Ethereum has retraced from the $3,240 level and is now testing the $3,150 zone as support, a key area that traders are closely watching. Bulls are attempting to defend this level after a modest rebound, but uncertainty remains high as the market tries to establish direction following weeks of volatility and aggressive selling pressure. While some analysts view this consolidation as the early stages of a recovery, others warn that ETH may still be vulnerable to deeper pullbacks if momentum fails to strengthen.

According to top analyst Darkfost, Ethereum’s recent price action is being shaped by a notable shift in market structure. Over the past few days, spot volumes have continued to decline, even as the price attempted a small recovery. This weakening in spot activity reduces the impact of actual buying and selling on the underlying asset, making futures markets increasingly influential in dictating short-term price direction.

As Darkfost explains, when spot volume thins out, futures often become the dominant driver of volatility. This dynamic can accelerate both upside and downside moves, depending on traders’ positioning. With Ethereum now sitting at a critical support level, the market awaits clearer signals to determine whether this rebound can evolve into a sustained recovery or merely represents a temporary pause in the downtrend.

Futures-Driven Momentum Raises the Stakes for Ethereum

Darkfost expands on this dynamic by noting that when spot volumes weaken to the extent seen over the past few days, the risk of heightened volatility increases sharply. Thin spot liquidity means fewer buy and sell orders are available to absorb sudden moves, allowing futures-driven momentum to exert an outsized influence on price. This environment often produces sharper swings and rapid directional shifts, as leveraged traders and algorithmic strategies dominate short-term market behavior.

For now, the futures market is tilting upward, providing a constructive force that is helping Ethereum hold above the $3,150 support zone. Darkfost emphasizes that this upward pressure from futures could work in the bulls’ favor, as volatility—if it expands to the upside—may push the spot market to follow the same trajectory.

In other words, a sustained futures-led rebound could act as the spark needed for a broader recovery, especially if spot buyers gain confidence and begin re-entering the market.

However, this setup cuts both ways. Without stronger spot participation, any reversal in futures positioning could quickly translate into accelerated downside pressure. For now, Ethereum sits in a delicate phase where volatility is both a potential catalyst and a potential threat, making the next few sessions crucial for determining the market’s short-term direction.

ETH Weekly Structure Holds Key Support

Ethereum’s weekly chart shows a market attempting to stabilize after a steep downturn from the $4,500 region. ETH has rebounded toward $3,140, reclaiming its 100-week moving average (green line) — a historically important support level that often defines the boundary between mid-term bullish and bearish phases. This bounce signals renewed demand at a critical zone, especially after the strong wick rejection seen near $2,700, where buyers stepped in aggressively.

However, Ethereum still faces meaningful resistance overhead. The 50-week moving average (blue line), now hovering near $3,400–$3,500, has flipped into resistance and remains the next major hurdle for bulls. A successful reclaim of this zone would materially improve ETH’s technical structure and open the door to a challenge of higher levels. Until then, the weekly trend remains neutral to slightly bearish.

Volume offers an encouraging signal: the recent rebound occurred with a noticeable uptick in buying activity compared to prior weeks, suggesting strengthened interest at these lower levels. Yet the broader structure shows a pattern of lower highs since August, meaning ETH must demonstrate follow-through to avoid slipping back into deeper consolidation.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

Ethereum is holding firmly above the $3,150 level as the market shifts into a more bullish phase after enduring weeks of heavy selling pressure and fear-driven liquidation. The recovery has sparked debate among analysts: some view the bounce as nothing more than a relief rally within a broader bearish trend, while others believe Ethereum may be building the foundation for a more sustained rebound.

A new CryptoQuant report offers one of the clearest insights. According to Ethereum data on Binance, the past several weeks have shown heightened volatility in the Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) — a metric that tracks real-time buying and selling pressure. This volatility reflects sharp, rapid shifts in trader behavior as the market attempts to stabilize.

Although Ethereum remains in a downtrend from its August peak, recent CVD spikes point to the return of notable buying activity. However, the report emphasizes that these bursts of demand are sporadic and lack the sustained strength needed to confirm a full bullish reversal.

