Solana failed to settle above $140 and nosedived. SOL price is now consolidating losses below $135 and might struggle to start a recovery wave.

• SOL price started a fresh decline below $136 and $135 against the US Dollar.
• The price is now trading below $135 and the 100-hourly simple moving average.
• There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $138 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken).
• The price could start a recovery wave if the bulls defend $128 or $125.

Solana Price Dips Further

Solana price failed to remain stable above $140 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL declined below the $138 and $135 support levels.

The price gained bearish momentum below $132. A low was formed at $124, and the price is now consolidating losses. The price recovered a few points and climbed above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $143 swing high to the $124 low.

Solana is now trading below $135 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $134 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $143 swing high to the $124 low.

The next major resistance is near the $136 level. The main resistance could be $138. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $138 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. A successful close above the $138 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $144. Any more gains might send the price toward the $150 level.

Another Decline In SOL?

If SOL fails to rise above the $133 resistance, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $129 zone. The first major support is near the $125 level.

A break below the $125 level might send the price toward the $120 support zone. If there is a close below the $120 support, the price could decline toward the $112 support in the near term.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is losing pace in the bearish zone.

Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $129 and $125.

Major Resistance Levels – $133 and $138.

Solana Mobile has rolled out its long-awaited SKR token airdrop for Seeker smartphone users and select developers, adding a fresh ecosystem catalyst as SOL trades near a critical technical support zone.

Related Reading: What the Triple-Tap At $1.80 Means For The XRP Price

The launch comes at a time when Solana’s price is hovering around $120–$130, an area analysts see as decisive for the token’s medium-term direction. SKR debuted at around $0.006 and climbed above $0.01 within hours of launch, pushing its market capitalization past $70 million.

More than 100,000 users are eligible to claim the airdrop through the Seeker phone’s built-in wallet over a 90-day window. Any unclaimed tokens will be returned to the general distribution pool.

Solana SKR Airdrop Targets Users and Developers

Solana Mobile allocated 30% of SKR’s fixed 10 billion token supply to airdrops and early unlocks. Nearly 2 billion SKR are being distributed to Seeker phone owners and developers who deployed “quality apps” in the Solana dApp Store during Season 1.

The company said the token underpins governance, incentives, and economic activity within the Solana Mobile ecosystem. SKR can be staked directly from the Seed Vault wallet, with inflation events occurring every 48 hours. The annual inflation rate starts at 10% and declines by 25% each year until it stabilizes at 2%.

The airdrop coincides with the start of Seeker’s Season 2 campaign, which introduces a refreshed app catalog, rewards programs, and a focus on sectors such as DeFi, gaming, payments, trading, and decentralized physical infrastructure (DePIN).

Community reaction has been mixed. Some users reported receiving several thousand dollars’ worth of SKR, while others reported allocations closer to $50–$100. Some users expressed disappointment, citing delays in phone delivery and additional shipping costs.

While SKR draws attention to Solana’s mobile strategy, the SOL token itself is facing a technical test. After breaking below $136, SOL has slipped into the $120–$127 zone, where an ascending trendline from the 2023 lows meets historical horizontal support.

This area has previously acted as both resistance and support, making it a closely watched “flip zone” for traders. A sustained hold above $120 could open the door to a recovery toward the $135–$150 range. A breakdown, however, may expose downside targets near $110 or even $100.

Related Reading: Trove’s New Token Craters 95%, Sparking Investor Revolt

Short-term indicators show some stabilization. SOL recently bounced from around $124 to near $128, supported by renewed ETF inflows of roughly $3.08 million and spot market accumulation of about $9.31 million. These flows suggest buyers are stepping in at current levels.

Cover image from ChatGPT, SOLUSD chart on Tradingview

Solana failed to settle above $145 and nosedived. SOL price is now consolidating losses below $135 and might decline further below $130.

• SOL price started a fresh decline below $138 and $135 against the US Dollar.
• The price is now trading below $135 and the 100-hourly simple moving average.
• There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $140 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken).
• The price could start a recovery wave if the bulls defend $132 or $130.

Solana Price Dips Again

Solana price failed to remain stable above $142 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL declined below the $140 and $138 support levels.

The price gained bearish momentum below $135. A low was formed at $130, and the price is now consolidating losses. The price recovered a few points and climbed above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $143 swing high to the $130 low.

Solana is now trading below $135 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $135 level. The next major resistance is near the $136 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $143 swing high to the $130 low.

The main resistance could be $140. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $140 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. A successful close above the $140 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $144. Any more gains might send the price toward the $150 level.

