Litecoin is once again at a critical crossroads, with its long-term structure remaining intact after years of successful defenses. However, the margin for error is thin. As price hovers near key levels, $63 has emerged as the line bulls must protect. A break below it could shift momentum sharply, while holding above keeps the broader bullish structure alive and sets the stage for the next decisive move.

Structure Gives Way, Expansion Phase Begins

Columbus’s latest LTC update highlights that the multi-year compression that previously capped price action has finally resolved, resulting in a clean break of the long-term chart setup. This structural change confirms a shift from a neutral state to a clearly bullish one.

The current price action is described as a pause before expansion rather than the conclusion of the rally. In this phase, Litecoin is holding steady above old resistance levels, allowing the market to load for the next leg of the move, turning previous barriers into new support. Litecoin’s projected path forward is based on the typical behavior of expansion cycles following structural breaks. 

The strategy follows a clear three-step progression: the initial breakout, followed by the current phase of acceptance. Once the market fully accepts these new price levels, the “real move” begins, representing a phase where the most significant gains are expected to materialize.

The 9-Year Trendline That Still Controls Litecoin

Matthew Dixon highlighted the immense historical significance of the Litecoin long-term trend line. This line has acted as an unbreakable floor for nine years, with the price never closing below it. While the market has dipped under this line multiple times in the past, every attempt to break down has ultimately failed, maintaining a remarkably consistent structural defense.

Currently, the market environment is putting this nearly decade-long support to the test once again. Dixon emphasizes that we cannot rely on intra-month volatility to determine the outcome. Instead, the definitive signal rests solely on the monthly candle close. This closing price will serve as a macro-economic pivot point that dictates the primary direction for the coming months.

A successful hold above the trend line would be a powerful bullish confirmation, suggesting the long-term uptrend remains intact despite external pressures. Conversely, a confirmed close below this line would shift the narrative to bearish, marking a historic breakdown of a nine-year support system.

Specific technical triggers are also in play, particularly the $63 level. Dixon warns that falling below $63 would be devastating, as it would effectively nullify the hidden bullish divergence currently supporting the price. Given these risks, Dixon recommends exercising patience until the monthly close or ensuring strict stop losses are in place for any active trades.

The Litecoin price has seen its fair share of volatility and corrections over the past few weeks. Despite the downtrend, a crypto analyst has forecasted that LTC could be laying the groundwork for another explosive rally. He has shared a detailed technical analysis and price chart explaining why he believes Litecoin could eventually flip into a bullish position. 

Litecoin may be positioning itself for another powerful rally, as its market structure remains broadly intact. According to a recent analysis from market expert The Penguin (@ThePenguinXBT), LTC’s structure continues to point toward much higher price levels, with recent volatility and declines doing little to change the overall macro outlook. 

Litecoin Price Gets Ready For Explosive Rally

Sharing a 4-hour price chart, The Penguin gave a detailed breakdown of why he believes Litecoin is preparing for another price surge. He explained that LTC has now swept the October 10 wick, a key technical move that could signal the end of downside liquidity grabs. At the same time, the chart shows a completed five-wave move lower into what appears to be the final leg of Litecoin’s correction. 

Related Reading: Why The Litecoin Price Could Stage A 33% Rally To $110

The Penguin noted that LTC’s price had earlier stabilized within a clear horizontal range, then briefly dipped below it and quickly reclaimed that level. This rebound took place near the lower support zone around $70, where a sharp sell-off was met with strong buying pressure. As a result, price action formed a rounded recovery from the recent low, which the analyst identified as Litecoin’s final corrective wave. 

According to The Penguin, the internal structure of Litecoin’s recent move suggests two things: the final correction has been completed, or there might be one last marginal low for LTC. Either way, he emphasized that the broader setup remains strongly bullish.

The Penguin has projected that once Litecoin begins its next impulsive move, it could become difficult for the price to be pushed back into previous trading ranges. From the rounded recovery line, the chart points toward a potential move to $82. The analyst has also highlighted an upper blue resistance line above $86 as an additional upside target. If the chart setup plays out as expected, Litecoin could see its price skyrocket by more than 17% from current levels around $70.   

Analyst Sets Ambitious $1,600 Price Target For LTC

In a more recent analysis, The Penguin shared a new chart suggesting that Litecoin could be gearing up for a dramatic price rally. The chart highlights a key descending triangle pattern, traditionally known as a bearish continuation signal, especially when it forms after a downtrend. 

According to the analyst, Litecoin is attempting to break out of a multi-year descending triangle on its weekly chart, signaling the potential end of its consolidation and the start of a new bullish phase. Once this happens, The Penguin predicts that the cryptocurrency could embark on a sharp vertical rally toward $1,600.