CVD Volatility Highlights Ongoing Battle Between Buyers and Sellers

According to the Arab Chain report, Ethereum’s CVD recently turned positive, coinciding with the price’s attempt to stabilize above the $3,100 level. This shift indicates fresh liquidity entering the market through short-term buy orders, suggesting that some traders are stepping in to accumulate during dips.

However, the sudden spikes and rapid pullbacks within the CVD reveal that the market remains locked in a strong tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. This volatility underscores the fact that Ethereum has not yet reached either temporal stability or a clear structural trend.

The report also highlights the importance of the 30-day correlation between price and CVD, which has held steady at around 0.6 despite lower price levels. This relatively high reading shows that liquidity flows continue to influence Ethereum’s price direction in a meaningful and consistent way. Even though buying pressure appears irregular, its recurring impact on price suggests that traders are still actively responding to market conditions.

Overall, this pattern reflects investors attempting to capitalize on volatility, especially as anticipation grows around potential liquidity inflows tied to upcoming network upgrades. Yet, Arab Chain stresses that without a more sustained accumulation phase and reduced short-term selling, Ethereum may struggle to generate a decisive upward movement.

Ethereum Attempts a Recovery but Faces Key Resistance

Ethereum’s latest price action shows a cautious recovery as ETH climbs back above the $3,150 level, but the chart reveals that the broader structure remains fragile. After a steep decline from the October highs near $4,500, ETH found support slightly above $2,700, where buyers stepped back in with increased volume—visible in the recent surge of green candles at the bottom of the chart. This reaction suggests renewed interest at lower levels, but not yet a decisive shift in trend.

The price is now pressing against the 100-day SMA (red line), a level that previously acted as support and has now flipped into resistance. Reclaiming this line would be an important step toward restoring bullish momentum. Above it, ETH faces another barrier at the 50-day SMA (blue line), which continues to slope downward, reflecting ongoing medium-term selling pressure.

Despite the rebound, volume remains inconsistent, indicating hesitation among market participants. ETH will need stronger follow-through buying to challenge the next resistance zone around $3,300–$3,350, a region aligned with previous breakdown levels.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

Ethereum is demonstrating notable relative strength after reclaiming the $3,150 level and attempting to push higher, offering a refreshing shift in sentiment following weeks of intense selling pressure, fear, and market-wide uncertainty. As the broader crypto landscape begins to stabilize, ETH stands out as one of the assets showing early signs of recovery, drawing renewed attention from traders and long-term investors alike.

A key factor supporting this shift is the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) reading for Ethereum on Binance, which is currently sitting around 0.22 while price trades near $3,100.

This level reflects a delicate equilibrium between fear and optimism, indicating that a significant portion of ETH holders remain in moderate profit. Importantly, NUPL has not yet moved into the “greed” zone typically seen in the late stages of a bullish cycle, suggesting that the market is far from overheated.

Instead, Ethereum appears to be transitioning into a more neutral, constructive phase where investors are cautiously optimistic but not excessively euphoric. This balance often forms the foundation for a healthier recovery, especially after a deep correction. If momentum continues building and NUPL remains stable or trends higher, ETH could be positioning itself for a stronger upside move in the coming weeks.

NUPL Signals a Transitional Market Phase

Arab Chain notes that Ethereum’s NUPL index experienced a significant rise between June and August, reaching levels far higher than today and reflecting strong profitability across the network during mid-2025. At that time, investor sentiment leaned toward optimism, supported by rising prices and improving macro conditions.

However, as Ethereum’s price began to decline steadily from October onward, unrealized profits started to shrink. This pushed NUPL down toward more neutral territory, signaling a shift in sentiment from elevated optimism to a more grounded, cautious outlook.

Crucially, NUPL has not fallen into negative territory, meaning the average ETH holder has not transitioned into unrealized losses. This is an important sign of underlying market strength. When investors remain in profit, they tend to be less motivated to sell aggressively at lower prices, reducing the risk of panic-driven capitulation and helping stabilize price action during corrections.

Taken together, these signals indicate that Ethereum is currently in a transitional phase. The market is neither euphoric nor fearful—rather, it is waiting for a decisive catalyst to define the next trend. As long as NUPL stays above 0.20, Ethereum retains a meaningful level of investor confidence, increasing the likelihood of a rebound if liquidity strengthens or positive fundamental developments emerge.