Another Decline In SOL?

If SOL fails to rise above the $136 resistance, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $132 zone. The first major support is near the $130 level.

A break below the $130 level might send the price toward the $122 support zone. If there is a close below the $122 support, the price could decline toward the $115 support in the near term.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is gaining pace in the bearish zone.

Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $132 and $130.

Major Resistance Levels – $136 and $140.

Solana is testing investor confidence as the SOL price slips back toward key support levels, even as the network continues to expand across multiple fronts. After briefly pushing above $147 earlier this week, the token failed to hold its gains and is now trading below $145.

The pullback comes at a time when Solana is seeing rising institutional interest, growing real-world asset adoption, and new user-focused initiatives, creating a contrast between short-term price pressure and longer-term ecosystem growth.

SOL Price Tests Critical Support Zone

SOL has entered a short-term correction after failing to clear the $150 resistance area. The price dropped below the $146 and $145 levels, moving under the 100-hour simple moving average. On the downside, technical analysts are watching the $141–$140 zone, where a bullish trend line and Fibonacci support converge.

If the SOL price breaks below $140, the next support sits near $132, with further downside risk toward $124. On the upside, resistance remains near $146 and $148. A confirmed move above $148 could open the door to a retest of $155 and potentially $162.

Momentum indicators reflect cautious sentiment. The hourly RSI remains below 50, and the MACD continues to show bearish pressure. Despite a healthy trading volume of around $5 billion in 24 hours, SOL is still down roughly one-third from its price a year ago and well below its previous peak near $293.

Regulatory Developments and Solana ETF Inflows

Beyond price action, regulatory news in the U.S. may influence Solana’s medium-term outlook.

The draft bill known as the “Clarity Act,” released by the Senate Banking Committee, proposes reclassifying certain cryptocurrencies with exchange-traded products as “non-incidental” assets starting in 2026. This would ease some SEC disclosure requirements for assets like SOL.

If passed, the proposal could place Solana in a similar regulatory category to Bitcoin and Ethereum, potentially improving institutional access. Early signs of interest have already appeared.

On January 15, U.S. spot Solana ETFs recorded $23.57 million in net inflows, the highest in four weeks. However, ETF assets still represent only about 1.5% of SOL’s market capitalization, limiting their immediate impact on price.

While the SOL price struggles, Solana’s network continues to expand. In 2025, the blockchain processed $1.6 trillion in trading volume, accounting for roughly 12% of the crypto market. Its DeFi ecosystem remains anchored by platforms like Jupiter, Raydium, Orca, and Kamino, with TVL holding steady near $11.5 billion.

A major milestone came as Solana’s real-world asset (RWA) ecosystem reached a record valuation of $1.15 billion, driven by tokenized U.S. Treasuries, equities, and institutional funds. This signals growing use of Solana as a settlement layer for traditional assets.

Related Reading: Bitcoin Tailwind: Cathie Wood Sees ‘Reaganomics On Steroids’ Ahead

User engagement initiatives are also expanding. Solana’s Seeker phone is rolling out a large SKR token airdrop to over 100,000 users, while Interactive Brokers has enabled 24/7 USDC deposits via the Solana network, improving access for global traders.

Cover image from ChatGPT, SOLUSD chart from Tradingview

Solana failed to stay above $146 and corrected gains. SOL price is now trading below $145 and might find bids near the $140 zone.

• SOL price started a downside correction below $145 against the US Dollar.
• The price is now trading below $145 and the 100-hourly simple moving average.
• There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $141 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken).
• The pair could extend losses if it dips below the $140 zone.

Solana Price Starts Downside Correction

Solana price failed to surpass $150 and started a downside correction, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL dipped below $146 and $145 to enter a short-term bearish zone.

There was a move below the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the $138 swing low to the $149 high. However, the bulls are active above $140. Besides, there is a bullish trend line forming with support at $141 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair.

Solana is now trading below $145 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. On the upside, the price is facing resistance near the $144 level. The next major resistance is near the $146 level. The main resistance could be $148. A successful close above the $148 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $155. Any more gains might send the price toward the $162 level.

More Losses In SOL?

If SOL fails to rise above the $146 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $141 zone and the trend line. The first major support is near the $140 level and the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the $138 swing low to the $149 high.

A break below the $140 level might send the price toward the $132 support zone. If there is a close below the $132 support, the price could decline toward the $124 support in the near term.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is gaining pace in the bearish zone.

Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $141 and $140.

