AI coding work is rising fast, but the biggest payoff isnβt evenly shared. A Science analysis suggests seasoned developers get stronger gains than newcomers, which could reshape how you learn, interview, and prove value.
An illustration by ChatGPT based on its interpretation of our year-end GeekWire Podcast discussion.
The past year may go down as one of the most consequential in technology history, in both the Seattle tech community and the world. But in some ways, itβs not without precedent.
As we sat down to reflect on the past year, we rewound all the way back to January β when, as part of a larger discussion with Bill Gates, we asked the Microsoft co-founder to compare the early days of the PC with these early years of AI.
Gates reflected on the PC era as a moment of computing becoming free, effectively.
βNow whatβs happening is intelligence is becoming free,β he said, βand thatβs even more profound than computing becoming free.β
As we looked through GeekWireβs top stories of the year, almost every one felt like a subplot to that larger narrative. On this special year-end episode of the GeekWire Podcast, we reviewed the articles that resonated most with readers, and compared notes to make sense of it all.
Listen below, and continue reading for episode notes and links.
Enigma of success: βBrutal realityβ of tech cycles
The unexpected way AI is affecting jobs β not by replacing workers directly, but by pressuring companies to cut costs as they pour money into infrastructure.
MIT study: 95% of projects using generative AI have failed or produced no return.
Worker stress: Mandates to use AI, but no playbook on how.
One tech veteranβs take: βThe enigma of success is a polite way of describing the brutal reality of tech cycles. β¦ The challenge, and opportunity for leadership, is whether the bets actually compound into something durable, or just become another slide deck for next yearβs reorg.β
Bill Radke on KUOW: βThe tech industry had quite a year. Amazon ordered their workers back to the office. You must come back to the office. Are you here? Good. Youβre laid off. Not all of you. Just the humans.β
A pivotal year for Amazon
Andy Jassyβs explanation: Not financially driven, not even really AI driven β itβs culture.
After rapid growth, Amazon trying to get back to operating like βthe worldβs largest startup.β
The new motto seems to be: Get small and nimble, faster.
Can Amazon find that next pillar of business, as Jeff Bezos used to say?
Magdalena Balazinska, director of the Paul G. Allen School: βCoding, or the translation of a precise design into software instructions, is dead. AI can do that. We have never graduated coders. We have always graduated software engineers.β
The issue was explored by the New York Times in its Daily podcast on Code.org and the shifting landscape for coding education. See the response from Hadi Partovi of Code.org.
Complex alchemy of interest rates, regulation, and market conditions.
AI becomes real
Brad Smith at Microsoftβs annual meeting: Asked Copilotβs researcher agent to produce a report on an issue from seven or eight years ago. Fifteen minutes later: 25-page report with 100 citations.
Whatβs happening now: the shift from individual productivity to team productivity, from people using AI to organizations figuring it out.
As companies implement AI agents, we move from desktop/individual applications to true enterprise services, playing to Seattleβs strengths.
Quote of the Year
βWe look forward to joining Matt on his private island next year.β β Kiana Ehsani, CEO of Vercept, after her co-founder Matt Deitke left to join Meta for a reported hundreds of millions of dollars.
Stickler of the Year
Proud Seattleite and grammarian Ken Jennings on Jeopardy!, correcting a contestant: βSorry, Dan, we are sticklers in Seattle. Itβs Pike Place β no s.β
Feel-Good Moment of the Year
Ambika Singh, CEO and founder of Armoire, accepting the Workplace of the Year award at the GeekWire Awards: βIt is not a surprise to any of you that we are losing community outside of these walls in this country. But here, it feels alive and well.β