Cardano’s ADA token has returned to a familiar but uncomfortable zone. After months of lower highs and failed recovery attempts, the price has slid back toward long-term support levels that have defined its structure for more than two years.

The move comes amid a broader market pullback, as risk appetite weakens across equities and crypto, but ADA’s decline is also being shaped by internal technical signals that traders are finding hard to ignore.

ADA currently trades near $0.38–$0.39, down approximately 5.57% over the past 24 hours. That drop places the token close to a multi-year ascending support trend line that has held for nearly 900 days.

Derivatives and Positioning Point to Caution

Market data indicate that traders are stepping back rather than leaning into the decline. Futures open interest in ADA has decreased by approximately 11% to around $670 million, indicating that positions are being closed rather than expanded.

Funding rates have also softened, with more than 55% of tracked positions now skewed to the short side. Together, these metrics point to reduced confidence in a near-term rebound and a market that is positioning defensively.

This caution is not isolated to Cardano. Altcoins across the board have come under pressure as investors adopt a risk-off stance ahead of key U.S. macroeconomic data, including inflation and labor reports, and as concerns surrounding the AI sector spill over into correlated assets like cryptocurrency.

Technical Structure Near a Breaking Point

On the charts, ADA’s structure remains fragile. The token recently lost the $0.53 horizontal support, confirming a bearish shift on higher timeframes.

Momentum indicators reflect that change. The RSI is below 50, and the MACD remains in a negative position. Recent price action looks corrective rather than impulsive, suggesting the latest bounce may already have run its course.

ADA is still hovering near its long-term diagonal support, but a clean breakdown would likely alter the outlook materially. Some analysts warn that, if this trend line fails, the price could retrace much deeper, potentially toward levels last seen during the previous bear market.

Despite the weak near-term picture, longer-term projections remain divided. One technical analyst has argued that ADA’s current consolidation resembles a prolonged corrective phase similar to the setup seen before its 2020 breakout, outlining upside targets ranging from the $5 area to above $10 in a full bull scenario.

However, those views hinge on the market first stabilizing and reclaiming key resistance zones. For now, ADA’s focus is simpler. The token is at a critical phase, with long-term support under pressure and sentiment cautious. Whether this level marks a base or a breakdown will likely shape Cardano’s trajectory into 2026.

Cover image from ChatGPT, ADAUSD chart from Tradingview

Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson wants crypto to stop acting like it’s permanently stuck in 2021 brain.

In a Dec. 15 livestream titled “Some End of Year Thoughts,” the IOG CEO delivered a blunt year-end diagnosis of a market that, in his telling, lost its retail engine, let politics turn into a sideshow, and drifted back into the easiest (and laziest) narrative in the business: find the next 10x, then dump it on someone else.

“This has been a really [expletive] up year for our industry as a whole,” Hoskinson said from Colorado, describing 2025 as “a donkey of a year” — “an old donkey with a gas problem.”

Cardano’s Hoskinson Warns Of Retail Exodus

His first big complaint was structural, not emotional. The Cardano founder argued that institutional capital did arrive, but much of it got “locked into the Bitcoin layer,” and didn’t rotate into altcoins the way prior cycles did. “So we lost our trickle down effect that we enjoyed in 2021 and in 2017,” he said, framing it as a market-mechanics issue as much as a sentiment one.

Then he pivoted to politics. Hoskinson described a messy set of expectations heading into 2025 — hopes of a more constructive US regulatory posture, then disappointment as crypto became entangled in headline-grabbing memes and what he characterized as erratic signaling. He pointed to the launch of TRUMP coin at the inauguration (as he recounted it), followed by MELANIA, calling them “cash grab situations” that left the broader industry wearing the reputational fallout while still chasing regulatory relief.

The deeper problem, though, was retail. The Cardano founder argued the industry never rebuilt trust after the 2022 wipeout, and that 2025 didn’t offer a compelling reason for everyday participants to come back beyond speculative churn. “Retail showed up in 2021… and then they got screwed again and again and again,” he said. “And now you want them to come back so you can do it again. Will they? No.”