ETH Rebounds Strongly on the Weekly Chart

Ethereum’s weekly chart shows a powerful rebound as price surges back above the $3,150–$3,200 region, reclaiming a critical support band that had turned into resistance during the November sell-off. The long lower wick from last week’s candle confirms strong buy-side interest around the $2,700–$2,800 zone, an area that has historically acted as a major demand region during multi-month corrections.

ETH has now reclaimed the 100-week SMA, a key trend indicator currently positioned near $2,900, signaling renewed structural stability. The 200-week SMA, sitting comfortably lower, continues to reinforce the long-term uptrend. However, the 50-week SMA, which has flattened and now looms around the $3,350–$3,400 level, represents the next significant resistance level. ETH will need a decisive weekly close above this moving average to confirm a true shift back into bullish momentum.

Volume on the rebound is notably stronger than in previous consolidation phases, suggesting increased participation and growing confidence among market participants. However, ETH is not yet in the clear. The series of lower highs since the September peak forms a descending structure that must be broken for a sustained uptrend to resume.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

Ethereum is showing notable relative strength as it reclaims the $3,150 level and attempts to push higher, signaling early signs of recovery after weeks dominated by heavy selling pressure, fear, and uncertainty. The broader market rebound has helped restore confidence, but ETH’s ability to outperform key altcoins highlights growing demand and improved sentiment around the asset.

Adding to the renewed optimism, fresh on-chain data from Lookonchain reveals a significant move from one of the market’s most recognized whales. During the rebound, whale 0xdECF deposited another 5,000 ETH—worth approximately $15.52 million—into Binance.

This wallet has become well-known for sending large batches of ETH to exchanges throughout the recent downturn, often coinciding with moments of heightened volatility and capitulation.

Its latest deposit suggests that the whale remains highly active and responsive to market conditions. While such movements can sometimes introduce uncertainty, they also highlight increasing liquidity and engagement from major holders. With price reclaiming key levels and whales repositioning, Ethereum enters a critical phase where sustained strength could confirm a broader shift in market structure.

Ethereum Whale Distribution Highlights Market Caution

According to Lookonchain, whale 0xdECF has sold 25,603 ETH—valued at approximately $85.44 million—across Binance and Galaxy Digital since October 28. Despite this substantial distribution, the wallet still holds 5,000 ETH (around $15.52 million), suggesting that the whale has not fully exited its position but has significantly reduced exposure during the recent market decline.

This pattern of behavior provides important insight into sentiment among large holders: while they are not abandoning Ethereum entirely, they are actively managing risk and responding to volatility more aggressively than usual.

Such persistent selling pressure from a large wallet often acts as a drag on price during periods of weakness, especially when market liquidity is thin. However, the fact that the whale continues to retain a meaningful position indicates an expectation of potential recovery—or at least a desire to remain strategically exposed to future upside.

Ethereum now finds itself in a critical phase. The asset has reclaimed key levels, but its mid-term structure remains highly sensitive to macro conditions and whale behavior. If selling from major holders slows and accumulation begins to outpace distribution, the recent rebound could solidify into a sustained trend. Otherwise, renewed sell flows could place Ethereum at risk of revisiting lower support zones.

ETH Reclaims Short-Term Momentum but Faces Heavy Resistance

Ethereum’s daily chart shows a clear improvement in momentum after reclaiming the $3,150–$3,200 region, but the broader structure remains fragile. The bounce from the $2,750–$2,850 support zone marked a decisive shift in buyer behavior, with strong lower wicks indicating aggressive demand. This rebound has pushed ETH back above key short-term levels, yet the asset still faces a challenging path forward.

Price is now approaching the 50-day SMA, currently sloping downward just above $3,250, which now acts as immediate resistance. This moving average has capped every rally since late October and remains the first major barrier for bulls to reclaim. Beyond it, the 100-day SMA around $3,450 and the 200-day SMA near $3,600 form a tight cluster of overhead resistance that defines the medium-term downtrend.

Volume on the recent bounce is stronger than previous attempts, signaling that buyers are showing more conviction compared to the mid-November attempts to recover. However, the overall trend still leans bearish until ETH can break above the 50-day SMA and begin closing daily candles over $3,300.

