Solana failed to settle above $140 and nosedived. SOL price is now consolidating losses below $135 and might struggle to start a recovery wave.

• SOL price started a fresh decline below $136 and $135 against the US Dollar.
• The price is now trading below $135 and the 100-hourly simple moving average.
• There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $138 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken).
• The price could start a recovery wave if the bulls defend $128 or $125.

Solana Price Dips Further

Solana price failed to remain stable above $140 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL declined below the $138 and $135 support levels.

The price gained bearish momentum below $132. A low was formed at $124, and the price is now consolidating losses. The price recovered a few points and climbed above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $143 swing high to the $124 low.

Solana is now trading below $135 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $134 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $143 swing high to the $124 low.

The next major resistance is near the $136 level. The main resistance could be $138. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $138 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. A successful close above the $138 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $144. Any more gains might send the price toward the $150 level.

Another Decline In SOL?

If SOL fails to rise above the $133 resistance, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $129 zone. The first major support is near the $125 level.

A break below the $125 level might send the price toward the $120 support zone. If there is a close below the $120 support, the price could decline toward the $112 support in the near term.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is losing pace in the bearish zone.

Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $129 and $125.

Major Resistance Levels – $133 and $138.

A year after reaching its all-time high (ATH), Solana (SOL) is trading 54.3% below its $293 2025 milestone, attempting to hold a crucial zone as support. Some analysts warned that the altcoin could risk a deeper correction if the price fails to recover the recently lost ground.

Solana Breaks Below Key Support

On Sunday, Solana recorded an 8% pullback and hit a two-week low of $130. Since losing the $200 phycological barrier in late October, the cryptocurrency has struggled to hold bullish momentum, hovering between the $115-$145 levels over the past three months.

The start-of-the-year rally saw SOL break out of its multi-month downtrend, reclaim the upper zone of its local range, and briefly breach above the key $145 resistance last week. However, Sunday’s market pullback has sent Solana back below key areas.

Amid this performance, market observer BitGuru affirmed in an X analysis that the cryptocurrency “just swept liquidity into a strong demand zone after a clean structure breakdown.”

He explained that the price is attempting to rebound from its local support area, which could trigger a “sharp relief move toward previous highs” if the price can hold the current levels.

Meanwhile, analyst Man of Bitcoin noted that the altcoin’s price broke below its two-week ascending trendline, which had been supporting its 17% surge from its yearly opening. Moreover, it also dropped below the $136 mark, where the price had consistently bounced after the recent breakout.

The market observer pointed out that Solana’s short-term support sits between the $129-$136 area, adding that a breach and sustained breakdown from this area would spell trouble for the cryptocurrency.

According to the chart, if selling pressure persists and Solana fails to reclaim the recently lost ground, the price could see a scenario where it retraces deeper and potentially falls up to 25% to challenge the $100 area.

Analysts Warn Of Head And Shoulder Pattern

Other market watchers highlighted a macro pattern on Solana’s chart, suggesting that a breakdown to new lows could be coming. Notably, the altcoin displays a two-year Head and Shoulders formation in the weekly timeframe.

According to the chart, this bearish pattern has been forming since 2024, with the left shoulder developing during the Q1-Q2 2024 rally and the neckline sitting around the $120 area.

Meanwhile, the pattern’s head formed during its late 2024 and early 2025 bullish run, which led to its ATH of $293 a year ago. Lastly, the right shoulder developed after the Q3 2025 rally and Q4 correction.

Based on this performance, trader Slashology affirmed that Solana is “really looking bad here,” warning that investors should “prepare for the worst” as the price trades near the pattern’s neckline.

He forecasted that a breakdown from this key level could lead to a 35%-40% “bloodbath” toward the $75-$80 levels. On the contrary, market observer Crypto Curb suggested a different outcome could be possible.

In an X post, he compared SOL’s recent performance to the S&P 500 (SPX) price action between 2009 and 2011. Per the post, SPX displayed the same pattern as Solana, but ultimately invalidated the pattern after bouncing from the neckline and breaking above the right shoulder’s peak, eventually reaching new highs.