That sets up his core pitch for 2026: a reset framed as a return to “first principles,” with less reliance on governments, celebrity catalysts, or “the cavalry.” His language wasn’t subtle. “No government is coming to save us. No large company is coming to save us. No large investor is coming to save us,” he said. “We are on the island.”

He also tied that reset to a broader, darker worldview — AI, robotics, and a society he worries will drift into a “dystopian hellscape” without credible systems for agency, ownership, and verification. Whether you buy that framing or not, it’s clearly the rhetorical engine he wants crypto to run on: less number-go-up, more “what are we actually building, and who does it help?”

Hoskinson didn’t completely let his own camp off the hook, either. He acknowledged missed predictions — including his past expectation that bitcoin would reach $250,000 in 2025 — and the ongoing criticism he gets for timelines.

“I honestly believed [Bitcoin] would be back in December of 2024. Because I believed that Trump would be good for crypto. I was wrong. I believed it and I was wrong. I’ll admit that. But I do believe in 2026 there’s a path for it to get there. And I do believe we as an industry will pivot and return to retail and rebuild those relationships and get it done. It’ll be a difficult road, but I see a path to make that happen. Leios will ship. We know how to do it. We wrote all the code down. We got it done,” Hoskinson said.

Some End of Year Thoughts https://t.co/oFWWeKPmRU

— Charles Hoskinson (@IOHK_Charles) December 15, 2025

Towards the end, he tried to anchor the “reset” in concrete ecosystem moments, pointing to Midnight’s launch mechanics as an example of retail-first distribution and highlighting heavy trading activity around the token. “The bullshit’s over,” he said. “We’re back to work… in 2026 it’s a return to first principles.”

At press time, Cardano traded at $0.3843.

Cardano (ADA) is getting the “2020 blastoff” treatment again — at least if you ask Quantum Ascend, a technical analyst on X who says the chart is starting to rhyme with the setup that preceded ADA’s last major run.

In a Dec. 13 video shared on X, Quantum Ascend (@quantum_ascend) told followers he’s been working through a longer-term weekly count and thinks the market may be grinding toward the end of a drawn-out corrective structure. The punchline: a “conservative” target zone around $4.88–$5.50, and a “primary” bull-run target of $10.40.

“Cardano Mirroring 2020 Blastoff Moment,” his post read, before laying out the two tiers: “Conservative: $4.88-$5.50” and “Primary: $10.40.”

The Framework Behind The Cardano Price Prediction

The framework he’s leaning on isn’t a clean five-wave impulse, he said. Instead, he framed it as something slower and messier — “more of like a large time-based macro correction here on the D-wave,” he said, describing what he believes is a triangle structure developing on the weekly chart.

“We’re creating a triangle structure,” he said. “So I am going to be looking for the E-wave. That’s what ends up coming next.”

A big part of the argument is confluence. Quantum Ascend walked through multiple measurements and trendlines, pointing to price zones where different tools cluster. One reference point was a prior A-to-B drawdown range that, in his view, still hasn’t been fully “closed out,” with a key level “up there at the $5.50 mark.”

Then he zoomed out to the bigger structure, highlighting how an upper trendline from a C-to-D drawdown “converges with the 3.618 [Fibonacci extension] up here,” which he suggested adds weight to the $10 area. “So some confluence for that $10 area,” he said, pointing at the chart level he called out around $10.62.

He also reached for a relative-performance comparison — not to Ethereum itself, but to Ethereum Classic. “I have another video from the past that compares Ethereum Classic to ADA,” he said. “And if it ends up doing a similar move to Ethereum Classic, that also puts us up into the $10 range.”

Still, the near-term “safe” target he kept circling back to was the $5 region. After walking through a more recent drawdown “going back to the top of the Trump pump to where we’re at now,” he said a “full extension gets us pretty close… around $4.88,” adding that the $5 zone shows “a lot of different signs of confluence.”

