Cardano saw a huge 10,654% overnight increase in volume on derivatives platform Bitmex, turning attention to what’s next for Cardano price predictions.

Speculative demand for the altcoin has spiked sharply, with more than $40.04 million in ADA derivatives traded to start the weekend, according to Coinglass data.

The move closely follows a major TradFi milestone for Cardano, with ADA set to feature on leading derivatives exchange CME Group, pending regulatory approval.

Our Crypto product suite is growing with new Cardano, Chainlink and Stellar futures.

Available in both larger and micro sizes, these contracts will offer the capital efficiency and versatility to expand your strategy. https://t.co/kl3EMcEzFi pic.twitter.com/HUC6rUPSSP

— CME Group (@CMEGroup) January 15, 2026

This represents not only increased exposure, but mainstream acceptance with CME Group being the first traditional derivatives exchange outside of crypto-native platforms to offer ADA.

The futures volume surge stands out as leverage resets and capital rotates selectively across the market. Risk appetite appears to be clustering around ADA, reinforcing the case for bullish Cardano price predictions.

Cardano Price Prediction: TradFi Attention Could Fuel Bullish Move

Institution-grade open interest from TradFi markets could help reinforce bullish momentum and bring a year-long descending channel into focus – the setup traders could be betting on.

With the latest upwards push faltering without sustained backing, its lower boundary stands as a launchpad once again.

Momentum indicators remain well-positioned. While the RSI has fallen back below the 50 neutral line, it has yet to break the uptrend it has followed since November.

The MACD’s death cross below the signal line may prove brief, not a complete unwind of bullish momentum.

The historic $0.70 demand zone is the key level to watch for a confirmed breakout push. With it as support, attention turns to the patterns 260% upside targeting 2024 highs around $1.25.

And with potential mainstream adoption of ADA derivatives, strong inflows could reinforce a push towards the $2 milestone for a 725% gain.

Bitcoin Hyper: This Imminent Upgrade Could Turn Attention to Bitcoin

While capital rotation into rotating altcoins, Bitcoin shouldn’t be sidelined just yet, as its ecosystem finally tackles its biggest limitation: scalability.

Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is bridging Bitcoin’s security with Solana tech, introducing a Layer-2 network that unlocks faster, efficient use cases Bitcoin couldn’t support on its own.

It opens the door for Bitcoin to play a larger role in narratives like DeFi and real-world assets – where speed and efficiency matter most.

The project has already raised over $30 million in presale, and post-launch, even a small fraction of Bitcoin’s massive trading volume could send its valuation significantly higher.

Bitcoin Hyper is tackling the slow transactions, high fees, and limited programmability that have long capped Bitcoin’s potential – just as the market turns bullish.

Visit the Official Bitcoin Hyper Website Here

The post Cardano Price Prediction: Trading Volume Explodes 10,654% Overnight, Is a Violent ADA Move About to Hit? appeared first on Cryptonews.

Bitcoin pushed past $95,000 on Tuesday, drawing attention from traders and analysts who say real buying of the coin, rather than bets on derivatives, is driving the move.

According to figures from Coingecko, the cryptocurrency was trading at $95,250 at the time of publication, after a 4.50% gain over 24 hours. Reports have disclosed that $269 million in Bitcoin short positions were wiped out in that span, a wave of liquidations that helped add upward momentum.

Spot Buying Fuels The Move

Several market watchers pointed to spot purchases as the main force. Crypto analyst Will Clemente posted on X that the rally appears to be “led by spot buying.”

That matters because buying the actual asset signals direct demand for Bitcoin itself, not just betting via futures or options. Short sellers were hit hard; their positions were closed out as prices jumped, and that squeeze added fuel to the advance.

Seems like this rally on Bitcoin is led by spot buying and getting faded by perps as funding goes negative while open interest rises + most spot volume in days.

