take over if momentum picks up.

The first major level that the Bitcoin price must reclaim lies at $90,000, which is now a stronghold for bears. As the crypto analyst explains, the digital asset would have to reclaim and hold this level for the price to bounce. In the case of a bounce, then the cryptocurrency is expected to maintain its bullish structure.

The bullish continuation would see the first major resistance being retested at $97,000. Once beaten, then the bulls could move on quickly to $100,000, a psychological level that could trigger the influx of investors back into the market.

However, with the Bitcoin price already falling below $90,000 over the weekend, it is more likely that the bearish part of the prediction will play out. As the post explains, failing to hold $90,000 is incredibly bearish for the price and would be the beginning of another decline.

Once the Bitcoin price begins to fall, there is not much holding it before it reaches the next major resistance at $78,000. This means it is likely that the Bitcoin price will fall by over 20% before eventually finding its footing above $78,000 and readying for another bounce. “This is the point where the next major direction gets decided,” the analyst said.

Bitcoin is heading into a critical window as the Bank of Japan prepares what could be its most consequential policy move in decades. The central bank is widely expected to raise interest rates by 25 basis points to 0.75% at its December 18-19 meeting, a level not seen since 1995 and a clear signal that Japan is continuing its exit from ultra-loose monetary policy. 

This upcoming event is causing a few conversations among crypto traders because similar policy moves from Japan have repeatedly coincided with the start of Bitcoin price crashes.

Japan’s Rate Hikes And The Repeating Bitcoin Sell-Off Pattern

Crypto market observers have been quick to highlight an uncomfortable pattern relating to Bitcoin and the BOJ. Each time the bank has raised rates since 2024, Bitcoin’s price action has experienced a deep and relatively fast correction. 

For example, March 2024 saw Bitcoin fall by about 23% following Japan’s first rate hike since 2007. A similar rate spike move in July was followed by a drop of around 26%, while the January 2025 hike preceded a steeper decline of more than 30%.

Crypto analyst 0xNobler expressed concern, noting that if this historical trend repeats itself, Bitcoin could be headed below the $70,000 level shortly after the upcoming December decision. The chart he shared illustrates how each rate hike has aligned with a local market top, followed by a pronounced leg lower. The consistency of these moves has turned what might otherwise be dismissed as coincidence into a data point many traders are now taking seriously.

Japan’s interest rate

The pressure extends beyond reactions by the crypto industry alone. Japan is the largest foreign holder of US government debt, and any tightening from the Bank of Japan reverberates across global liquidity markets. Higher Japanese rates strengthen the yen, and this, in turn, reduces excess capital that might otherwise flow into risk assets.

Echoing this view, another crypto commentator known as AndrewBTC pointed to Bitcoin’s repeated 20% to 31% declines following each BOJ hike since 2024. He warned that another rate increase in December could produce a similar outcome and also identified $70,000 as the possible downside target if the pattern repeats itself.

Bitcoin/US Dollar. Source: @cryptoctlt On X

Bitcoin Above Long-Term Support: Not Everyone Is Bearish

Despite the growing anxiety towards the Bank of Japan’s rate increase, the outlook for Bitcoin is not universally negative. For instance, analyst Ted Pillows pointed out that Bitcoin is currently interacting with its monthly EMA-21, a level that has always acted as a launchpad in prior cycles.

Based on this structure, Pillows predicted that Bitcoin could still surge to between the $100,000 and $105,000 range in the near term before there’s another price dump. 

As the December meeting approaches, Bitcoin finds itself caught between a troubling pattern and a resilient technical support. Whether Japan’s next rate hike leads to another immediate sell-off or allows for a temporary upside push may define how Bitcoin and the rest of the crypto market close out the year.

Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar. Source: @TedPillows on X

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

A recent technical analysis shared on X by crypto analyst Merlijn The Trader presents Ethereum’s price action on the 2-day candlestick chart as a textbook example of Wyckoff accumulation. In his assessment, Ethereum has already moved through several key stages of the model and is now approaching a powerful expansion phase, provided the structure stays intact.

Wyckoff Accumulation Structure Taking Shape On Ethereum Chart

Over the past several days, Ethereum has traded between roughly $3,050 and $3,400, repeatedly failing to secure a sustained move beyond either boundary. At the time of writing, Ethereum’s price action is trading around $3,100.

This prolonged standoff has reinforced the view that Ethereum has returned to consolidating rather than trading in a defined trend, a behavior that aligns closely with the accumulation phase highlighted in a technical analysis by Merlijn The Trader.