Ethereum sits in a critical inflection zone: holding above $3,100 strengthens the case for continued recovery, while rejection from the $3,250–$3,300 band could trigger another retest of the $2,800 region. The next few sessions will determine whether this rebound evolves into a deeper trend reversal.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

Ethereum has fallen below the $2,800 mark after a sharp and sudden decline, deepening panic across the market and reinforcing the sense that bulls have lost control. The recent drop has pushed investors into defensive mode, with some analysts now openly discussing the possibility of a broader bear market emerging. Selling pressure has intensified across spot and derivatives markets, and volatility continues to rise as traders struggle to identify a reliable support zone.

A new CryptoQuant report by Darkfost highlights one of the most alarming developments: Ethereum’s open interest on Binance has been steadily collapsing for more than three months. After reaching an all-time high of $12.6 billion on August 22, open interest has now been cut in half. Nearly $6.4 billion in derivative positions have evaporated, bringing ETH’s open interest down to $6.2 billion, a steep 51% decline.

While this appears to be an extraordinary contraction, Darkfost notes that open interest has only just slipped below the previous all-time high of $7.7 billion. This underscores how speculative and overstretched the 2025 derivatives market had become — and suggests that Ethereum may be undergoing a much deeper structural reset than most expected.

Speculation Unwinds Across Exchanges as Ethereum Enters Deep Reset Phase

Darkfost emphasizes that 2025 has been the most speculative phase in Ethereum’s history, fueled by aggressive leverage, rapid inflows, and a market structure that proved far less solid — and far less sustainable — than it appeared during the rally. The collapse in open interest on Binance is only part of the story.

The same pattern is unfolding across major derivatives platforms, revealing a broader structural unwind rather than an exchange-specific phenomenon.

On Gate.io, ETH open interest has fallen from $5.2 billion to $3.5 billion. On Bybit, the drop is even more severe, plunging from $6.1 billion to $2.3 billion. This synchronized contraction shows how aggressively speculative positions have been flushed out. Meanwhile, the ongoing correction has dragged Ethereum’s price from $4,830 to $2,800, marking a steep 43% decline from the highs.

This widespread reduction in leverage suggests the market is undergoing a deeper reset than typical corrections. Investors are not rushing to re-enter positions, especially as liquidations continue to stack up across exchanges.

While shrinking open interest weighs on short-term momentum and sentiment, Darkfost notes that such aggressive deleveraging may ultimately help rebuild a healthier market foundation — one capable of supporting a durable bottom for ETH.

ETH Loses Key Trend Support as 3-Day Structure Turns Fully Bearish

Ethereum’s 3-day chart shows a decisive breakdown in structure, with price now firmly below the 50 SMA, 100 SMA, and 200 SMA for the first time since late 2024. The rejection from the $3,600–$3,800 region triggered a strong impulse to the downside, sending ETH directly through all major moving averages and confirming a shift toward a higher-timeframe downtrend. The current trading zone around $2,800 reflects a critical test of former support, but momentum remains weak.

The 50 SMA has now crossed below the 100 SMA, while both are beginning to converge downward toward the 200 SMA — a configuration that typically precedes sustained corrections. Volume has increased on red candles, showing that sellers remain dominant, and there is little evidence of aggressive dip-buying. The most recent candle wick toward $2,700 highlights vulnerability rather than strength, suggesting buyers are hesitant to defend this level with conviction.

ETH is also forming a series of lower highs and lower lows, further confirming bearish market structure. If $2,750 breaks cleanly, the next significant liquidity zones sit near $2,550 and $2,300, where prior consolidations developed earlier in the cycle.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

Ethereum lost the critical $3,000 level on Sunday, sliding toward $2,800 and triggering a new wave of fear across the market. The drop highlights a deepening corrective phase that has pushed short-term investors into heavy unrealized losses, prompting many to reassess their risk exposure.

Adding to the uncertainty, fresh on-chain data has revealed renewed distribution from major holders. According to data from Arkham, shared by Lookonchain, the well-known whale 0xdECF deposited another 5,000 ETH—roughly $15.05 million—into Binance.

This move expands a pattern of consistent selling pressure from large wallets, often seen during heightened market stress. While one whale does not define the broader trend, these deposits usually reinforce bearish sentiment among traders who monitor exchange inflows as a proxy for potential sell-side liquidity.