(disclosure currently long btc) pic.twitter.com/pL9C8GFJYR

— Will (@WClementeIII) January 13, 2026

Calls For $100k And The Odds

Some traders are now predicting a quick run to six figures, saying that it is quite clear Bitcoin could reach $100K in the coming weeks and that any dips should be bought.

Based on reports from Polymarket, the prediction markets place about 51% odds on Bitcoin reclaiming $100,000 by Feb. 1 and show a 23% chance of a $105,000 print. Bitcoin last fell below $100,000 on Nov. 13, leaving a resistance level that bulls want to clear.

History Gives A Mixed Signal

January’s record for Bitcoin has been modest on average, delivering roughly a 4% gain since 2013. February has tended to be stronger, with an average return of 13%.

These averages do not guarantee the path ahead, but they give traders a context for how the market has behaved in recent years. Market moves can be quick. They can also stall.

Macro Risks And Technical Levels

Traders were watching $90,000 as an important support level while Bitcoin cruised past $95k ahead of US inflation data that could shift bets about rate cuts.

Safe-haven demand has been in play as geopolitics and questions about central bank independence weigh on global markets. Price action is currently tight, with many saying the market sits inside a narrow band and will likely break out one way or the other.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other cryptocurrencies are rebounding. $94K has just been crossed again for $BTC, and there will likely be retail FOMO creeping in if crypto’s top asset begins teasing $100K in the next few days.

In the chart below, high spikes of:

#Lower or… pic.twitter.com/5pcwtB0mls

— Santiment (@santimentfeed) January 13, 2026

Retail FOMO Could Add Fuel

Meanwhile, crypto sentiment tracker Santiment warned that renewed teasing of $100K could pull retail traders back in, sparking fresh FOMO across the market.

If that happens, more buying from everyday investors could push prices higher quickly. But flows can reverse fast too, and large macro surprises or a loss of momentum would test the bulls.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

According to reports, global crypto exchange trading volume jumped to over $79 trillion in 2025, driven largely by futures and perpetual contracts. That surge pushed derivatives to claim most of the market’s activity, while spot trading grew at a much slower pace.

Spot Volume Climbs While Futures Explode

Spot trading finished the year near $18.6 trillion, an increase of roughly 9% versus the prior year. But futures and perpetuals were the real story: they totaled close to $62 trillion, making up about 77% of combined exchange volume. That heavy tilt toward derivatives shifted where liquidity and daily turnover were concentrated.

Exchanges At The Center Of Activity

Binance stood out as the top contributor to both segments. Reports show Binance handled roughly $25.4 trillion in Bitcoin perpetual futures alone — about 42% of the top 10 platforms’ Bitcoin perpetual volume — and continued to hold large stablecoin balances relative to peers. Other major venues such as OKX, Bybit and Bitget formed a secondary tier for futures trading.

2025 crypto exchange activity in review.

Spot volume reached $18.6T (+9% YoY) while perpetuals surged to $61.7T (+29%), with Binance dominating spot, BTC perps, liquidity, and reserves.

Growth is derivative-led, and market power continues to concentrate at the top. pic.twitter.com/Om8udJJ9Qv

— CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) January 12, 2026

Derivatives Data Variations

Not all trackers measure markets the same way. Some platforms reported even higher figures for derivatives in 2025 — CoinGlass, for example, tallied about $85.7 trillion in crypto derivatives volume for the year. Differences in counting methods, which products are included, and which venues are covered explain much of the gap between sources.

Why Futures Dominated Trading

Traders used futures to take positions, hedge exposures, and respond quickly to price moves. That activity raised daily turnover and boosted the headline totals. While spot trading reflects direct buying and selling of coins, futures multiply notional flow because a single contract can represent a much larger notional value than a spot trade.

The concentration of trading on a handful of platforms has drawn attention from watchdogs in recent years. Regulators have warned that heavy reliance on a small set of exchanges could pose risks if those venues suffer outages or enforcement actions. The data for 2025 renewed those concerns because a large share of the new volume was funneled through the biggest operators.

