The XRP price is rebounding sharply as the broader crypto market slowly recovers from a months-long downtrend. Although XRP is still more than 43% below its all-time high, a market analyst has outlined what needs to happen before the cryptocurrency can rally again. The analyst has shared a rather blunt assessment of XRP’s recent performance, highlighting its vulnerability and weakened price action. 

XRP Price Rally Hinges On Bitcoin’s Recovery

A crypto market expert identified as ‘Guy on Earth’ has issued a fresh warning on X, highlighting that the XRP price is currently sitting at precarious levels and “hanging on for its dear life.” His outlook was cautious as he stated that the cryptocurrency is barely maintaining a crucial monthly bull market support level. 

In his view, a potential XRP price rally now depends on a shift in Bitcoin’s behavior. The analyst explained that the altcoin market has suffered from maximum stress in recent months and will only begin to recover once BTC stages a rebound. He highlighted that the cryptocurrency needs to trigger a recovery rally while its dominance levels decline, giving altcoins enough room to regain former momentum and stage a rally. 

Without this change in Bitcoin, the pressure on XRP is likely to continue. Recently, BTC climbed roughly 7% and is now trading above $93,000. Within the same period, the XRP price has surged more than 9% to $2.19. This trend highlights a correlation between Bitcoin’s positive price action and XRP’s upward movement. 

Despite the recovery, Guy on Earth has warned investors and traders to stay realistic and manage their exposure carefully, given the market’s fragile state. His accompanying chart supports this caution. It shows that following a sharp impulse move that pushed XRP into a multi-year high zone, the price has stalled beneath a clear ceiling marked by repeated monthly rejections. Below the price structure, XRP’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) has declined, reflecting fading strength. 

XRP Price To 10x In 2026 Crypto Super Cycle

Presenting a more bullish outlook for XRP, crypto analyst Amonyx has examined its price potential within the broader altcoin market cycle. He suggested that the crypto supercycle in 2026 will be massive. His analysis places XRP at the centre of this bullish expansion, predicting a powerful price surge.

Amonyx shared a chart illustrating three distinct altcoin seasons during past bull market cycles, each marked by explosive performances relative to Bitcoin. The first two cycles show a massive surge followed by prolonged cooldown periods. The current cycle highlights a larger structure, suggesting that the upcoming altcoin season in 2026 could be more powerful than the last two. If this trend holds, the analyst predicts that XRP’s price could skyrocket 10x from its current level of $2.19 to approximately $22.

As the market matures and the broader economic landscape shifts, Bitcoin has once again found itself at a thrilling crossroads, with the entire crypto market watching closely as momentum builds on both sides of the chart. This moment of market volatility is a profound inflection point, where the interplay of rising institutional adoption and changing global macroeconomic conditions is converging.

Historical Breakout Zones Align With Price Structure

Bitcoin is currently sitting at a thrilling crossroads. In an X post, an analyst known as CryptoCrewU has stated that BTC is witnessing the strongest bearish divergence in years, paired with a rare 2-week close below the 21-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) of this bull run.

Furthermore, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently dipping into levels reminiscent of past pivotal moments in 2015, 2018, the COVID-19 pandemic, and the 2022 bottoms. Meanwhile, the Stoch RSI has yet to cross upwards, hinting at the full extent of the potential move ahead.

While fear is at its peak in the market right now, history shows that buying during these market lows has consistently led to significant profits over the past 5 years. “Let data guide you, not emotions,” CryptoCrewU noted.

Trader_XO highlighted that since 2015, one pattern has remained remarkably consistent in Bitcoin’s cycle. Historically, whenever breaks below the 50-week Moving Average (MA), it has often signaled a deeper move toward the 200-week MA, or even the 300-week MA. Meanwhile, BTC tends to treat the 200-week MA as a major cycle support area. 

The price has only dipped below the 300-week MA once in history, and anything trading below the 200-week MA has been relatively short-lived, aligning with the best part of the cycle lows. According to Trader_XO, if the price were to revisit those lower moving average levels, and the broader market context aligns, that area would be viewed as a high-probability buying opportunity, unless this time the move is different.

Market Structure Shows Early Signs Of Strength Returning

Bitcoin is finally showing signs of strength again. A Full-time crypto teacher, Sykodelic, has pointed out that for the first time since the drop from $116,000, the price has broken above its previous low-time-frame (LTF) range, with a strong push above the 50 SMA. 

Since the $116,000 rejection, every time BTC attempts to move into an upper range, it gets rejected and makes new lows. This time, BTC has finally pushed higher. Currently, this is simply an LTF action, but these subtle shifts are exactly what to watch out for when it comes to understanding the nature of trend reversals.

A daily close above $87,000 will confirm the breakout of the trend. Sykodelic concluded that moving higher after a drop like that is intricate, and it can take time. Therefore, observe the signs and move accordingly to see how the daily close goes.