In his post, Merlijn described Ethereum’s chart as a “Wyckoff masterclass,” pointing to a sequence of events that align with textbook behavior from the Wyckoff accumulation schematic, which have been playing out for the entirety of 2025.

According to the annotated structure, the spring occurred when ETH briefly dipped below $1,500 in the first half of the year. Price did not linger below that level for long, reclaiming the range within days and going on a rally that eventually ended at a selling climax (SC) of $4,946

Within this structure, the initial selling climax and automatic downtrend reaction established a clear range in which the cryptocurrency has been trading up until now. The chart labels show this as Ethereum moving through Phase D, and this has been highlighted by a downtrend in recent months. 

However, based on the Wyckoff framework, Ethereum seems to now be approaching the breakout zone, with a transition into a full Phase E and a potential vertical markup coming next if the structure continues to play out.

Phase E Projection Points To Strong Upside Scenario

If the Wyckoff roadmap continues to unfold as outlined, Merlijn believes Ethereum is setting up for a full Phase E, the final stage of the accumulation process. This phase is characterized by a sustained markup, where price exits the selling climax (SC) decisively and trends higher with increasing momentum.

Ethereum / US Dollar: @MerlijnTrader on X

The projection on the chart shows a sharp upside expansion once overhead resistance is cleared, with Merlijn pointing to $10,000 and higher as a long-term objective if the structure completes. The path higher is not expected to be linear. The model anticipates an initial push into new all-time highs, followed by a modest rejection around the $5,000 area before the price pauses to consolidate towards the Backup and Last Point of Support

According to the chart, this BU/LPS would likely form around $3,750. If Ethereum holds above that level during the pullback, it would confirm structural strength, with the subsequent expansion targeting above $10,000.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

XRP’s recent pullback to $2 has not changed the broader technical picture, according to a new analysis shared on X by crypto analyst Egrag Crypto. Despite the lack of bullish price action in recent weeks, the technical analysis proposes that the market structure continues to favor an upside continuation rather than the trend ending. 

This outlook places the next three to six months in a constructive zone for XRP’s price action, where the probability of further upside is higher than the risk of a downward move.

XRP Currently In Consolidation, Not Distribution

The assessment of Egrag’s technical analysis is based on XRP’s price action currently ticking a list of boxes that points to the next move being up. The first of these boxes is what the analyst referred to as a regime shift, which occurred after the XRP price made a decisive breakout from a multi-year base around $0.5 last year.

This decisive breakout shifted the market from accumulation to expansion. Pullbacks in this phase are usually corrective, not trend-ending. In that context, the current price action can be viewed as part of a natural pause rather than a signal that the larger bullish move has failed.

Another central argument in the analysis is that the current price behavior represents consolidation rather than distribution. Egrag Crypto describes the market as being in a compression phase following an impulse, and this is a pause, not a top. Although XRP has spent about 13 months ranging within this structure, the analyst interpreted this as extended consolidation instead of a distribution process.

Chart Image From X. Source: @egragcrypto On X

EMA Structure Keeps Bullish Bias Intact

Another reason as to why the trend is more likely bullish is because XRP is still trading in alignment with its long-term exponential moving average, which remains above the 21 EMA. That relationship preserves the bullish bias, even though price currently sits below the faster 9 EMA, but this only reflects short-term weakness rather than a structural breakdown.

Beyond pure chart structure, fundamental developments have added weight to the case for longer-term appreciation. XRP is currently holding $2 as an important support zone, and recent developments have emerged that could increase bullish sentiment.

An example is Ripple’s conditional approval alongside other crypto firms for a national trust bank charter from the US Office of the Comptroller of the Currency.

Although the outlook is much more bullish, there is always the possibility of turning bearish within the next six months. According to Egrag, this outlook can only turn bearish if XRP records a sustained monthly close below the $1.80 to $1.60 region. 

Taken together, the analysis concludes that XRP is more likely to resolve higher than lower over the next three to six months, even if there is price volatility along the way.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

XRP has struggled to create any upside traction over the past few days, with the price rejecting above $2.15 in the middle of the week and now back to lingering just above the $2 level. 

A new long-term technical comparison shared by crypto analyst ChartNerd places XRP’s price behavior since its July all-time high of $3.65 into an interesting context, implying that what XRP is doing now resembles a phase from its 2016 market cycle that points to an incoming huge rally.