Whale Distribution Deepens Amid Broader Market Anxiety

Since October 28, the same whale wallet has accelerated its selling activity, unloading 25,603 ETH—approximately $85.44 million—across Binance and Galaxy Digital. Despite this aggressive distribution, the wallet still holds 10,000 ETH valued at roughly $30.34 million, leaving open the possibility of continued sell pressure if market conditions weaken further. Large-scale movements like these often signal a shift in sentiment from sophisticated holders who tend to anticipate volatility earlier than the broader market.

This selling spree comes at a moment when confidence is already fragile. The recent Tether FUD, fueled by speculation around reserve transparency and potential regulatory scrutiny, has added stress to liquidity conditions.

Meanwhile, renewed headlines about a supposed China Bitcoin ban have resurfaced on social media, amplifying fear across both retail traders and short-term investors. Although neither narrative reflects new fundamental risks, emotional markets often react sharply to sensational news during corrective phases.

Together, these factors create a backdrop where whale distributions gain outsized influence. If the remaining 10,000 ETH enters exchanges, it could deepen short-term downside pressure. Conversely, a pause in selling may suggest that the whale views current levels as near-capitulation territory, offering a potential floor for stabilization.

Ethereum Price Tests Support as Downtrend Remains Intact

Ethereum’s 4-hour chart shows a market still struggling to regain momentum after losing the $3,000 handle. The broader structure remains decisively bearish, with price trading below the 50 SMA, 100 SMA, and 200 SMA—a clear indication that sellers continue to control the trend. Each attempt to recover above the moving averages has been rejected, reinforcing the downtrend that began in late October and has continued through November.

The recent bounce from the $2,750–$2,800 support zone shows that buyers are defending this level, but the reaction lacks conviction. Volume remains muted, and the latest attempt to reclaim $3,000 quickly failed, forming another lower high. This signals hesitation and suggests that bulls are not yet strong enough to shift market structure.

The compression seen toward the end of the chart formed a small symmetrical triangle, but the breakdown that followed confirms that sellers still dominate short-term momentum. As long as ETH remains below the 200 EMA—now near $3,350—the macro trend favors continuation to the downside.

If $2,800 breaks cleanly, the next liquidity pockets sit around $2,600 and $2,450, levels that could attract stronger buyer interest. For now, Ethereum must reclaim $3,000 with sustained volume to neutralize bearish pressure.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

Ethereum is trading above $3,050 after enduring weeks of intense selling pressure and a deep capitulation phase among short-term holders. While fear continues to dominate sentiment, new data suggests that market participation has remained surprisingly strong throughout the year. According to a CryptoQuant report by Arab Chain, Ethereum’s real-time trading volume across all major platforms highlights a pivotal period in its 2025 trajectory.

Throughout the year, ETH’s monthly trading activity fluctuated widely. Volume initially dipped into the $280–$380 billion range during the market’s early-year slowdown. However, a major resurgence followed mid-year, driven by heightened volatility, renewed institutional activity, and broader macro shifts. This surge pushed Ethereum’s total monthly trading volume to a cycle peak of over $599 billion in August—one of the strongest liquidity expansions in recent years.

Although activity cooled afterward, the market remained far from inactive. By the end of November, total trading volume still hovered around $375 billion, underscoring persistent engagement from both retail and institutional participants despite bearish price action.

Institutional Activity and Exchange Liquidity Strengthen Ethereum’s Market Structure

Arab Chain explains that the sharp rise in Ethereum’s trading volume reflects significantly improved market liquidity and strong trader engagement amid rapid price swings throughout 2025.

Volatility has been a defining feature of the year, and macroeconomic developments—from shifting futures positioning to broader risk sentiment—have amplified trading behavior. Large traders, in particular, have played an increasingly influential role, responding to futures market dynamics and macro shifts with high-volume transactions that fueled liquidity spikes.

Within this environment, Binance has remained the central hub for Ethereum trading. Data shows that ETH spot volume on Binance alone reached around $198 billion in November, underscoring the exchange’s unmatched influence over real-time liquidity flows and short-term price discovery.

Both institutional and retail traders continue to rely heavily on Binance’s depth, efficiency, and tight spreads, reinforcing its role as the dominant marketplace for major crypto assets.

Meanwhile, Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have provided a parallel channel for institutional involvement. ETF trading volume climbed to nearly $35 billion in November, demonstrating substantial interest from traditional investors seeking regulated exposure to ETH.