Major Resistance Levels – $146 and $148.

Solana started a fresh increase above the $142 zone. SOL price is now consolidating above $142 and might aim for more gains above the $150 zone.

• SOL price started a fresh upward move above the $142 and $145 levels against the US Dollar.
• The price is now trading above $142 and the 100-hourly simple moving average.
• There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $140 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken).
• The pair could extend gains if it clears the $150 resistance zone.

Solana Price Starts Fresh Surge

Solana price started a decent increase after it settled above the $135 zone, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL climbed above the $140 level to enter a short-term positive zone.

The price even smashed the $142 resistance. The bulls were able to push the price above $145. A high was formed at $148, and the price is now consolidating gains. There was a minor decline below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent upward move from the $138 swing low to the $148 high.

Solana is now trading above $142 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. Besides, there is a bullish trend line forming with support at $140 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair.

On the upside, the price is facing resistance near $148. The next major resistance is near the $150 level. The main resistance could be $155. A successful close above the $155 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $162. Any more gains might send the price toward the $170 level.

Downside Correction In SOL?

If SOL fails to rise above the $148 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $144 zone. The first major support is near the $143 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent upward move from the $138 swing low to the $148 high.

A break below the $143 level might send the price toward the $140 support zone and the trend line. If there is a close below the $140 support, the price could decline toward the $135 support in the near term.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is gaining pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $144 and $140.

Major Resistance Levels – $148 and $150.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and XRP are at the center of a clear capital rotation unfolding across the crypto market, as investors scale back exposure to the largest assets while reallocating capital into selective alternatives. The latest CoinShares Digital Asset Fund Flows Weekly Report (Volume 268) captures this shift through hard fund-flow data, highlighting deliberate institutional repositioning.

Bitcoin And Ethereum See Heavy Withdrawals As Capital Rotates

Digital asset investment products recorded $454 million in net outflows over the latest reporting week, a move linked to weakening expectations for near-term US Federal Reserve rate cuts. As macro conditions tightened, capital moved defensively, pressuring risk assets across the board.

Bitcoin accounted for the overwhelming share of redemptions. BTC investment products saw $405 million in outflows, reinforcing the idea that investors are reducing exposure where liquidity is deepest and allocations are largest. Ethereum followed with $116 million in outflows, confirming that selling pressure remains concentrated in core holdings rather than across the entire asset class.

The regional breakdown sharpens this picture. The United States recorded $569 million in outflows, making it the dominant source of capital withdrawal during the week. In contrast, other regions remained selectively constructive. Germany posted $58.9 million in inflows, while Canada added $24.5 million and Switzerland recorded $21 million, pointing to regional divergence rather than a synchronized global retreat.

Flows by product and provider further reinforce this trend. Multi-asset investment products saw $21 million in outflows, indicating reduced appetite for broad crypto exposure. Binance-linked products lost $3.7 million, while Aave-related products recorded $1.7 million in outflows, showing that pressure extended beyond just Bitcoin and Ethereum-linked vehicles.

Solana And XRP Capture Inflows Amid Market Repositioning

While headline flows were negative, capital did not exit crypto entirely. Instead, it rotated. XRP led alternative asset inflows with $45.8 million, standing out as the strongest performer during the week. Solana followed closely with $32.8 million in inflows, continuing a pattern of steady institutional accumulation.

These inflows are notable because they occurred during a week of broad net outflows, suggesting intentional reallocation rather than indiscriminate risk-off behavior. Investors appeared willing to maintain crypto exposure, but only where they perceived stronger relative upside or differentiated fundamentals. Solana’s inflows reflect confidence in its ecosystem growth and transaction throughput, while XRP’s gains point to improving sentiment around its positioning and use-case clarity.

Smaller assets also saw selective interest. Sui recorded $7.6 million in inflows, reinforcing the theme that capital is being redeployed with precision rather than withdrawn wholesale.

The numbers draw a clear conclusion. Bitcoin and Ethereum are increasingly treated as macro-sensitive anchors within crypto portfolios, absorbing most of the downside when conditions tighten. Solana and XRP, by contrast, are emerging as tactical allocation targets. If this rotation persists, market leadership could shift away from incumbents toward assets perceived to offer better capital efficiency, reshaping short-term market structure without undermining crypto’s broader institutional footprint.

Solana’s price has delivered a slight rebound as the broader crypto market gradually shifts towards a bullish outlook. Although the price of SOL may be demonstrating strength once again, its future trajectory is largely tied to the performance of the leading network in the days ahead.