Repeating 2016 Rejection And ABC Crash Structure

According to crypto analyst ChartNerd, XRP’s current structure matches a similar price action that unfolded in late 2016. when price rejected an accumulation supply block and rolled into an ABC corrective move. That correction ultimately produced a 69% flash-wick decline that extended into the first quarter of 2017. 

The drop was severe and unfolded over several months, eventually pushing XRP to as low as $0.00240, but it eventually represented the end of the correction rather than the end of the bullish cycle.

The chart accompanying the analysis, which is shown below, highlights a similar rejection pattern forming now. This pattern is based on how the XRP price rejected at its most recent all-time high in July. Since then, the monthly price chart has been printing consecutive red candles, with monthly closes consistently below opens.

At the time of writing, XRP is about a 44% correction from this all-time high. This means a 69% correction is yet to play out in its entirety. Therefore, if history repeats, a full 69% ABC-style move from the all-time high would drag XRP back below $1 and as low as $0.8. This move is expected to play out into the first quarter of 2026.

XRP Price Chart. Source: @ChartNerdTA

Potential Drop Could Be A Set-Up For A Much Larger Rally

XRP is currently trading at $2.04. Therefore, a deeper pullback below $1 will translate to a 51% decrease from the current price action. The idea of a deeper pullback from $2 is tough to imagine, especially given the inflows into Spot XRP ETFs. In fact, a pullback of that magnitude could test conviction across the market and cause many bullish traders to step aside.

However, the technical analysis frames it as a structural reset rather than anything else. In 2017, the post-crash consolidation laid the groundwork for one of XRP’s most explosive rallies on record, ultimately delivering gains in excess of 110,000%.

If this sequence plays out as expected, then the real bullish opportunity would develop later in 2026. From that reset zone, the chart projects a long-term advance to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, placing a potential upside target around $27. The visual projection in the chart above shows a clean multi-month expansion zone that delivers a 2,300% gain after the corrective phase. 

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin’s 2025 price action has been anything but smooth, but one group of investors has quietly dominated the year’s profit statistics. Short-term holders, which are classified as addresses holding BTC for only one to three months, spent most of the year in the green amidst the push to multiple all-time highs and ensuing drawdowns throughout the year. 

On-chain data from 2025 now provides a clearer answer to whether short-term exposure to Bitcoin actually paid off for holders, even though conditions look far less comfortable at the time of writing.

Short-Term Holders Spent Most Of 2025 In Profit

According to data from on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant, Bitcoin short-term holders were in a profitable position for roughly two-thirds of 2025. On-chain profit and loss data shows that this cohort was in profit for about 66% of trading days, which translates to about 230 trading days. 

During the first half of 2025, Bitcoin’s price frequently traded above the average realized price of short-term holders, allowing recent buyers to lock in gains even as volatility remained elevated. This pattern became especially visible during mid-year rallies, when Bitcoin pushed above the $100,000 region and short-term profit margins expanded sharply. 

Each time the price reclaimed levels above the short-term realized price, realized gains dominated the distribution. Back in January, Bitcoin maintained a position above the short-term cost basis for nearly two consecutive months, creating the first extended window of sustained profitability for this cohort in 2025. 

A similar, and even more pronounced, phase unfolded between May and October, when short-term holders sat on substantial unrealized gains. During this period, the profit-and-loss margin climbed as high as 20 percent in July, coinciding with Bitcoin’s first breakout above $115,000. During this period, Spot Bitcoin ETFs were witnessing huge institutional inflows that cancelled out any profit-taking from short-term holders.

BTC: STH Realized Profit and Loss. Source: CryptoQuant

Current Picture Shows Short-Term Holders Underwater

That favorable backdrop has changed into losses in recent weeks. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around the low-$90,000 range, while the short-term holder realized price is just above $100,000. This places the current profit/loss margin at a loss of about 10%. 

Interestingly, this margin recently fell to as low as negative 20% when the Bitcoin price broke below $85,000 in November, which is the deepest loss regime for short-term holders in 2025.

Nonetheless, the 2025 data shows that short-term holding was profitable for most of the year, but the outlook is not favorable right now. Structurally, these deep loss pockets usually show up closer to the late stages of a correction than the early ones.

Right now, the most important thing for short-term holders is for Bitcoin to reclaim the short-term realized price and push back above $100,000. Until then, short-term holders will stay under pressure, even with the yearly statistics leaning in their favor.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

Dogecoin (DOGE) is testing the lower boundary of a long-term triangle pattern, a move that could determine its next major price direction. A new technical analysis highlights a roadmap with key recovery levels and outlines a potential timeframe when selling and profit-taking may become favorable.

