Greenland Gambit Sparks Crypto Chaos: Tariff Threats Send Bitcoin Sliding β Analysts Eye $75K
Markets convulsed after President Donald Trump threatened steep tariffs on eight European nations unless Denmark cedes Greenland, with rhetoric including hints the U.S. might seize the territory by force, triggering a global risk-off move on January 20.
Gold surged to record highs while Bitcoin plunged into the low-$90K range, with some intraday trades dipping as low as $87K.

The crypto market shed nearly $150 billion in market capitalization as leveraged positions unwound violently, exposing Bitcoinβs continued treatment as a speculative asset rather than the safe haven its proponents claim it to be.
Tariff Shock Drives Historic Divergence
Trumpβs Saturday announcement targeted Germany, France, the UK, the Netherlands, Finland, Sweden, Norway, and Denmark with 10% tariffs starting February 1, escalating to 25% by June 1, unless a Greenland deal is reached.
ING economists warned that βadditional tariffs of 25% would probably shave 0.2 percentage points off European GDP growth,β compounding recession fears already gripping the continent.
The tariff threat effectively reopened the trade war between the EU and the U.S., despite a temporary truce reached in late July, raising the stakes and bringing a far tougher approach.
European officials brought forward the option of activating the so-called anti-coercion instrument, the EUβs trade βbazookaβ, allowing the bloc to impose tariffs and investment limits on offending nations.
French President Emmanuel Macron announced he would request the instrumentβs activation, while Manfred Weber from the European Parliamentβs largest party indicated the July deal was now βon ice.β
EU capitals is considering hitting U.S. with β¬93 billion worth of tariffs or restricting American companies from blocβs market in response to President Donald Trumpβs threats, per FT. pic.twitter.com/VuAefTw5yt
β Open Source Intel (@Osint613) January 18, 2026
European countries hold approximately $8 trillion in U.S. bonds and stocks, making Europe by far the largest U.S. lender and exposing the deep interdependence that could turn this standoff into a full-blown crisis.
Germanyβs export-reliant economy faces particularly acute pressure, with ING economist Carsten Brzeski warning the new tariffs would be βabsolute poisonβ for the fragile recovery underway.
German exports to the United States fell 9.4% from January to November compared with a year earlier, and the trade surplus dropped to its lowest level since 2021.
Meanwhile, goldβs parabolic rally pushed prices past $4,800 per ounce to all-time highs.
TD Securitiesβ Daniel Ghali told Bloomberg that βgoldβs rally is about trust. For now, trust has bent, but hasnβt broken. If it breaks, momentum will persist for longer.β
Crypto Markets Suffer Violent Unwind
Bitcoinβs collapse alongside traditional risk assets exposed the cryptoβs failure to serve as a geopolitical hedge, despite years of positioning as βdigital gold.β
CoinGlass liquidation data revealed $998.33 million in long positions wiped out over 24 hours, with Bitcoin accounting for $440.19 million as cascading margin calls accelerated during thin Asian trading hours.
Galaxy Digitalβs Alex Thorn noted that βBitcoin isnβt quite doing the thing that itβs built to do, at least in real time,β while Bitunix analyst Dean Chen observed that βamong crypto-native investors, it is increasingly framed as a geopolitical hedge and a non-sovereign store of value.β
βHowever, for the broader market, Bitcoin is still largely traded as a high-beta risk asset,β he concluded.
Derivatives markets paint an increasingly bearish picture for the months ahead.
Sean Dawson of Derive.xyz warned that βrising geopolitical tensions between the US and Europeβparticularly around Greenlandβraise the risk of a regime shift back into a higher-volatility environment, a dynamic not currently reflected in spot prices.β
Options data shows strong put open interest concentrated across the $75K-$85K strikes for the June 26 expiry, with Dawson noting that βfrom an options perspective, the outlook remains mildly bearish through mid-year. Traders are paying a premium for downside protection.β
Bloomberg Intelligence strategist Mike McGlone delivered an even more dire assessment, warning that Bitcoinβs inability to hold long-term averages in 2025 suggests the price could eventually drop as low as $10,000.
Duke Universityβs Campbell Harvey also claimed in academic research that Bitcoin βis hardly a safe-haven asset,β noting its correlation with gold has broken down completely.
Institutional Demand Offers Potential Floor
Despite the bearish technical picture, not all analysts have turned pessimistic.
MEXC data showed that on January 16 alone, Bitcoin ETFs added 1,474 BTC, accounting for $1.48 billion in weekly inflows, while 36,800 BTC left exchanges.
These are signs of strong institutional demand and tightening supply that could limit downside.
In fact, as Cryptonews noted recently, the chance of Trump turning back on the tariff decision is high, with 86%, and that would greatly benefit Bitcoin after February 1.
β Cryptonews.com (@cryptonews) January 19, 2026
Historical tariff patterns show 86% chance that Trump reverses Europe tariffs before February 1, as Bitcoin's 24/7 markets prepare to signal policy shifts first.#Trump #Tariffs #Europe #Bitcoinhttps://t.co/eGxEedfe06
Speaking with Cryptonews, Bitfinex analysts also noted that βBitcoin spot volumes remain normal, funding rates are close to neutral, and there has been no spike in exchange inflows that would signal reactive selling,β suggesting the selloff reflects macro-linked noise rather than a crypto-specific catalyst.
For now, whether Bitcoinβs current consolidation represents capitulation or merely the calm before a deeper storm remains the central question facing crypto markets as February approaches.
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