“For me, I’m going to say my conservative estimate for ADA is going to be that $5 range,” he said. Then he went straight to the headline number: “I think ADA gets up there around 10 bucks during this bull run.”

To make the comparison feel less abstract, Quantum Ascend argued the current chop looks structurally similar to a prior period before ADA’s last breakout — a fractal-style read. “You guys notice the similarities here?” he asked, describing how both moves get “stopped out a little bit above the 0.5,” roll over, then revisit the lower trendline before pushing back to the top of the range.

And then he widened the lens beyond Cardano, tossing in a fairly aggressive macro view that sits underneath the bullish alt targets. “I honestly, guys, across the board right now, I believe that these corrections are coming to an end,” he said. “I think we have a blow off top in stock markets, in crypto and all of that coming.”

But he also stressed he’s not married to a long-duration “supercycle” narrative. “I am not a long-term bull,” he said. “I am not [predicting a] Bitcoin super cycle to $400K.” His current bitcoin top, he added, is $155,000 — and he expects alts to “severely outperform” in the final leg before “it’s all over.”

On the math side, Quantum Ascend framed $10.40 as big, but not absurd in a market that has already produced outsized multiples. “If we were to get that 1040, 25X, right?” he said, comparing it to prior cycles where ADA saw moves he pegged at “168X” and “75X.”

“So we’re just talking about a 25er,” he added. “Not that crazy when you put it into perspective.”

At press time, ADA traded at $0.4022.

Cardano is about to end the week with a complex mix of technical pressure, token fallout, and shifting sentiment, as ADA struggles to break beyond its familiar resistance zone.

The market is attempting to digest a sharp correction triggered by wider macro moves, while internal ecosystem developments offer little support. For now, ADA’s direction continues to depend on how well it can hold established support, particularly as market mood turns more cautious.

NIGHT Token Crash Adds Pressure to ADA’s Decline

ADA’s 2% drop to around $0.42 arrived just as the broader market reacted to the recent Federal Reserve rate cut. The decline pushed Cardano below the $0.45 level, a zone it has struggled to reclaim, placing renewed focus on its next support levels.

A major driver of the negative sentiment was the steep decline of Midnight Network’s NIGHT token, which fell roughly 90% from an early surge to $1.50 before settling near $0.05. The sell-off was largely driven by airdrop recipients offloading their allocations immediately after launch.

Despite earlier expectations around Midnight’s debut, the rapid reversal highlighted the speculative nature of the event. Market data also shows that 54% of active positions are leaning short, signaling that traders expect further downside.

Key Support Levels Hold, but Momentum Remains Weak

Cardano’s ADA is now trading near the lower edge of its established range, testing support between $0.42 and $0.43.

Analysts note that this area aligns with a broader weekly support cluster that stretches toward the $0.38–$0.39 region. Technical readings reinforce a cautious outlook, the MACD continues to trend bearish, while the RSI sits near 40, approaching oversold territory.

Traders are watching to see if ADA can stabilize above $0.42. A breakdown could expose the next lower supports, while a reclaim of the $0.45 zone would be required to shift momentum toward $0.48–$0.50.

Despite a recent $750 million inflow to Binance, the market absorbed the volume with limited price reaction, suggesting demand remains modest.

Social sentiment across major crypto forums has turned noticeably cautious. Conversations remain active, but the tone reflects trader fatigue as ADA continues to struggle against the same resistance.

With no new updates from core Cardano development efforts, including Hydra scaling, Mithril upgrades, or governance milestones, market participants have shifted their focus to external forces, such as BTC’s price direction and overall risk appetite.

ADA trades around $0.41–$0.42 at the time of writing, holding its range but without clear signs of a breakout. Until a fresh catalyst emerges, Cardano is likely to remain in a consolidation phase, with sentiment triggered more by broader market trends than internal progress.