Dogecoin Triangle Pattern Signals Recovery Path

In a recent X post, crypto analyst Jonathan Carter presented a new analysis of Dogecoin’s price action, predicting that a potential recovery may be imminent. Carter explained that Dogecoin is currently testing a critical support area around $0.135 within a long-standing descending triangle chart structure. The setup is unfolding over the 3-day timeframe, with price action remaining above the pattern’s lower boundary. This zone has become a key battlefield between buyers and sellers. 

Carter highlights that the ongoing support area offers a favorable risk-reward profile for market participants. Buyers stepping in at this level are attempting to prevent a breakdown that could invalidate the broader recovery outlook. This means holding above this support zone could keep Dogecoin’s bullish scenario intact.

The descending triangle visible on the analyst’s shared chart shows a series of lower highs pressing against the stable support zone at $0.135. This compression often precedes a decisive move once the price reacts strongly at the base. Dogecoin’s current structure also suggests the market is steadily approaching that inflection point.

The volume data at the bottom of the chart has yet to show strong expansion near the support area. This indicates that Dogecoin’s trading activity has been relatively muted, suggesting that the market may be waiting for confirmation before committing to a significant upward move. 

If Dogecoin successfully rebounds from the $0.135 support zone, Carter’s chart maps out several upside levels to watch. Initial recovery targets are seen around $0.155 and $0.190, where previous price reactions occurred. Clearing these levels would signal growing momentum and a possible end to DOGE’s downtrend.

Further upside extensions projected on the chart include $0.250 and $0.310, which align with previous consolidation areas. A stronger continuation could open the path toward $0.370 and ultimately the resistance zone near $0.470.

Resistance Zone Reveals When To Sell DOGE 

Carter’s Dogecoin chart clearly shows the $0.47 resistance zone, where sellers are expected to become active again. A rally into the zone would likely face increased selling pressure based on historical price behaviour. As a result, the resistance area serves as a strategic level for profit-taking rather than for new entries in Dogecoin. 

Overall, Carter’s analysis suggests that Dogecoin’s price is sitting at a pivotal technical level that could shape its next major move. The meme coin’s price is currently down, having crashed by over 22% year-to-date, according to CoinMarketCap. Despite this slip, Carter remains optimistic about DOGE’s recovery path. The recovery timeline highlighted in the analysis suggests that by 2026, the meme coin may have emerged from its downturn. 

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

The XRP ecosystem is taking a major step forward with the launch of Wrapped XRP (wXRP) on the Solana and Ethereum blockchains. A crypto expert has provided a thorough breakdown of what this new development could mean for XRP, noting that it not only strengthens the cryptocurrency’s credibility among other blockchains but also significantly boosts its utility.  

A Look Into XRP’s Launch On Solana And Ethereum

XRP is expanding its presence beyond its native blockchain with the introduction of Wrapped XRP on Ethereum and Solana. Hex Trust, a regulated institutional digital asset custodian, has issued wXRP, a 1:1 backed representation of the native XRP, on LayerZero’s OFT standard to enable DeFi functionality across multiple blockchains.

This new move marks a significant step in increasing XRP’s utility outside the XRP Ledger (XRPL). According to a press release published on Hex Trust’s official site on December 12, wXRP will launch first on Solana before expanding to other chains, including Optimism, Ethereum, and HyperEVM. The tokenized coin will be available for trade alongside the RLSUD stablecoin on Ethereum and supported chains, further broadening its use cases.

Crypto expert ‘Mr Cauliman’ explained on X that this new development should not be mistaken for a formal partnership between Ripple and Solana. He added that it also does not mean XRP is leaving the XRP Ledger, which continues to operate as intended, or that the wXRP is replacing the native token. He emphasized that wrapped assets are not IOUs but simply a way to access liquidity in other ecosystems. 

Cauliman highlighted that the introduction of wXRP reflects the growing acknowledgment of XRP’s liquidity by other blockchain ecosystems, including Solana. Similar to how Ethereum and Bitcoin have been wrapped for use across multiple networks, XRP is now being made accessible to users outside its native chain. This expansion not only reflects strong demand for XRP in DeFi markets but could also encourage wider adoption across different blockchain networks. 

