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Yesterday — 24 January 2026Main stream

Bitcoin Indicator Falls Back To Post-Bear Market Levels: Investors Approach A Key Decision Point

24 January 2026 at 00:00

Bitcoin is trading below the $90,000 level once again, as the market continues to drift through a phase defined by indecision, rising caution, and growing fear. After repeated failures to reclaim this psychological threshold, price action has started to reflect a lack of conviction on both sides, with buyers hesitating to step in aggressively and sellers pressing every rebound attempt. While the broader trend has not fully collapsed, the inability to hold key levels is increasing uncertainty around Bitcoin’s next major move.

Top analyst Darkfost argues that on-chain signals are starting to mirror conditions typically seen near the end of prolonged drawdowns. According to his analysis, Bitcoin’s unrealized profits and losses are sliding back toward levels that have historically appeared only at the exit of bear markets, when the market has already absorbed a deep reset in sentiment. This shift suggests that stress is building under the surface, even if price has not yet entered a full capitulation phase.

Since Bitcoin’s last all-time high, Darkfost notes that many late-arriving investors have moved into uncomfortable territory, facing mounting downside pressure as the market cools. As a result, unrealized profits are shrinking, unrealized losses are expanding, and the overall balance continues to deteriorate—an environment that often forces traders into a decisive choice between holding through volatility or exiting under stress.

Decision Point For Bitcoin Investors

Darkfost highlighted a chart based on an adjusted version of NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss), designed to capture investor stress more accurately during shifting market regimes. Instead of relying solely on the standard market cap, the model incorporates the realized capitalization of both Short-Term Holders (STHs) and Long-Term Holders (LTHs), then compares that blended realized foundation against Bitcoin’s traditional market cap.

Bitcoin Adjusted Net Unrealized Profit/Loss NUPL | Source: CryptoQuant

The result is a clearer view of how much profit or loss sits “on paper” across the market, filtered through a more structural lens. To reduce noise and better define trend shifts, the metric is smoothed using an average, producing what Darkfost refers to as aNUPL.

The key takeaway is that Bitcoin is approaching levels that have historically forced investors into a binary decision. When unrealized profits compress and unrealized losses expand to these ranges, holders typically face two outcomes: hold and continue accumulating, or capitulate and lock in losses. That difference in behavior becomes critical because it shapes liquidity, sentiment, and the next directional trend.

If long-term participants absorb the pressure and keep holding, the market can stabilize and rotate back into recovery. But if selling accelerates from stressed cohorts, the decline can deepen into a broader bear phase. This is why tracking realized and unrealized profit dynamics remains essential, especially during periods of uncertainty.

Bitcoin Consolidates After Sharp Weekly Breakdown

Bitcoin is trading around $89,000 on the weekly chart after a steep selloff that pushed the price out of its prior distribution zone. The latest candle reflects heavy downside pressure, with BTC dropping roughly 4.8% on the week and struggling to stabilize near a key pivot that has repeatedly acted as support and resistance throughout the cycle.

BTC testing critical demand | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

After failing to hold above the psychological $90,000 threshold, the market is now trapped in a tight consolidation range, suggesting traders are waiting for confirmation before committing to a larger move.

From a trend standpoint, Bitcoin remains vulnerable as it trades below the blue moving average, which is now acting as overhead resistance near the low-$100K region. The rejection from that dynamic level aligns with the broader structure: BTC topped near the mid-$120K range, then entered a sharp corrective leg that reset momentum into early 2026. While the green moving average continues to slope upward and is approaching the current price zone, the market has not yet shown the strength needed to reclaim its former trend trajectory.

Importantly, the weekly structure is now compressing. If buyers can defend the $88K–$90K region and push BTC back above $92K–$95K, it would signal a recovery attempt toward the moving average band. However, a sustained failure here increases the risk of a deeper retracement toward the low-$80K zone, where prior demand previously emerged.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

Before yesterdayMain stream

Santiment Says XRP Social Sentiment Hits ‘Extreme Fear’: Buy Signal?

22 January 2026 at 04:30

XRP is back in a familiar spot: social chatter has turned sharply bearish even as the market probes support after an early-January surge. Analytics firm Santiment said its social data shows XRP slipping into “Extreme Fear” after a roughly 19% pullback from its early-month high, a setup it argues has historically preceded rallies.