Cover image from ChatGPT, ADAUSD chart from Tradingview

Cardano is finally doing the unsexy but absolutely necessary plumbing work: getting serious, external oracle infrastructure wired in, with a governance wrapper that looks a lot more like “adult supervision” than the old ad-hoc ecosystem scramble.

On a Dec. 11 livestream, Charles Hoskinson said the ecosystem’s new “Pentad” structure — the coordination bloc spanning Input Output, the Cardano Foundation, EMURGO, the Midnight Foundation, and Intersect — has approved its first major integration under the “critical integrations” framework: bringing Pyth’s Lazer oracle to Cardano, with deployment targeted for early 2026.

Pyth Deal Kicks Off Cardano’s Critical Integrations Push

“This is the appetizer announcement,” Hoskinson said, framing Pyth as the first of what he expects to be a broader menu: bridges, stablecoins, analytics, custodians — the stuff that turns a chain into a DeFi venue people actually build on, not just a community that argues about roadmaps.

Hoskinson didn’t really sugarcoat why this matters. “Oracles are really the first part of major integrations,” he said, because you need reliable data coming in and you need credible pathways to the rest of the industry. He also admitted the in-house approach hasn’t landed the way it should’ve: Cardano “tried to build an indigenous oracle solution and it hasn’t worked out as well as it should.” So […] Pyth. That’s the pivot.

Pyth, in its own marketing, has been pushing Lazer as an ultra-low latency product designed for speed-sensitive trading use cases — basically, price updates fast enough that perps and other twitchy DeFi apps don’t feel like they’re operating on last cycle’s data. Hoskinson called Pyth “one of the most advanced Oracle solutions on market,” and emphasized the practical angle: lots of feeds, lots of publishers, and broad distribution across chains.

Intersect’s announcement (the one Hoskinson pulled up mid-stream) from X states: “One of the first concrete outcomes of the Critical Cardano Integrations workstream is now in place! The Steering Committee […] has approved the first major integration under this framework: bringing Pyth Lazer oracle to Cardano. Pyth provides low-latency, institutional-grade market data across thousands of price feeds spanning crypto, equities, FX, commodities and ETFs, already used by hundreds of DeFi applications across 100+ blockchains to power trading, lending and risk management.”

Hoskinson argued, “[Pyth] effectively attaches Cardano now to the information networks of the entire cryptocurrency space.” He said the team is already exploring whether it can switch parts of the ecosystem — including Djed — over to Pyth, and he wants Cardano dapp teams to seriously evaluate the integration once it’s available.

“Pyth is just the appetizer in the Cardano critical integrations,” he said. “There are many more things to come.”

The broader context is that Cardano’s new “Pentad” has been positioning “critical integrations” as a coordinated, treasury-backed effort to “prime Cardano for 2026,” including a budget proposal tied to ecosystem-wide enablers. If Pyth is the first concrete output, it’s also a signal the Pentad model is going to be judged on execution, not vibes.

Hoskinson, closing out, put it in his usual rally language: “Cardano is not an island anymore […] the cavalry has come.” The market can do what it wants in the short term. But getting credible oracle rails in place is the kind of boring upgrade that tends to matter later — when teams are deciding where to deploy, and where liquidity is willing to live.

At press time, ADA traded at $0.4253.

Key takeaways

• Cardano’s ADA is down 10% in the last 24 hours and is now trading at $0.415.
• The coin could bounce back to the $0.50 region as the $0.40 support level holds.

ADA is the worst performer among the top 10 cryptocurrencies by market cap, losing 10% of its value in the last 24 hours. The bearish performance comes amid the Fed’s interest rate and declining Open Interest.

However, on-chain data suggests that Cardano could recover soon and rally higher in the near term. 

Derivatives data adds to ADA’s woes

Data obtained from CoinGlass reveals a 13% drop in Cardano futures Open Interest (OI) over the last 24 hours to $725.61 million. The decline in OI suggests a massive drop in active positions, including both longs and shorts, indicating that traders are not interested in the cryptocurrency at the moment. 