While wXRP’s launch is a significant milestone, Cauliman has warned that wrapped assets carry considerable risks. These include counterparty, bridge, and custodial risks. He stated that native XRP is free from these risks, remaining a fast, permissionless settlement layer. Despite this, demand for the cryptocurrency in DeFi continues to grow. 

wXRP Unlocks DeFi Rewards With Reliable Pricing

wXRP is set to debut with full support for authorized merchants to mint and redeem the token in a secure and compliant environment. Users will gain access to cross-chain applications, including swaps, liquidity provisioning, and supported DeFi rewards. All of these will be made available while the asset remains redeemable 1:1 for native XRP held in Hex Trust’s custody. 

Hex Trust has revealed that wXRP will launch with over $100 million in Total Value Locked (TVL), providing strong liquidity from day one. This foundation supports smoother trading, reliable pricing, and a healthier market. The wrapped XRP is also designed to serve institutional liquidity providers, DeFi protocols, DAOs, funds, and retail and merchant users.

The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) has granted Ripple a conditional approval to become a national trust bank. Crypto pundit Stern Drew highlighted what this means for the crypto firm and also XRP, which it uses for its payment services. 

What The OCC Approval Means For Ripple And XRP

In an X post, Stern Drew stated that Ripple just broke the system following the OCC’s grant of a conditional approval to the crypto firm. He further noted that Ripple now has federal and regulatory oversight locked in with this approval. The pundit added that the RLUSD stablecoin has become the gold standard for compliant stablecoins, while XRP has stepped straight into the heart of the U.S. financial system.  

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse also reacted to the OCC’s grant of a conditional approval, stating that it was huge news. He remarked that this was a massive step forward, mainly for the RLUSD stablecoin, which is setting the highest standard for stablecoin compliance with both federal and state oversight. 

In a press release, the firm also indicated how this development positions RLUSD and XRP by extension for greater adoption. The firm stated that as traditional finance firms continue to enter the crypto market, they will look to leverage stablecoins with the highest regulatory rigor and compliance, which offer the trust and reliability required for enterprise adoption. 

Meanwhile, the payment firm confirmed that its banking services will also extend the same regulatory rigor behind RLUSD into its broader payments and institutional service offerings, which utilize XRP. The firm further noted that utility is already driving adoption as its stablecoin has surpassed $1 billion in market cap in less than a year. The company added that the stablecoin is actively used in its payment solutions and as collateral by prime brokers, including its prime brokerage. 

An “XRP Wake Up Call”

Crypto pundit BarriC described the OCC’s grant of a conditional approval to Ripple as an XRP wake-up call for those who may still be skeptical of the altcoin. He stated that for those who said that banks would never use XRP or partner with Ripple, the crypto firm has now also been granted a banking license.

The pundit noted that this is significant as over half of Ripple’s transactions for its payment services go through XRP. The altcoin has also received a huge boost as Swiss bank AMINA bank has become the first European bank to integrate Ripple’s payment services. BarriC highlighted that the bank will ultimately use XRP through its integration with Ripple payments. Meanwhile, crypto analyst Dark Defender indicated that Ripple’s status as a Trust bank could be one of the catalysts that lead to higher prices for XRP. 

At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading $2.01, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

Crypto analyst Egrag Crypto has again predicted that the XRP price could reach $27. This time around, he outlined the technical formation that could spark a parabolic surge for the altcoin as it eyes the $27 target. 

How The XRP Price Could Reach $27

In an X post, Egrag Crypto stated that the Linear Regression targets for the XRP price are $3.4, $10, and $27. He further explained that, as of this month, these three major price levels stand out based on the long-term Logarithmic Linear Regression Channel. The analyst then touched on each price target and how XRP could reach there. 

Egrag Crypto described the $3.40 target for the XRP price as the mean reversion. He stated that a retest and rejection from $3.40 would be one of the strongest bearish TA signals for the altcoin. The analyst further remarked that this target is based solely on chart structure, not fundamentals. He added that a close above this level means that XRP is officially back in macro bullish territory. 

Furthermore, the analyst stated that the $10 target for the XRP price is the upper midline. He explained that this is where full bull expansion normally accelerates and that the target rises with time because this channel is logarithmic. Lastly, Egrag Crypto highlighted $27 as the top of the channel. He noted that multiple long-term confluences point to this target for the altcoin. 

Notably, this XRP price prediction comes amid several bullish fundamentals for the altcoin. Ripple was just granted a conditional approval for its national trust bank charter, which could boost XRP’s adoption. XRP also just expanded to Solana with Hex Trust’s launch of its wrapped XRP token for DeFi purposes. Meanwhile, Swiss bank AMINA Bank has integrated Ripple payments, which utilize XRP.  