To the analyst, the altcoin could display a similar performance if it rebounds from the current levels and starts to climb higher.

As of this writing, Solana is trading at $134, a 5.6% decline in the daily timeframe.

Solana failed to settle above $145 and nosedived. SOL price is now consolidating losses below $135 and might decline further below $130.

• SOL price started a fresh decline below $138 and $135 against the US Dollar.
• The price is now trading below $135 and the 100-hourly simple moving average.
• There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $140 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken).
• The price could start a recovery wave if the bulls defend $132 or $130.

Solana Price Dips Again

Solana price failed to remain stable above $142 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL declined below the $140 and $138 support levels.

The price gained bearish momentum below $135. A low was formed at $130, and the price is now consolidating losses. The price recovered a few points and climbed above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $143 swing high to the $130 low.

Solana is now trading below $135 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $135 level. The next major resistance is near the $136 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $143 swing high to the $130 low.

The main resistance could be $140. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $140 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. A successful close above the $140 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $144. Any more gains might send the price toward the $150 level.

Another Decline In SOL?

If SOL fails to rise above the $136 resistance, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $132 zone. The first major support is near the $130 level.

A break below the $130 level might send the price toward the $122 support zone. If there is a close below the $122 support, the price could decline toward the $115 support in the near term.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is gaining pace in the bearish zone.

Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $132 and $130.

Major Resistance Levels – $136 and $140.

Solana failed to stay above $146 and corrected gains. SOL price is now trading below $145 and might find bids near the $140 zone.

• SOL price started a downside correction below $145 against the US Dollar.
• The price is now trading below $145 and the 100-hourly simple moving average.
• There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $141 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken).
• The pair could extend losses if it dips below the $140 zone.

Solana Price Starts Downside Correction

Solana price failed to surpass $150 and started a downside correction, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL dipped below $146 and $145 to enter a short-term bearish zone.

There was a move below the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the $138 swing low to the $149 high. However, the bulls are active above $140. Besides, there is a bullish trend line forming with support at $141 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair.

Solana is now trading below $145 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. On the upside, the price is facing resistance near the $144 level. The next major resistance is near the $146 level. The main resistance could be $148. A successful close above the $148 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $155. Any more gains might send the price toward the $162 level.

More Losses In SOL?

If SOL fails to rise above the $146 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $141 zone and the trend line. The first major support is near the $140 level and the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the $138 swing low to the $149 high.

A break below the $140 level might send the price toward the $132 support zone. If there is a close below the $132 support, the price could decline toward the $124 support in the near term.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is gaining pace in the bearish zone.

Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $141 and $140.

Major Resistance Levels – $146 and $148.

Solana started a fresh increase above the $142 zone. SOL price is now consolidating above $142 and might aim for more gains above the $150 zone.

• SOL price started a fresh upward move above the $142 and $145 levels against the US Dollar.
• The price is now trading above $142 and the 100-hourly simple moving average.
• There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $140 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken).
• The pair could extend gains if it clears the $150 resistance zone.

Solana Price Starts Fresh Surge

Solana price started a decent increase after it settled above the $135 zone, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL climbed above the $140 level to enter a short-term positive zone.

The price even smashed the $142 resistance. The bulls were able to push the price above $145. A high was formed at $148, and the price is now consolidating gains. There was a minor decline below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent upward move from the $138 swing low to the $148 high.

Solana is now trading above $142 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. Besides, there is a bullish trend line forming with support at $140 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair.

On the upside, the price is facing resistance near $148. The next major resistance is near the $150 level. The main resistance could be $155. A successful close above the $155 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $162. Any more gains might send the price toward the $170 level.

Downside Correction In SOL?

If SOL fails to rise above the $148 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $144 zone. The first major support is near the $143 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent upward move from the $138 swing low to the $148 high.

A break below the $143 level might send the price toward the $140 support zone and the trend line. If there is a close below the $140 support, the price could decline toward the $135 support in the near term.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is gaining pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $144 and $140.