With the risk-off sentiment, ADA’s funding rate has dropped to 0.0019% from the 0.0047% recorded on Wednesday, suggesting a decline in bullish sentiment. 

Furthermore, the short positions account for 54.62% of all active positions in the last 24 hours by press time, indicating that traders are more bearish about ADA’s price action. 

Despite the decline in the derivatives data, on-chain data obtained from Santiment shows that transactions reached a nine-month high of 4.11 billion ADA on Tuesday. The increase in on-chain activity could boost ADA’s price in the short to medium term. 

Finally, the daily active addresses have also hit a four-month high of 34,229, indicating renewed interest in the Cardano network. 

Cardano could break out above $0.50 soon

The ADA/USD 4-hour chart is bullish and efficient, with an MSU (Market Shift) structure formed on this timeframe. The technical indicators remain bearish but could soon switch bullish as ADA holds the $0.40 support level. 

The RSI of 36 shows that ADA is still within the bearish territory. However, the MACD lines are within the positive territory, indicating a growing bullish bias. 

If the trend reverses, ADA could rally towards the $0.50 resistance level over the next few hours or days. The breakout rally could push Cardano prices to $0.6069, a level marked by the November 11 high.

However, failure to reverse could see ADA retest the December 1 low of $0.3707 over the next few hours or days.

The post ADA holds above the $0.40 support, eyes the $0.50 psychological level appeared first on CoinJournal.

• Cardano price rose more than 11% as bulls touched the highest level in over three weeks.
• Gains came as Bitcoin rebounded to $92,000 and as Cardano cheered two key developments.
• The uptick to $0.47 could allow bulls to target the crucial $0.50 mark and higher in coming weeks.

Cardano topped the list of 24-hour gainers on Wednesday, with the token’s price jumping more than 11% as bulls looked to build on gains seen on December 9, 2025.

Those gains saw ADA touch its highest level since November 19 and came amid a broader crypto market rebound.

As Bitcoin flirted with resistance above $92,000, ADA price jumped to a high of $0.48.

Bulls are currently hovering at this level, with momentum helped by Cardano’s Midnight launch and ADA’s inclusion in the Bitwise crypto 10 ETF index.

These developments have fueled optimism among investors, positioning Cardano for a potential breakout as it seeks to reclaim critical price levels.

Cardano gains 11% as bulls touch $0.48

The Cardano token led op gainers across the top 100 coins by market cap.

ADA’s uptick in the previous session extended to early trading on December 10 as an 11% push over 24 hours helped prices climb to $0.48.

Bitcoin’s resilience has helped bulls. However, pivotal drivers of this upward momentum included the recent launch of Midnight.

The privacy-focused sidechain integrated with Cardano has its token trading on multiple exchanges as privacy coins show upward potential.

Midnight, which debuted on December 8, 2025, leverages zero-knowledge proofs and the Hydra scaling solution.

Its launch has sparked enthusiasm, including from Charles Hoskinson, founder of Cardano.

Hoskinson celebrated the milestone on X, stating, “Congratulations Midnight.”

Congratulations Midnight https://t.co/MsdgiQyCoW

— Charles Hoskinson (@IOHK_Charles) December 9, 2025

The positive sentiment surrounding Midnight, combined with the market’s bullish turn, provided tailwinds for ADA.

Further boosting the price surge earlier in the week is Cardano’s inclusion in the Bitwise 10 Crypto Index ETF (BITW), launched on December 9, 2025.

BITW trades on the New York Stock Exchange and saw its assets under management (AUM) hit $1.25 billion on December 9, and allocates 0.65% of its holdings to ADA.

Cardano price outlook: breakout above $0.50 next?

ADA’s recent gains mean bulls could target the $0.50 mark, a level below which bears accelerated the downward pressure in mid-November.

The breach saw prices hit lows of $0.37 before staging a robust recovery that initially faded to around $0.45.

Amid the broader crypto market’s upward trajectory, buyers have pierced the supply wall, and technical indicators suggest a potential pump to the $0.50 threshold.