The Major Levels To Watch Haven’t Changed

Crypto analyst CasiTrades stated that the major levels for the XRP price haven’t changed. The macro supports are $2.03 and $1.64. On the other hand, the macro resistance is $2.41, which a break above would confirm a bullish scenario for the altcoin. The analyst remarked that if a break above $2.41 happens, the next measured targets stand around $2.75 and $2.90. 

However, if the XRP price breaks below the macro support at $2.03, CasiTrades predicts that the altcoin could fall below $1.97 and decline towards the $1.64 major support. She reiterated that there is no official confirmation yet on the next potential move for XRP. Interestingly, the world’s largest IQ holder, YoungHoon Kim, stated that XRP has a strong possibility of reaching a new ATH by the end of this year. 

At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $2.01, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

Crypto expert Crypto Sensei has drawn attention to rumors that Amazon struck a 5 billion XRP deal with Ripple. The expert explained what the deal is really about and what Ripple’s end goal is using the altcoin. 

Expert Clarifies Rumors Of Amazon’s 5 Million XRP Deal With Ripple

In an X post, Crypto Sensei addressed whether rumors that Amazon struck a 5 million XRP deal with Ripple were true. The rumors surfaced as Kendra Hill claimed that Ripple’s endgame is to run the entire derivatives market using the altcoin and that the cross-border transactions are simply a test.  

Related Reading: XRP Rising Against All Odds: Ripple CEO Celebrates These Achievements

However, Crypto Sensei noted that there is no public evidence of Ripple’s 5 million XRP deal with Amazon and that there has been no public announcement from the crypto firm. As such, the expert remarked that this rumored deal remains pure community speculation.  

Meanwhile, he explained that Hill’s core claim was that cross-border payments are just a testing ground and that Ripple ultimately intends to use XRP to process 100% of the transactions on the global derivatives market. Notably, the global derivatives market is said to be a trillion-dollar industry, meaning this move could boost adoption significantly. 

Meanwhile, as to how a rumored Amazon relates to this, Crypto Sensei explained that a screenshot of an old Amazon partnership had resurfaced. Furthermore, Hill had allegedly claimed that another partnership between the two firms has yet to be revealed. Amazon’s AWS had, in 2020, revealed that it was integrating Ripple’s payment system for its rewards program. 

Crypto Sensei also mentioned that Ripple’s CTO, David Schwartz, has stated that there is no evidence that Amazon owns this amount of XRP. There is also no evidence on the XRP Ledger that the company holds this amount in escrow.

Major Adoption News For The Token

In an X post, Hex Trust announced a partnership with LayerZero to launch wrapped XRP (wXRP) across multiple networks, starting with the Solana network. This is expected to boost the altcoin’s adoption as it gains new holders and new liquidity flows into it. Hex Trust noted that the wXRP is designed for DeFi use across these networks. 

Related Reading: Ripple Secures 4 Groundbreaking Wins That Mark An Exciting Phase For XRP

The firm has launched this Wrapped XRP with over $100 million in Total Value Locked (TVL). Hex Trust also explained that the wrapped token’s utility is that it makes it easy to trade XRP alongside Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin as a trading pair on supported chains. As such, the firm believes this move could expand liquidity and utility between XRP and RLUSD. Notably, there are also plans to launch this wrapped token on Ethereum soon. 

At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $2.03, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

A developing Three Bullish Drives pattern has just been identified on the Dogecoin price chart. According to the analyst’s report, this new technical pattern suggests the meme coin could be on the verge of a bottom, potentially marking its next key buying point for market watchers. This projected decline could extend the downtrend Dogecoin experienced over the past few months, which already wiped out most of the gains made earlier this year during the meme coin hype.

Dogecoin Bullish Reversal Setup Reveal Buying Point

Crypto analyst Trader Tardigrade has stated that Dogecoin may be close to forming a bottom on the daily chart, as it develops what appears to be a classic Bullish Three Drives pattern. He points out that the first 1.272 Fibonacci extension near $0.137, measured from Point 1 to Point 2, lines up with the descending resistance line formed by Points A and B. This alignment is significant, as it suggests that Point 3 may represent the next buying opportunity, potentially marking Dogecoin’s lowest level before a reversal. 

Trader Tardigrade’s chart shows the full Three Bullish Drives pattern taking shape, with three apparent dips labeled Points 1, 2, and 3. Each downward move follows the same harmonic rhythm seen in the sample pattern shown in the chart’s inset. Points A and B, between $0.159 and $0.155, form lower highs, creating a strong resistance line that the Dogecoin price continues to respect throughout the pattern. 

