The XRP price may be preparing for a long-overdue recovery, as a crypto analyst has just highlighted a critical area that could flip the cryptocurrency’s downward momentum into a bullish one. According to the market expert, XRP must reclaim the Ichimoku Base before it can resume its upside to new levels. 

XRP Price Recovery To Resume Above Ichimoku Base

Market analyst Xaif Crypto took to X this Thursday to deliver a fresh weekly update on XRP as the cryptocurrency enters a pivotal technical area after months of downside pressure. The accompanying chart shows price retreating from a prior peak in late 2024 and sliding back into a clearly marked demand zone in the blue box. 

According to the analyst, the recent retreat follows a clear downtrend, with lower highs pushing price back toward a previous consolidation zone. This blue-box area represents the main battleground, as prior trading activity built a base that could act as support if XRP revisits that level. 

So far, XRP appears to be stabilizing within this demand zone. Candles on the chart show hesitation and reduced selling pressure. The chart also draws attention to an Ichimoku structure, with XRP attempting to reclaim its Ichimoku Base. According to Xaif Crypto, this base will determine XRP’s next big move.

The analyst has suggested that reclaiming this level could signal a potential shift in market sentiment. He disclosed that a strong close above it could favor upside continuation, weakening the ongoing downtrend and giving buyers more room to target upper resistance levels. Conversely, Xaif Crypto predicts that a break below the Ichimoku Base would likely lead to a deeper correction for XRP, as support would be lost and selling could accelerate. 

For now, XRP sits at a make-or-break level that could decide whether it recovers from its current slump. Xaif Crypto’s chart has outlined potential targets if the cryptocurrency manages to reclaim and hold above the Ichimoku Base. Currently hovering around $1.95, XRP faces potential bullish targets at $2.09, $2.20, $2.31, and $2.45. The analyst has also highlighted that traders and investors should closely watch the weekly close for confirmation of a sustained recovery.  

Analyst Says XRP Is Planning A Major Reversal

Despite dropping below $2 earlier this week, analysts remain optimistic about XRP’s price outlook. According to market expert Crypto GVR, XRP could be attempting a major price reversal from the $1-$1.5 range. Based on his chart analysis, the analyst predicts that XRP could decline first from its current price around $1.95 to roughly $1.13 before rebounding sharply to new highs.

He has set a bullish target at $3.25. marking the next upside for XRP. If XRP were to crash to $1.13 and then surge to $3.25, this would represent a staggering 187% increase in value. 

In a sudden move, the cryptocurrency market flipped extremely bearish, causing major digital assets such as XRP to drop sharply. After days of trading above the $2 price mark, the altcoin has fallen below this level, bringing it to the key $1.80 support. While the leading altcoin continues to face heightened volatility, its derivatives market is telling a different story.

Traders Crowd Back Into The XRP Market

XRP’s price action and its derivatives market are moving in different directions as traders continue move back into the altcoin. On-chain data shows that derivatives activity is heating up, with Open Interest (OI) undergoing a sharp rise after weeks of downward performance or sluggish growth.

A crypto pundit and investor, Xaif Crypto, reported that XRP open interest has moved above its 30-day average as volatility reaches its highest level since November 2025. This rise in open interest is centered on Binance, the largest cryptocurrency exchange in the world.

As both speculative positioning and hedging activity pick up pace in reaction to broader price swings, the rise suggests a resurgence of trader activity. Furthermore, heightened volatility and rising open interest frequently indicate a turning point, when leverage is increasing, and the market is preparing for a big move.

The chart indicates that the total open interest is around $566 million against a 30-day average near $529 million. These figures suggest that new positions are steadily entering the market, not aggressively.  However, this is not the major signal of the trend. 

Currently, rising open interest volatility, with the standard deviation at its highest level in months, is the primary indicator. Meanwhile, the Z score is still moderate, sitting around the 0.57 level. Xaif Crypto stated that this development suggests cautious accumulation and growing risk without extreme leverage in the market. 

It is worth noting that these conditions typically unfold prior to a strong directional move. With the current setup, XRP has entered a more dynamic and reactive trading environment than it has seen in months, regardless of whether this surge of activity resolves into continuation or reversal.

A Steady Wave Of Capital Inflows

A recent CoinShares report from Xaif Crypto shows that XRP is still attracting fresh capital at a significant rate. Despite a volatile market condition, weekly inflows have extended, pointing to a growing confidence among investors in the leading altcoin.

In the past week, the token pulled in over $69.5 million in inflows. This figure shows that demand is persistently building beneath the surface, indicating rising accumulation rather than speculative interest. While markets have shifted toward a volatile state, fresh capital is still being rotated into XRP.

The capacity of XRP to attract investment even in slower times is becoming a more significant indicator for its medium-term prospects. As both institutional and large-scale participants flock in, this raises the discussion that a bigger move might be imminent, and these investors are positioning themselves ahead of it.