Technical analysis highlights a positive Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator.

MACD on the daily chart shows a bullish crossover, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has crossed above the critical 50 level.

In the event of a breakout, the key level to watch might be the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) currently at $0.83.

As Cardano capitalizes on its technological advancements and institutional backing, the next target in a rallying market will be $1.00.

The cryptocurrency last reached this level in March 2025, when ADA exploded over 70% in a day to jump from around $0.65 to near $1.20.

The post Cardano price: why 11% spike puts ADA on breakout lane appeared first on CoinJournal.

Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson has declared Midnight officially launched, describing it as the “first fourth generation cryptocurrency” and claiming it has already become “a billion dollar ecosystem heading to a $10 billion ecosystem.”

In a December 9 livestream from Colorado, recorded after he was forced to cancel an appearance at Abu Dhabi Finance Week due to severe food poisoning and a jet malfunction, Hoskinson framed the launch as both a technical milestone and an ideological statement about how cryptocurrencies should be built and distributed.

Cardano Founder Touts Midnight’s Fair Launch

Despite saying he had “not eaten in two days” and was “a little faded,” the Cardano founder focused on the scale and duration of the effort behind Midnight. “We worked on it for six years,” he said, noting “many false starts” and several technology changes before the team converged on “a roadmap and a technology stack that we feel is going to be the tech stack of the future.” Midnight’s rollout, he stressed, is structured in four phases, with the project now “in the very first phase” of that plan.

The next stage, according to the Cardan founder, will significantly expand Midnight’s capabilities. Over the coming months, the team intends to bring up a federated mainnet and an incentivized testnet, then activate “hybrid DApps with each ecosystem.”

He said “the next nine months is going to be a lot of fun” but also “a lot of work for all of us,” pointing to features such as “true hybrid applications, true multi-resource consensus, [and] true post-quantum folding schemes” that aim to “advance the state-of-the-art of all of the zero knowledge stacks.” The overarching goal, he argued, is “creating a natural easy way for people [to] get their privacy back.”

Privacy and chain-agnostic interoperability are at the core of how Hoskinson positioned Midnight. He said users are “starting to realize and starting to wake up that their privacy is not a guarantee and it’s not a given,” and criticized existing systems as “designed from the ground up to take your privacy from you.”

Midnight, by contrast, is framed as infrastructure that can be used by “every single blockchain in the space.” “What makes Midnight so special is the fact that Midnight is for everyone,” he said. “It has equal application to Solana users and Avalanche users and Ethereum users and Binance users and Cardano users and Bitcoin users and everyone else in between.”

The Cardano repeatedly emphasized distribution and launch mechanics as a deliberate rejection of the venture-driven model that dominates much of the industry. He highlighted that Midnight was brought to market “in a completely decentralized way” with “no ICO, no insiders, no VC participation.”

The outcome, in his view, is that “every single user enjoys the fact that it had a fair launch and a fair distribution and every single person was on equal footing through the Glacier Drop, the Scavenger Hunt, and now the exchange distributions.”

On that basis, he argued that “it’s still possible in 2025 to launch a cryptocurrency the way Satoshi did it” and “still possible to build something with vision and values where we can do better and not hand the world over to centralized actors, the finance of old.”

Hoskinson Warns Of Regulatory Overreach

He also used the Midnight launch to issue a broader warning about regulation and the direction of the industry if privacy-preserving infrastructure is not defended. “Right now the laws are being written. They’re written the wrong way,” he said. “If the rulemaking is done the wrong way, every single thing that makes cryptocurrency special will be taken from us.”

Hoskinson rejected a future where “only custodial wallets” exist, “every single person has to be KYC and AML,” and “only five or 10 protocols are pre-selected” and “armchair controlled by a small cabal of international bankers.” Instead, he said, “I want to live in a world where the protocols preserve and protect your rights as a human, your agency as a human, your economic identity as a human.”