Santiment wrote on Jan. 22 via X: “According to our social data, XRP has fallen into ‘Extreme Fear’ territory. Small retail traders have become pessimistic toward the #5 market cap cryptocurrency after a -19% drop since the high back on January 5th. Historically, this high level of bearish commentary leads to rallies. Prices move the opposite to retails’ expectations more often than not.”

The chart Santiment shared pairs XRP’s 6-hour candles with a social ratio measuring positive versus negative commentary, and overlays three “buy” and three “sell” markers tied to sentiment bands. Those bands are explicitly labeled as a “fear zone” (where prices “go up”), a neutral zone, and a “greed zone” (where prices “go down”).

XRP social sentiment

How Reliable Is The XRP Social Sentiment Signal?

To check the timing, daily XRP spot data for the same late-December-to-January window broadly supports the chart’s claim that extreme sentiment readings often show up near inflection points, with an important caveat: not every signal front-runs a turn cleanly, and some arrive early.

The first “buy” marker on the chart is dated Jan. 2. On that day, XRP closed around $2.01 after trading as low as roughly $1.87, and the market proceeded to accelerate into the week’s blow-off move: by Jan. 5 XRP closed near $2.35, and the Jan. 6 session printed a high around $2.42. In other words, the Jan. 2 “buy” call landed ahead of the sharp leg higher that set the period’s high.

The first “sell” marker is dated Jan. 7, immediately after the peak. XRP closed around $2.16 that day and then bled lower across the next sessions, sliding toward the low-$2.00s by Jan. 12. On sequence alone, that sell signal aligns with the market shifting from post-spike distribution into a steadier downtrend.

The second “sell” marker, Jan. 11, is less straightforward. XRP closed near $2.07 on Jan. 11 and dipped again on Jan. 12, but then logged a sharp rebound on Jan. 13, closing around $2.17. Traders treating the Jan. 11 marker as an immediate top signal would have faced a short-term whipsaw before downside resumed.

That brings the chart’s third “sell” marker (Jan. 13) which appears to target that rebound itself. From Jan. 13’s close near $2.17, XRP rolled back over: it faded through mid-month and ultimately slid into the Jan. 20 low around $1.87 (intraday), which maps cleanly to the chart’s contention that “greed-zone” sentiment can coincide with local exhaustion.

On the “buy” side late in the window, Santiment flags Jan. 18 and Jan. 20–21. The Jan. 18 marker arrived early: XRP closed around $1.99 on Jan. 18 but continued lower into Jan. 20 before rebounding. The current Jan. 20–21 marker fits better in the short term, with XRP bouncing from the Jan. 20 close near $1.89 to roughly $1.95 by today. Even so, that rebound has so far been modest relative to the broader drawdown from the $2.4 area peak.

Santiment’s broader point is contrarian: when social feeds tip into one-sided pessimism, marginal selling pressure may already be exhausted, setting up mean reversion. The recent signal history partially supports that while also showing the practical risk: entries can be early, and “extreme fear” can persist if trend conditions remain heavy.

At press time, XRP traded at $1.9498.

XRP price

Bitcoin Sentiment Whiplash: Mood Sours From Greed To Extreme Fear In Days

22 January 2026 at 02:00

Data shows the Bitcoin market sentiment has seen a sharp turnaround recently as the Fear & Greed Index has swung to extreme fear.

Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Is Back In Extreme Fear Zone

The “Fear & Greed Index” refers to an indicator created by Alternative that tells us about the average sentiment present among traders in the Bitcoin and wider cryptocurrency markets.

The index uses the data of the following five factors to determine the investor mentality: market cap dominance, trading volume, volatility, Google Trends, and social media sentiment. To represent the sentiment, it uses a numerical scale running from zero to hundred.

When the value of the Fear & Greed Index is greater than 53, it means a sentiment of greed is shared by the majority of traders. On the other hand, the indicator being below 47 implies the dominance of fear. All values lying between these two cutoffs correspond to a net neutral mentality.

Besides these three core regions, there are also two ‘extreme’ zones, known as the extreme fear (occurring at 25 and under) and extreme greed (above 75). At present, the market sentiment is in one of these zones, as the Fear & Greed Index’s latest value suggests.

Bitcoin Extreme Fear

As displayed above, the Bitcoin market sentiment is just inside the extreme fear territory right now, with the Fear & Greed Index sitting at 24. This level of despair among traders is a new development, as just earlier mood was much better.

Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index

On January 15th, the index had a value of 61, putting the sentiment of the average investor firmly inside the greed territory. Only six days later, the situation has completely flipped.