What This Means Going Forward

Based on reports, the derivatives market’s dominance could continue unless spot demand picks up substantially or regulation alters trading incentives. Institutional interest, products tied to regulated markets, and changes to stablecoin rules are all possible factors that could reshape volumes next year. Analysts caution that headline totals will keep varying with methodology and which datasets are used.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin Magazine

CFTC Launches Pilot Program Allowing Bitcoin To Be Used as Collateral In Derivatives Markets

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission announced the launch of a U.S. digital assets pilot program that will allow bitcoin, ethereum and the stablecoin USDC to be used as collateral in regulated derivatives markets, marking another major policy shift in how U.S. regulators approach tokenized assets.

The move includes new guidance for tokenized collateral, a limited no-action framework for futures commission merchants (FCMs), and the withdrawal of legacy restrictions that the agency said are no longer relevant following passage of the GENIUS Act.

Acting CFTC Chair Caroline Pham said the program is designed to expand the use of digital assets in regulated markets while maintaining oversight and customer protections.

“Americans deserve safe U.S. markets as an alternative to offshore platforms,” Pham said in a statement. “Today, I am launching a U.S. digital assets pilot program for tokenized collateral that establishes clear guardrails to protect customer assets and provides enhanced CFTC monitoring and reporting.”

Bitcoin and other crypto as a pilot

Under the pilot, FCMs will be temporarily allowed to accept a narrow set of digital assets like Bitcoin as customer margin, according to a CFTC announcement. 

During the first three months of participation, firms will be required to submit weekly reports to the CFTC detailing the total amount of digital assets held in customer accounts, broken out by asset and account class. 

Companies must also notify regulators of any material incident involving the use of digital collateral.

The agency said the reporting requirement is intended to give staff real-time insight into operational risks while allowing firms controlled access to tokenized collateral.

Last week, the CFTC allowed federally regulated spot crypto trading in the U.S. for the first time, with Bitnomial set to launch its exchange next week under CFTC oversight. 

Pham said CFTC-registered venues will list spot crypto products, enabling retail and institutional traders to access spot, futures, options, and perpetuals on a single regulated platform.

Alongside the pilot program, the CFTC’s Market Participants Division, Division of Market Oversight and Division of Clearing and Risk issued formal guidance on how tokenized assets should be evaluated within existing regulatory frameworks.

The guidance emphasizes that CFTC rules are “technology neutral” and that tokenized assets should be assessed individually under existing policies rather than treated as a separate asset class.

The framework applies to tokenized real-world assets such as U.S. Treasuries and money market funds. It outlines standards for legal enforceability and things like custody and control.

The agency also issued a no-action position for FCMs that accept non-securities digital assets as margin, including payment stablecoins. 

The relief allows firms to incorporate qualifying digital assets into customer accounts while clarifying how capital and segregation rules apply under the new regime.

Crypto industry applause

The CFTC formally withdrew Staff Advisory No. 20-34, which previously restricted how virtual currencies could be held in customer accounts. The advisory had been in place since 2020 and had limited the operational use of digital assets as collateral.

The agency said developments in digital markets and the enactment of the GENIUS Act made the advisory obsolete.

Crypto and fintech firms quickly welcomed the decision, saying the changes offer long-awaited regulatory certainty.

Coinbase Chief Legal Officer Paul Grewal said the move confirms the industry’s belief that stablecoins and digital assets can reduce risk and improve efficiency in financial markets, according to a CFTC announcement. 

Circle President Heath Tarbert also chimed in and said the changes would reduce settlement risk and friction in derivatives trading by enabling near real-time margin settlement.

Crypto.com CEO Kris Marszalek said the announcement would allow tokenized collateral to be used in U.S. markets for the first time at scale, adding that it would support 24/7 trading in regulated derivatives products.

This post CFTC Launches Pilot Program Allowing Bitcoin To Be Used as Collateral In Derivatives Markets first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.