Hoskinson described Midnight as “probably the fastest growing and most vocal project we’ve ever built,” pointing to “hundreds of ambassadors” coming online and a rapidly filling Discord, which he framed as a gathering point for those who believe in “freedom of association, commerce, and expression.”

He ended with a direct call to action: “I want you to join the Discord. I want you to become an ambassador and tell each and every person that we can do better. And I want you to build on Midnight.” Whatever network developers come from, he said, “just build something and show the world that you can do interesting and cool things,” adding that for him and his team, “we’re in it for life.”

At press time, Cardano traded at $0.4621.

The Cardano price is at a critical juncture, with key Fibonacci levels determining potential bullish or bearish movement. Cardano (ADA) currently changes hands at $0.4258, showing a 2.2% decline in the last 24 hours.

Visit Website

Cardano tests key resistance levels with significant liquidation data showing pressure on long positions. Cardano (ADA) is currently trading at $0.4316, reflecting a 3.3% gain over the past 24 hours.

Visit Website

With 2025 almost over, the Cardano founder, Charles Hoskinson, and the broader crypto market are looking ahead to 2026 with renewed optimism for the ecosystem and the ADA price. Hoskinson has shared a strategic game plan for 2026 that could significantly transform the Cardano ecosystem and potentially even influence the value of its native token. Although ADA’s price has underperformed other top altcoins so far this year, upcoming developments and shifts in 2026 could create a better environment for a potential recovery. 

Cardano 2026 Game Plan Offers Hope For ADA Price Recovery

In a recent video posted on X, Hoskinson shared his thoughts on Cardano, offering a glimpse into the blockchain’s vision for 2026. According to the crypto founder, Cardano is preparing to enter the new year with a plan to become a powerful and exceptional blockchain network and the most relatable distribution system humanity has ever created. 

Hoskinson emphasized that achieving this vision will require significant time and effort, acknowledging that setbacks are part of building a complex system. He noted that bugs and mistakes are inevitable, but what distinguishes a successful project is how well and fast it responds and recovers. 

The Cardano founder also highlighted the importance of learning from errors and improving processes, suggesting that future obstacles will be overcome more quickly and effectively. While perfection is unattainable, Hoskinson’s statements reflect confidence in Cardano’s approach to problem-solving, adaptability, and its ongoing progress toward becoming a leading blockchain network.

While the blockchain prepares to advance, it remains uncertain if an ADA price recovery will follow. Currently, the cryptocurrency is trading at $0.449, reflecting a 63% decline this year and a 16.6% drop over the past month. Compared to other altcoins like Ethereum and Solana, which reached new all-time highs earlier this year, ADA’s underperformance has been somewhat of a puzzle, especially given its previous ecosystem developments and strong community. 

Analyst Says ADA Price Will Be Mega Bullish If It Breaks This Level

 The Cardano price has been trending downward for months; however, analysts remain bullish on the cryptocurrency. According to crypto analyst ‘Sssebi’, ADA’s next key milestone is the $0.50 resistance level. If the altcoin can successfully breach this threshold, he predicts that Cardano could enter a “mega bullish phase.”

Sssebi’s analysis highlights that despite Cardano’s price being significantly undervalued, its underlying structure still shows hints of bullishness. Breaking $0.50, therefore, could act as a psychological trigger that helps the altcoin overcome current bearishness and signal a much-anticipated recovery.

The analyst suggested that ADA’s current price of $0.44 may represent a bottom level. As a result, he recommends that traders view this low level as a potential opportunity to enter the market ahead of a potential upward surge.

• Cardano price consolidates in the $0.43 region after double-digit gains in 24 hours.
• ADA is near the middle point of a key downtrend channel.
• With potential tailwinds in the offing, can ADA price see another leg up?

Cardano (ADA) remains the ninth-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalisation, with bulls keeping the token anchored above $0.40.

The latest rebound toward $0.43 after briefly slipping below that mark last week has revived optimism, reinforcing expectations of a potential push higher.

