Postal regulator limits USPS to once-a-year price hikes for mail through 2030
The Postal Service’s regulator is setting limits on how often the agency can set higher prices for its monopoly mail products.
The Postal Regulatory Commission ruled on Tuesday that the USPS, starting in March, can only raise mail prices once a year. This limit will remain in place through Sept. 30, 2030.
The commission eased restrictions on USPS mail prices in December 2020, when the agency was reeling from the COVID-19 pandemic, and was months away from running out of cash.
Since then, USPS has generally raised mail prices every January and July. Despite setting higher prices, the mail agency is seeing deeper net losses each year, and is far from achieving the “break-even” goal of its 10-year reform plan. In July 2025, USPS raised the price of a first-class stamp to 78 cents.
Members of the commission wrote in their order that the Postal Service’s long-term financial problems “cannot be resolved by using pricing authority alone.”
Regulators said they gave USPS this pricing flexibility largely because it’s delivering less mail to households — but still going to 163 million addresses at least six days a week — and because the agency, up until recently, was required to prefund health benefits for its retirees well into the future. Congress eliminated this prefunding mandate in April 2022, as part of the Postal Service Reform Act, a long-awaited reform package that helped USPS avoid $107 billion in costs.
As the bill made its way through Congress, Pete Sessions (R-Texas), the current chairman of the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee’s government operations subcommittee and co-chairman of the Delivering Outstanding Government Efficiency (DOGE) Caucus, warned USPS not to keep raising prices.
“We’ve got to make sure stamps don’t go to 60 cents, don’t go to 70 cents, don’t go to 80 cents,” Sessions said during a committee hearing in May 2021. At the time of the hearing, the price of a first-class stamp was 55 cents.
Even with congressional intervention and new pricing flexibility, the Postal Regulatory Commission found “things did not go well” for USPS.
“Declines in the Postal Service’s financial situation, volume, and service performance have remained significant, if not worsened,” the PRC wrote.
USPS ended fiscal 2025 with a $9 billion net loss. The regulator said limiting USPS to a single rate increase each year is unlikely to have a significant impact on its revenue.
USPS did not attempt to provide its own estimate of how much additional revenue it received from the second rate each year. But PRC estimates that it brought in, at most, $700 million in additional revenue each year — about one-to-three days of USPS operating costs.
The PRC said that revenue is “nowhere near enough” to make up for $25 billion in net losses over the past three years, and would “likely not be sufficient to resolve the Postal Service’s medium-term or long-term financial issues.”
USPS declined to raise mail prices in January 2025 or January 2026. The regulator said those decisions suggest that the revenue from these rate increases “is not essential to the Postal Service’s short-term financial stability.”
Last summer, the USPS Board of Governors urged its regulator not to put limits on its ability to set higher mail prices. Governor Ron Stroman, a former deputy postmaster general, said it “would be a mistake” for the commission to override the board’s pricing decisions.
Stroman said the USPS board is in the “best position to determine how to best utilize the pricing authority and make decisions about specific price increases for market-dominant products.”
“Based on the data I have reviewed, I have concluded that twice-a-year price increases have maximized the Postal Service’s revenue during the post-pandemic period of high inflation,” he said. “However, I can certainly envision future scenarios where we conclude that the factors we consider in exercising our business judgment weigh against a twice-a-year price increase.”
Governor Dan Tangherlini, a former head of the General Services Administration, agreed that USPS should “maintain authority over pricing.”
Ann Fisher, one of the PRC’s commissioners, dissented with the majority. She wrote that limiting higher mail prices “leaves only the Postal Service worse off.”
“While this order provides to mailers long-sought relief, it limits the Postal Service’s ability to respond to rising costs such as inflation, labor, delivery, network costs, etc.,” Fisher wrote.
USPS spokeswoman Marti Johnson said in a statement that the agency is “very disappointed” by the regulator’s decision.
“It is hard for the Postal Service to consider a holistic review of the rate-setting system to be one that begins with a modification that leaves only the Postal Service worse off,” Johnson said.
Mike Plunkett, a former USPS manager for pricing strategy and innovation and manager of retail alliances, now the president of PostCom, a national association of companies that rely on the mail to conduct business, said the mailing industry has repeatedly warned USPS that it “would not be able to price its way out of its predicament.”
“Prices have been going up faster than ever, at the same time that overall service quality has been reduced,” Plunkett said.
USPS set lower targets for on-time mail delivery in 2025. In 2021, it implemented slower delivery standards for nearly 40% of first-class mail. USPS saw persistent regional delays in mail delivery as a result of a major restructuring of its mail processing infrastructure. It’s also running trucks less often between its mail processing plants and post offices to transport mail.
Last month, USPS clarified that postmarks on mail and packages reflect when they arrive at processing facilities, not when they are dropped off in a mailbox or post office. The final rule is likely to affect some time-sensitive mail, including mail-in ballots.
In a recent press release, USPS touted improved delivery metrics during the holiday season. The agency said it delivered mail and packages within 2.5 days on average between mid-November and early January — an improvement from 2.8 days on average the previous year. It also saw a 23% reduction in calls to its customer help line and a 44% decrease in package-related customer service inquiries.
An industry report from March 2024 found that these twice-a-year price increases drove away more mail volume than USPS anticipated.
“Every year, I lose members. Every year, I have members that have to close facilities and lay people off. And if that’s being done, just so you can keep the Postal Service’s doors open for an extra couple of days, I don’t think that’s an appropriate tradeoff,” Plunkett said.
The commission wrote that it “strongly encourages the Postal Service to consider and analyze the effect of previous rate increases upon the general public, business mail users, and private delivery enterprises before proposing new rate increases.”
Kathy Siviter, executive director of Alliance of Nonprofit Mailers, said the twice-a-year price hikes were “driving mail volume out of the system at a faster rate” for nonprofits than the COVID-19 pandemic or the 2008 recession.
“As people leave the system, they find other ways to handle their communications. Some of those are not necessarily as effective, but particularly for nonprofits, it comes down to the cost,” Siviter said.
Postmaster General David Steiner told Reuters in an interview last month that USPS could run out of cash by early 2027. Siviter said Steiner repeated that warning during a meeting with industry members this week.
“I don’t know how many times he said it — ‘We’re running out of money in 14 months. We’re running out of money in 14 months,’” Siviter said. “They’ve done this before. We see it as a bit of a scare tactic. It’s never happened. They’ve been this close many times before, and something will happen. Either they’ll make some money somewhere, or Congress will step in.”
According to Siviter, Steiner told mailers that one of his top priorities is to convince Congress to raise its borrowing limit with the Treasury Department in order for the mail agency to proceed with its network modernization initiatives. USPS has currently maxed out its $15 billion borrowing limit with the Treasury.
In a bid to bring in added revenue, USPS is looking to open up its last-mile delivery network to more shippers.
USPS already has agreements with shipping giants like Amazon and UPS to get their packages to their final destination, but it’s giving other delivery companies an opportunity to strike similar deals. Last-mile delivery is the most expensive leg of deliveries, and USPS goes to more addresses than its private-sector competitors. USPS will accept bids from companies in late January or early February.
The agency plans to hold an invite-only symposium next week at the International Spy Museum — across the street from USPS headquarters —for shippers to learn more about how to place bids.
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© AP Photo/Susan Walsh