XRP’s price pullback deepened this week, but a high-timeframe technical view keeps some traders hopeful. Based on reports from analyst Egrag Crypto, the monthly chart remains above the key 21-EMA, and that is being treated as the main guide for the coin’s long-term direction.

Monthly Chart Holds The Stronger Signal

According to Egrag’s multi-timeframe review, seven key charts were checked and six trade below the 21-day Exponential Moving Average. The weaker frames include the four-hour, one-day, three-day, five-day, one-week, and two-week charts.

XRP is trading at $2.18, up 8.5% over the last 24 hours, but shed a measly 0.8% on the weekly frame. That short-term fall explains the current mood among traders.

Big Upside Targets On The Table

Reports have disclosed that the analyst’s longer-term model keeps XRP inside a rising channel on the monthly chart.

The model points to a target band between $9 and $13, and the analyst gives this outcome a 55–65% probability within three to six months if the monthly candle holds above its support.

#XRP – The Chasm ( $13) – 7 Time Frames ( 1/8):

There is 1 Signal Matters Most. Right now, 6 time frames are bearish below the 21 EMA:

4H 1D 3D 5D 1W 2W But there’s 1 KING timeframe still bullish: 1M (Monthly) Above the 21 EMA

General Note: In TA,… pic.twitter.com/788Mk5u5Ng

— EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) December 1, 2025

From today’s price, reaching $9 would require roughly an over 4x rise, while $13 would mean close to 7-fold jump. Those are large moves and would likely need strong momentum to happen quickly.

Other Analysts Offer Lower Near-Term Estimates

Other analysts recently projected a $4 price in about four months or by the end of 2026, citing Ripple’s plan to launch RLUSD in Japan by Q1 2026 as one possible driver.

Based on reports, spot XRP ETFs have bought over $756 million worth of the token in the weeks after their launch, a flow that some see as support for future gains.

Escrow Release Draws Attention

Meanwhile, on-chain data shows Ripple’s escrow unlocked 1 billion XRP for December in two equal transactions of 500 million each.

The first transfer went to the Ripple (9) address on Tuesday. At the time of reporting, the Ripple (9) wallet held 500,000,204 XRP from that release.

One of the 500 million batches was valued at about $1.08 billion at the moment it moved. These monthly unlocks are routine, but they are watched closely by markets because of the extra supply that can enter circulation.

What Traders Should Watch Next

Short-term charts remain under pressure, and momentum indicators on lower timeframes are weak. Yet higher-timeframe momentum can shift quickly when buyers step in, and a single monthly close below or above the 21-EMA would change how analysts read the situation.

Based on reports, holders who follow the monthly structure are being urged to stay patient, while others warn that short-term selling could extend before any sustained recovery.

Featured image from Gemini, chart from TradingView

Following the launch of the historic XRP Spot ETFs, the community has been buzzing with excitement, triggering notable success for the funds over the next few days. As the exchange funds continue to attract significant inflows, a crypto expert has outlined the development that is unfolding behind the initiative.

What’s Happening Behind The XRP Spot ETFs

The Spot XRP ETFs are seeing robust growth, but what is happening behind the scenes is quite interesting and demands attention. Pumpius, a crypto expert and investor, has uncovered a subtle play among institutions that is not being shared with the general crowd.

According to the expert, ETF fund managers are legally forbidden from purchasing XRP directly from payment firm Ripple or escrow. This is due to the court’s injunction that every single ETF must acquire the altcoin on the open market only, breaking the concept of shortcuts, backdoor deals, and wholesale buying.

Pumpius has declared this underlying trend at the institutional level to be the most bullish step for the altcoin. His reason hinges on the fact that Ripple will only release what is absolutely necessary from the monthly escrow holdings. 

Furthermore, the payment firm will avoid causing taxable events this way by keeping the escrow untouched. Such a move would imply that Ripple is drip-feeding just enough liquidity to avoid dislocation while ETFs are actively absorbing circulating supply.

The expert considers this pattern the calm before a structural supply shock, and not a sign of stagnation. When the shift happens, it will be seen as a balancing act, a pressure build-up, and a loading phase.

In the meantime, fund managers are already in discussion with Ripple, which means timing coordination is currently ongoing. At the same time, the expert has highlighted that supply dynamics are now being designed in real time.

Once the early balance period concludes and ETF demand continues to rise while escrow is strictly regulated, XRP will not move at a slow pace. Instead, the expert predicts that the altcoin will experience substantial movement, breaking upside resistance levels with violence.

A High Demand For The Exchange Funds

Spot XRP ETFs have become a serious mode of investment in the landscape since their launch. Franklin Templeton recently stunned the market by introducing the Franklin XRP ETF on NYSE Arca and referring to the token as “fundamental to the global settlement system.”

Other major firms such as Bitwise, Grayscale, and Canary Capital have all rolled out their own ETFs, which attracted millions in inflows from their first day. With the robust adoption and interest in the funds, the message is clear that the demand for regulated XRP exposure is bigger than anticipated.

Despite the significant demand, BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, has yet to jump into the funds, stating that customer demand is still primarily centered on Bitcoin and Ethereum for now. Furthermore, they believe that regulatory clarity is still not entirely certain despite repeated victories over the US SEC.

However, if the company eventually launches its own fund, it would spur billions of capital and new institutional money. Considering its status in the finance sector, “a BlackRock ETF would be the ultimate stamp of approval.”