This structured liquidity has added a stabilizing layer to the ecosystem, further strengthening Ethereum’s overall market profile during a period of heightened uncertainty.

Testing Support After a Deep Multi-Week Correction

Ethereum is attempting to stabilize above the $3,000 level after a sharp multi-week decline that pushed the asset to its lowest point since early 2025. The weekly chart shows that ETH has bounced from a key confluence zone near the 200-week moving average, a historically important region where long-term investors often step in. This rebound suggests that buyers are defending structural support, but momentum remains fragile.

The chart reveals a clear breakdown from the mid-2025 uptrend, with price slipping below the 50-week and 100-week moving averages. These moving averages have now turned into overhead resistance, reflecting a shift in market sentiment. For ETH to regain bullish traction, reclaiming these moving averages will be crucial.

Despite the current bounce, the broader structure shows lower highs forming since the September peak, keeping Ethereum in a vulnerable position. Bulls must protect the $3,000 region and push toward a higher low to avoid a deeper retracement. The coming weeks will determine whether this is a temporary relief rally or the beginning of a larger recovery trend.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

Ethereum has reclaimed the $3,000 level after weeks of heavy selling pressure, yet the recovery remains fragile as momentum continues to fade. The market is still dominated by fear, and confidence among retail traders has weakened significantly.

Analysts warn that bulls are losing control of the trend, and some are beginning to call for the early stages of a potential bear market. With Ethereum trading nearly 40% below its August all-time high, every move upward is being met with hesitation, and the broader market environment has yet to stabilize.

Despite this uncertainty, large players continue to accumulate ETH, offering a contrasting signal to the prevailing bearish sentiment. According to new data from Lookonchain, Bitmine has been consistently buying Ethereum during this downturn, showing no signs of slowing its accumulation strategy.

This persistent interest from large holders suggests that institutional and high-net-worth buyers may still see long-term value at current levels, even as short-term traders remain cautious.

Bitmine Deepens Accumulation as Ethereum Struggles for Momentum

Lookonchain reports that Bitmine has continued its aggressive accumulation strategy, purchasing another 14,618 ETH—worth roughly $44.34 million—a few hours ago. This new acquisition further strengthens Bitmine’s already massive Ethereum position, which now totals 3.436 million ETH. At current prices, their holdings are valued at approximately $10.39 billion, underscoring their long-term conviction despite the ongoing market turbulence.

This level of accumulation from a major player stands in sharp contrast to the broader sentiment across the market, where uncertainty and fear persist. Retail investors remain cautious, and many analysts argue that Ethereum’s failure to reclaim momentum above $3,000 signals a weakening trend.

However, Bitmine’s continued purchases suggest a fundamentally different outlook—one rooted in long-term valuation rather than short-term volatility.

Large, disciplined buyers often accumulate in periods of market weakness, viewing discounted prices as strategic entry points. Bitmine’s behavior mirrors this pattern and could indicate expectations of higher prices in the months ahead.

Still, for Ethereum to benefit from this institutional confidence, it must stabilize and build a stronger support base. The coming weeks will reveal whether this sustained whale demand will outweigh broader selling pressure and help ETH break out of its current downtrend.

ETH Attempts Recovery but Faces Strong Resistance

Ethereum is attempting to recover after weeks of sustained selling pressure, reclaiming the $3,000 level but still struggling to build meaningful momentum. The chart shows ETH bouncing from the recent low near the mid-$2,600s, where a cluster of demand emerged and halted the sharp decline.

However, despite this rebound, Ethereum remains below all three major moving averages—the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day—which now act as layered resistance zones.

The 50-day SMA is trending downward and has already crossed below the 100-day SMA, signaling a weakening market structure. Meanwhile, the 200-day SMA sits slightly above current prices, reinforcing the idea that ETH is still in a vulnerable position. Price action remains choppy, with lower highs forming consistently since the peak in early October, reflecting persistent bearish control.

Volume patterns also confirm this cautionary picture. While the recent bounce came with a modest increase in buying activity, it is still far weaker than the selling volume observed during the November capitulation. For a meaningful trend reversal, ETH must break above the $3,300–$3,400 region, reclaim its moving averages, and establish a higher low.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com