The reason behind this shift lies in the bearish price action that the cryptocurrency has faced since US President Donald Trump announced tariffs on several European countries over Greenland.

The earlier greed sentiment also came after trader mentality saw a sharp swing. In fact, the shift was even faster back then, as the Fear & Greed Index went from a near-extreme fear level of 26 to the greedy value of 61 over just two days as Bitcoin witnessed a price surge beyond $97,000.

The latest drop back into the extreme zone may not entirely be a negative development for the cryptocurrency, though, if history is anything to refer to. Often, digital asset markets have tended to move in the direction that goes contrary to the expectations of the majority.

Since extreme fear is where a bearish mentality is the strongest, bottoms can be likely to occur in the zone. Similarly, extreme greed can lead to tops instead. With the sentiment currently in the former zone, it now remains to be seen how long it will take for Bitcoin to find back its footing.

BTC Price

Bitcoin dropped under $88,000 earlier in the day, but the coin has since bounced back to $90,200.

Bitcoin Price Chart

Crypto prices today (Jan. 22): BTC, BNB, XMR, SUI rebound as Trump cancels EU tariff threats

22 January 2026 at 00:00
Crypto prices today edged higher as easing geopolitical tension helped stabilize risk appetite, even as sentiment indicators remained deep in fear territory. The total crypto market capitalization rose 0.8% to about $3.12 trillion. Most of the major tokens traded in…

Mantle price flashes multiple bullish reversal patterns, can it recover from January losses?

By: Rony Roy
21 January 2026 at 03:42
Mantle’s price has declined over 22% in the past two weeks, largely tracking a broader market correction. However, several emerging technical signals suggest the token’s downtrend may be reaching an inflection point. According to data from crypto.news, Mantle (MNT) price…

Crypto prices today (Jan. 21): BTC dips below $90K, BNB, XMR, PUMP slide amid U.S.-EU tariff tensions

20 January 2026 at 23:48
Crypto prices today fell as selling pressure returned across global markets, pushing Bitcoin below the $90,000 level and dragging most major altcoins lower. At press time, the total crypto market value had dropped 3.4% to $3.1 trillion. Bitcoin was trading…

Crypto market crash today: Is a global tariff war triggering the sell-off?

By: Rony Roy
19 January 2026 at 05:34
Crypto prices crashed on Monday morning, with the total crypto market cap dropping 2.4% to $3.2 trillion as investor sentiment further deteriorated amid fresh tariff war concerns. Bitcoin (BTC), the world’s largest crypto asset, dropped 3% to nearly $92,250 on…

Crypto prices today (Jan. 19): BTC, LINK, SUI, HBAR dip amid EU tariff concerns

19 January 2026 at 03:54
Crypto prices today declined sharply as investors reacted to geopolitical tensions and ongoing regulatory uncertainty. The total crypto market capitalization fell about 3% to roughly $3.2 trillion. At press time, Bitcoin was trading near $92,548, down 2.7% over the last…

Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Turns ‘Neutral’ For First Time Since October

15 January 2026 at 03:00

Sentiment in the Bitcoin market has marked an improvement recently as the Fear & Greed Index has surged into the neutral zone for the first time in months.

Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Is Now Pointing At ‘Neutral’

The “Fear & Greed Index” refers to an indicator created by Alternative that tells us about the average sentiment present among traders in the Bitcoin and wider cryptocurrency markets. It determines the investor mentality using the data of five factors: market cap dominance, trading volume, volatility, social media sentiment, and Google Trends.

To represent the sentiment, the index makes use of a numerical scale running from 0 to 100. All values below 47 correspond to fear among the investors, while those above 53 reflect the dominance of greed. The metric being between the two cutoffs suggests a net neutral sentiment.

Now, here is how the current market sentiment is like, according to the Fear & Greed Index:

Bitcoin Neutral

As is visible above, the index has a value of 48 right now, indicating that sentiment around Bitcoin is neutral. This is a sharp change from how the market mood looked just yesterday.

Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index

The Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index had a value of 26 on Tuesday, which means that the investor sentiment was deep inside the fear zone. The reason behind the turnaround in trader mood has been the coin’s recovery rally, which has now taken its price beyond the $97,000 level.

Since the Fear & Greed Index hasn’t made it into the greed zone yet, investors still look to be hesitant about embracing the bullish price action. In the past, the cryptocurrency market has often tended to move against the expectations of the majority, so the fact that traders aren’t outright greedy yet could actually be a positive sign for the rally’s sustainability.