A decisive move above $0.50 will likely depend on broader market sentiment, continued strength in Bitcoin and renewed inflows into altcoins.

On the flip side, any deterioration in risk appetite or renewed selling pressure across majors could stall ADA’s momentum in the near term.

With the altcoin posting double-digit gains in the past 24 hours, traders are watching its intraday structure closely to gauge whether the current bounce can extend into a more convincing breakout.

Cardano price jumps above $0.43

In the early hours of December 3, 2025, ADA surged by more than 10%.

Most of these came within a 12-hour window that also saw Solana, Sui and Ethena rank as top gainers.

ADA climbed from an intraday low near $0.398 to a high of $0.446 on major exchanges.

Trading volume spiked by more than 67% compared to the previous 24-hour period, reaching over $1 billion.

Accompanied by price gains, this signalled renewed investor interest.

The recovery aligns with broader positive sentiment in the cryptocurrency market.

Fresh inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs and growing institutional adoption narratives have added to macro expectations to buoy altcoins.

Increased bullish momentum could push the token’s value higher.

ADA price key hurdles: technical outlook

Despite the encouraging rebound, several technical obstacles remain before a sustainable bullish breakout can be confirmed.

On the daily timeframe, ADA continues to trade within a multi-month descending channel that began after the local top near $0.89 in October 2025.

The upper boundary of this channel currently sits around $0.465–$0.48.

Cardano price hovers below the middle point, and declines have coincided with the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) , which is dipping.

This widely watched gauge of short-term trend currently has its resistance focused around $0.53.

A decisive daily close above $0.48 would be required to invalidate the prevailing bearish structure.

If this happens, ADA will target the 50-EMA, with immediate resistance at $0.59 and the $0.68 zone.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart has climbed up from oversold territory.

However, it remains below the neutral threshold, leaving room for uncertainty.

Yet, decisive action may benefit from the bullish momentum of the Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator.

Bulls will mainly target that spot where the 50-day EMA and the upper trendline of the aforementioned channel show potential convergence.

On the flipside, a failure to hold $0.40 on a closing basis would expose ADA to a retest of $0.30.

The post Cardano touches $0.43 again, but can ADA breakout this time? appeared first on CoinJournal.

Key takeaways

• ADA has lost 7% of its value in the last seven days.
• The coin could record further losses as the market remains bearish.

ADA sheds 35% in November

ADA, the native coin of the Cardano blockchain, is up by less than 1% on Tuesday after recovering from the 6% dip on Monday. The bearish performance occurred as the  Cardano derivatives market saw a decline in traders’ interest.

According to CoinGlass, ADA futures Open Interest (OI) dropped 6.82% over the last 24 hours to $693 million. This decline suggests that investors are adopting a risk-off approach to the market.

Furthermore, the OI-weighted funding rate stands at -0.0057% suggesting increased confidence among bearish-aligned traders. Due to the current market conditions, the long-to-short ratio stands at 0.8765, with short positions building to 53.29% of all derivatives contracts over the last 24 hours.

This data suggests that there is a sell-side dominance in Cardano derivatives, with traders anticipating a decline in ADA’s price in the near term.

Will ADA close below the 2025 low?

The ADA/USD daily chart is bearish and inefficient as Cardano has underperformed in recent weeks. The coin dropped below $0.40 after losing 35% of its value in November and could dip lower over the coming days and weeks. 

The technical indicators are also bearish, with the daily RSI now at 28, indicating an oversold condition. The MACD lines are also within the negative territory, suggesting heavy selling pressure. If the RSI remains below 30, Cardano remains at risk of steeper corrections. 

If the daily candle closes below the November 21 low of $0.3876, ADA could suffer heavy losses and retest the September 16, 2024, low of $0.3264. On the upside, if the buyers regain control and ADA stays bullish above $0.3876, it could reclaim the $0.40 resistance level in the near term. 

The post Cardano risks dropping to $0.32 as bearish trend thickens appeared first on CoinJournal.