The repeated appearance of the 1.272 Fibonacci extension reinforces the setup, showing that the market is following the expected price behavior of this chart formation. Point 3, which sits between $0.131 and $0.124, stands out as a major turning point for investors. What this means is that Trader Tardigrade expects Dogecoin to temporarily decline to this lower buy point before moving back upwards.

The momentum from DOGE’s projected rebound is expected to push its price toward $0.155. Although the analysis initially forecast that Dogecoin would hit a bottom, it also suggests that the recent downtrend, which has seen the meme coin’s price crash by roughly 20% this month, may be approaching its end.

Falling Wedge Signals Strong Upside For DOGE

A market expert identified as ‘Crypto King’ on X suggests that Dogecoin has strong bullish potential, as a clean Falling Wedge pattern is forming on the daily chart. He highlighted that the DOGE price is currently compressing against the trendline, signaling that the market may be gearing up for a significant move. 

According to Crypto King, once the market structure is broken and the diagonal resistance is reclaimed, a rapid surge toward $0.27 could unfold for Dogecoin. At its current price of $0.14, this would represent a staggering 92.86% gain.

Ripple has announced the dates for its next flagship event, giving the XRP community and institutional partners an early look at what lies ahead. In a post shared on social media platform X, the company confirmed that Swell will return to New York City from October 27 to October 29, 2026.

The update comes after a high-profile Swell 2025 conference in New York that placed Ripple at the center of discussions around institutional adoption, stablecoins, and blockchain infrastructure of the XRP ecosystem.

Ripple Confirms Swell 2026 Dates

Ripple’s announcement confirmed that Swell will once again be hosted in New York City, this time spanning three days from October 27 to October 29, 2026. The company encouraged its community to mark their calendars early; more information will follow in the new year.

The announcement carries added significance, as Ripple also revealed a major change to the structure of its annual events, setting the stage for what it describes as a larger and more unified gathering. Apart from the dates and location, Ripple noted that the 2026 edition is designed to be larger in scope. “Builders, financial leaders, and industry partners will be together under one roof, creating an unforgettable experience,” the announcement noted. 

One of the most notable elements of the announcement is the decision to merge Swell and Apex into a single event. Swell events have always been focused on institutional finance, payments, and policy discussions, while Apex catered more directly to developers building on the XRP Ledger. The most recent Swell 2025 event was hosted in New York, while the Apex 2025 event was hosted in the first half of the year in Singapore. 

However, by combining the two, Ripple appears to be planning to promote a better alignment between institutional adoption and on-chain development of the XRP Ledger. This unified format is something to look forward to, as the event is expected to bridge the gap between financial institutions and technical builders, rather than treating them as separate audiences.

Looking Back At Swell 2025

The announcement also draws added weight from how Swell 2025 unfolded. The 2025 event in New York was widely viewed as one of Ripple’s most consequential conferences to date, featuring strong institutional representation and focused discussions on stablecoins, tokenized assets, and cross-border settlement.

The event took place on November 4 and November 5, 2025. Not long after the event, the first Spot XRP ETF was launched in the US.

Ripple Swell 2025 drew a high-profile mix of Ripple executives, institutional leaders, and policymakers. Ripple’s leadership was represented by CEO Brad Garlinghouse, Executive Chairman Chris Larsen, and President Monica Long, all of whom took part in key sessions. 

Notable attendees from traditional finance included Nasdaq Chair and CEO Adena Friedman and BlackRock’s Director of Digital Assets Maxwell Stein. The event also featured David Ripley, Co-CEO of Kraken; Sandy Kaul of Franklin Templeton; US Representative Ritchie Torres; and Patrick Witt from the White House’s President’s Council of Advisors for Digital Assets, to name a few.

XRP has spent the past 48 hours grinding lower, with its price gradually retreating to $2 after failing to sustain the rally above $2.10 at the beginning of the week. Selling pressure has been mostly controlled rather than aggressive, but each attempt to push higher has been met with a local trendline resistance near $2.165.

Technical analysis shared by crypto analyst CasiTrades outlines an important macro support level that may determine whether XRP can stabilize and attempt another bullish recovery or fall into another bearish corrective phase below $2.