Network Performance Becomes The Key Catalyst For Solana’s Price

Following a slight bounce on Monday, Solana is back above the $140 price mark. However, on-chain data suggests that the altcoin is nearing a turning point where its next significant price change may depend more on how well its network functions going forward than on market sentiment.

This thesis was outlined by Santiment, a leading market intelligence and on-chain data platform, after examining the correlation between SOL’s current price movement and its network activity. With price spikes coinciding with reduced network activity, the focus is now on the blockchain’s ability to maintain that momentum.

Santiment highlighted that as ongoing market volatility cools off, the price of SOL experienced a leg up as high as $144, drawing dangerously close to breaking past its $145 resistance level. While the price remains below the key resistance level, the altcoin awaits its next major catalyst in order to clear this level.

According to the on-chain platform, this will mostly depend on whether SOL network growth can start to increase once more, drawing attention to its fading new wallet creation. Data shows that the number of new wallet addresses created in a weekly timeframe has dropped significantly over the last few weeks.

In contrast to the prior optimistic moments, when new addresses were generated at record rates, accompanied by soaring trading and meme-coin activity, the slowdown represents a significant change.

As of November 2024, the number of weekly wallet addresses created was approximately 30.2 million. Fast forward to today, and the figure has fallen sharply, sitting at about 7.3 million. This massive drop in wallet creation signals a growing cooling phase in user onboarding across the SOL network. 

SOL Maintaining Large Daily Transactions

New wallet addresses may have reduced significantly, but Solana’s transaction scale remains robust. Despite fluctuations in the overall market momentum, SOL maintains a remarkably high level of daily transactions, demonstrating the power of its network.

In a recent report from Solana Daily on the X platform, it was revealed that the network has persistently carried out more than 60 million transactions every day for the past 750 days. This consistency demonstrates the chain’s widespread use in Decentralized Finance (DeFi), Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs), payments, and high-throughput applications that depend on its affordability and speed.

An interesting aspect of this growth is that the network has maintained zero uptime within the timeframe, reinforcing its position as a reliable hub for on-chain activity. Currently, Solana is supported by real usage rather than just speculative spikes, which increases network efficiency.

Solana’s price action is sending a clear message: the correction may not be finished yet. While buyers continue to show up at key levels, the broader structure still points to the possibility of one final downside test before a sustainable move higher can take shape. 

Wave IV Still Unfinished As C-Wave Pressure Persists

Crypto analyst More Crypto Online, in a recent update, explained that Solana’s chart structure still points to the possibility of another downside move before the ongoing correction is fully completed. Within the orange scenario, price action continues to align with a C-wave decline in a broader wave IV correction, keeping the corrective outlook valid as long as the structure remains non-impulsive.

Even when viewed through the alternative white scenario, the current pullback can still be classified as an A-wave, which leaves room for another low before a B-wave recovery begins or before a potential fifth wave to the upside develops. In both interpretations, the analyst noted that the correction may not yet be finished.

From a short-term perspective, the chart suggests that Solana could drift lower into the $81 to $90 region. Currently, there are no clear structural signals indicating an immediate bullish continuation, as the absence of impulsive upside movement keeps downside scenarios firmly in play.

However, if prices were to turn higher from current levels without setting a new low, the broader structure since January 2025 would start to resemble a triangular consolidation rather than a completed wave IV. This alternative setup would imply extended sideways movement instead of a rapid trend resumption. Until stronger upside momentum appears, the focus remains on the risk of one more corrective low.

Controlled Reaction At The 50% Fibonacci Signals Solana Buyer Strength

AltCoin Việt Nam stated that Solana’s current price action is showing a strong and reassuring reaction around the 50% Fibonacci level. Instead of breaking down aggressively, the price has been rebounding in a controlled manner, suggesting that buyers are still maintaining influence. From a wave-structure perspective, wave IV does not appear to be rushing toward completion, leaving room for wave C to extend further if the market continues to move in line with the broader rhythm.

Adding to the bullish bias is the ongoing ETF narrative surrounding Solana. Spot SOL inflows are not arriving in a FOMO-driven manner, but rather through steady accumulation across several sessions. This type of capital flow often reflects longer-term positioning rather than short-term speculation, which explains why the price tends to rebound quickly whenever it revisits key support zones.

That said, the outlook is not without invalidation. A sustained move below the 50% Fibonacci level would signal that the current structure has broken down. However, the analyst views the recent pauses as temporary breathers within a broader upward structure, rather than the beginning of a meaningful downtrend.