That said, the latest jump in sentiment has been a rapid one, so the indicator could be to keep an eye on in the coming days, as a venture into the greed zone could very well be next.

The current break into the neutral zone reflects the first time since late October that the Fear & Greed Index has surged into the region. A greedy sentiment hasn’t been witnessed since the first half of October, more than three months ago.

In some other news, the new Bitcoin recovery run has triggered a large amount of liquidations, as revealed by on-chain analytics firm Glassnode.

Crypto Liquidations

“Across the top 500 cryptocurrencies, the latest move triggered the largest short-liquidation event since 10/10,” explained Glassnode.

BTC Price

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $97,500, up more than 7% in the last seven days.

Bitcoin Price Chart

Bitcoin Price Trades Near $87,000 as Market Slips Into ‘Extreme Fear’

16 December 2025 at 16:31

Bitcoin Magazine

Bitcoin Price Trades Near $87,000 as Market Slips Into ‘Extreme Fear’

Bitcoin price hovered above $87,000 today as market sentiment and the Crypto Fear and Greed Index plunged to 11 out of 100, a level signaling extreme fear among investors.

At the time of writing, the bitcoin price is trading at $87,696, up roughly 2% over the past 24 hours, according to market data. Despite the modest rebound, BTC remains trapped in a choppy consolidation range, sitting just 0.2% below its seven-day high of $87,918 and 2% above its weekly low near $85,575.

Yesterday, the bitcoin price cratered from close to $90,000 to the mid $85,000s.

Trading volume over the past day totaled approximately $51 billion, suggesting continued participation but little conviction on either side of the market. Bitcoin’s total market capitalization stood at $1.75 trillion, reflecting a 2% increase over the prior 24 hours, according to Bitcoin Magazine Pro data.

The uneasy price action comes as sentiment has turned decisively bearish. The Fear and Greed Index—a composite indicator that incorporates volatility, volume, social media trends, and momentum—has fallen deep into its lowest category, historically associated with panic-driven selling and heightened emotional decision-making.

Extreme fear hits crypto markets

A reading of 11 places the market firmly in “extreme fear,” a zone typically marked by heightened downside anxiety and risk aversion. Historically, such conditions have often coincided with local bottoms, though timing remains uncertain.

The index operates on a 0–100 scale, where readings below 25 indicate extreme fear and levels above 75 suggest extreme greed. 

At current levels, investors appear more concerned about further downside than missing potential upside, reinforcing the defensive tone seen across digital asset markets.Market participants often view extreme fear as a contrarian signal, arguing that widespread pessimism can create favorable long-term entry points. 

Thin liquidity amplifies downside moves

Bitcoin price’s recent slide below the $90,000 level occurred during typically illiquid weekend trading, exacerbating volatility as sellers encountered limited buy-side support. Prices fell from the low-$92,000 range late last week to weekend lows near $87,000, marking one of the sharpest short-term pullbacks since October’s all-time high.

The broader crypto market mirrored bitcoin’s weakness. Major altcoins continued to post double-digit monthly losses, while bitcoin dominance climbed toward 57%, underscoring a flight to relative safety within the digital asset complex.

Muted volumes suggest the move lower reflects caution rather than capitulation, with traders reluctant to deploy fresh capital ahead of key macroeconomic events.

Globally, attention is also turning to Japan, where the Bank of Japan is widely expected to raise interest rates. Such a move could pressure yen-funded carry trades that have supported global risk assets over the past year, potentially adding another headwind for crypto markets.

Bitcoin price levels in focus

From a technical perspective, analysts are closely watching the mid-$80,000 range as near-term support. A sustained break below this zone could open the door to a deeper retracement toward the low-$80,000s or below. 

Conversely, holding current levels would reinforce the view that the bitcoin price remains range-bound rather than entering a prolonged bearish phase.

Despite the gloomy mood, long-term narratives remain intact for many investors, particularly as institutional participation continues to expand through spot bitcoin ETFs and broader regulatory clarity.

For now, however, bitcoin’s price action reflects a market caught between structural optimism and short-term fear—an uneasy balance that has pushed sentiment to one of its most pessimistic readings of the year.

Despite all this, earlier today, asset manager Bitwise released a new report that argues that bitcoin is poised to break from its historical four-year market cycle, setting new all-time highs in 2026 while becoming less volatile and less correlated with equities.

At the time of writing, the bitcoin price is $87,706.

bitcoin price

This post Bitcoin Price Trades Near $87,000 as Market Slips Into ‘Extreme Fear’ first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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