XRP Defends An Important Macro Support Zone Around $2.03

According to CasiTrades’ analysis, XRP is still defending the macro 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, which sits around $2.03 and has acted as a key structural support on the chart. This is visible in the recent price action, as the cryptocurrency is currently trading at $2.04, having rebounded from a low of $1.99 in the past 24 hours.

The analyst noted that XRP recently reacted strongly from this level, showing its importance as a demand zone. The accompanying chart shows price repeatedly returning to this region, with buyers stepping in to prevent a sustained breakdown.

Although XRP has briefly dipped below the 0.5 Fib level, the move lacked follow-through. The most important thing is that the XRP price did not lose the $1.97 level, which CasiTrades identified as the threshold that would confirm a deeper bearish scenario. As long as XRP is trading above this zone, the analyst suggests that the price action still has a chance of increasing rather than heading lower to other downside targets.

Clearly Defined Bullish And Bearish Scenarios

The analysis outlines two distinct paths forward, and both depend on how XRP reacts to the macro support level at $1.97. On the bullish side, holding above $1.97 keeps the door open for a continuation higher. As long as $1.97 holds, the deeper retracement scenario is not confirmed.

 From here, we can see XRP continue moving bullish, but only a decisive break above the macro resistance near $2.41 would serve as confirmation of a stronger upside structure. If that level is cleared, the next projections are in the $2.75 to $2.90 range, as shown in the purple bullish scenario in the chart above.

On the other hand, a loss of $1.97 would invalidate the current support structure and shift focus toward the macro 0.618 retracement around $1.64. The chart shows this as the pink scenario and $1.64 as another major support level that could come into play to stop the intensifying selling pressure. 

No official confirmation has occurred in either direction, leaving XRP at an important point where holding macro support is the main requirement for any meaningful revival attempt.

America’s largest bank, JPMorgan, has taken a bold step into the future of finance by issuing commercial debt on the Solana blockchain. This move has caught the attention of the broader crypto and traditional markets, as it marks one of the first times a US commercial debt was brought into a public blockchain.

JPMorgan Brings Commercial Debt Papers To Solana

According to a press release published on December 11, JPMorgan has successfully arranged a US Commercial Paper (USCP) Issuance for Galaxy Digital Holdings LP, an affiliate of Galaxy Inc., on the Solana blockchain. The issuance represents one of the earliest debt offerings executed on a public blockchain in the US.

JPMorgan had served as the arranger, creating the on-chain USCP token and managing the delivery-versus-payment settlement for the issuance. Meanwhile, Galaxy Digital Partners LLC had structured the offerings, while US technology company Coinbase Global Inc. and global investment management firm Franklin Templeton had purchased the issuance. 

Scott Lucas, the Head of Markets Digital Assets at JPMorgan, emphasized that the new commercial debt transaction was a key demonstration of institutional demand for digital assets and the transformative potential of blockchain technology in the future of financial markets. He added that, as a user-focused banking institution, JPMorgan is committed to meeting the evolving demand for digital asset exposures. 

Notably, the USPC token issuance is the first commercial paper offered by Galaxy, enhancing the company’s short-term funding capabilities and providing access to a broader institutional investor base interested in blockchain-based money-market instruments. Details from the press release reveal that both the issuance and the redemption proceeds will be paid in USDC stablecoins issued by Circle, marking a first for the US commercial paper market. 

What Other Executives Have To Say

In the press release, Jason Urban, Global Head of Trading at Galaxy, stated that the issuance demonstrates how public blockchains can enhance the functioning of capital markets. He emphasized that bringing Galaxy’s first commercial paper offering on-chain and structuring one of the earliest US transactions of its kind are significant milestones. 

It underscores Galaxy’s vision of using open and programmable infrastructure to support institutional-level financial products. Urban also expressed satisfaction in collaborating with JPMorgan, Coinbase, Solana, and Franklin Templeton to integrate these innovations into daily market operations.

Sandy Kaul, Head of Innovation at Franklin Templeton, highlighted that institutions are moving from experimenting to actively transacting on the blockchain. She noted that deals like Galaxy’s on-chain issuance help build a more open, efficient, and resilient financial system while supporting broader adoption of digital infrastructures in traditional markets. 

Nick Ducoff, Head of Institutional Growth at the Solana Foundation, described the issuance as a key step in bringing the security and efficiency of blockchains to institutional finance. Brett Tejpaul, the Co-CEO of Coinbase Institutional, stated that the transaction shows how institutional finance is embracing public blockchain technology, with Coinbase playing a foundational role as an investor, wallet provider, and custodian for the USPC token.