Major Resistance Levels – $148 and $150.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and XRP are at the center of a clear capital rotation unfolding across the crypto market, as investors scale back exposure to the largest assets while reallocating capital into selective alternatives. The latest CoinShares Digital Asset Fund Flows Weekly Report (Volume 268) captures this shift through hard fund-flow data, highlighting deliberate institutional repositioning.

Bitcoin And Ethereum See Heavy Withdrawals As Capital Rotates

Digital asset investment products recorded $454 million in net outflows over the latest reporting week, a move linked to weakening expectations for near-term US Federal Reserve rate cuts. As macro conditions tightened, capital moved defensively, pressuring risk assets across the board.

Bitcoin accounted for the overwhelming share of redemptions. BTC investment products saw $405 million in outflows, reinforcing the idea that investors are reducing exposure where liquidity is deepest and allocations are largest. Ethereum followed with $116 million in outflows, confirming that selling pressure remains concentrated in core holdings rather than across the entire asset class.

The regional breakdown sharpens this picture. The United States recorded $569 million in outflows, making it the dominant source of capital withdrawal during the week. In contrast, other regions remained selectively constructive. Germany posted $58.9 million in inflows, while Canada added $24.5 million and Switzerland recorded $21 million, pointing to regional divergence rather than a synchronized global retreat.

Flows by product and provider further reinforce this trend. Multi-asset investment products saw $21 million in outflows, indicating reduced appetite for broad crypto exposure. Binance-linked products lost $3.7 million, while Aave-related products recorded $1.7 million in outflows, showing that pressure extended beyond just Bitcoin and Ethereum-linked vehicles.

Solana And XRP Capture Inflows Amid Market Repositioning

While headline flows were negative, capital did not exit crypto entirely. Instead, it rotated. XRP led alternative asset inflows with $45.8 million, standing out as the strongest performer during the week. Solana followed closely with $32.8 million in inflows, continuing a pattern of steady institutional accumulation.

These inflows are notable because they occurred during a week of broad net outflows, suggesting intentional reallocation rather than indiscriminate risk-off behavior. Investors appeared willing to maintain crypto exposure, but only where they perceived stronger relative upside or differentiated fundamentals. Solana’s inflows reflect confidence in its ecosystem growth and transaction throughput, while XRP’s gains point to improving sentiment around its positioning and use-case clarity.

Smaller assets also saw selective interest. Sui recorded $7.6 million in inflows, reinforcing the theme that capital is being redeployed with precision rather than withdrawn wholesale.

The numbers draw a clear conclusion. Bitcoin and Ethereum are increasingly treated as macro-sensitive anchors within crypto portfolios, absorbing most of the downside when conditions tighten. Solana and XRP, by contrast, are emerging as tactical allocation targets. If this rotation persists, market leadership could shift away from incumbents toward assets perceived to offer better capital efficiency, reshaping short-term market structure without undermining crypto’s broader institutional footprint.

Solana’s price has delivered a slight rebound as the broader crypto market gradually shifts towards a bullish outlook. Although the price of SOL may be demonstrating strength once again, its future trajectory is largely tied to the performance of the leading network in the days ahead.

Network Performance Becomes The Key Catalyst For Solana’s Price

Following a slight bounce on Monday, Solana is back above the $140 price mark. However, on-chain data suggests that the altcoin is nearing a turning point where its next significant price change may depend more on how well its network functions going forward than on market sentiment.

This thesis was outlined by Santiment, a leading market intelligence and on-chain data platform, after examining the correlation between SOL’s current price movement and its network activity. With price spikes coinciding with reduced network activity, the focus is now on the blockchain’s ability to maintain that momentum.

Santiment highlighted that as ongoing market volatility cools off, the price of SOL experienced a leg up as high as $144, drawing dangerously close to breaking past its $145 resistance level. While the price remains below the key resistance level, the altcoin awaits its next major catalyst in order to clear this level.

According to the on-chain platform, this will mostly depend on whether SOL network growth can start to increase once more, drawing attention to its fading new wallet creation. Data shows that the number of new wallet addresses created in a weekly timeframe has dropped significantly over the last few weeks.

In contrast to the prior optimistic moments, when new addresses were generated at record rates, accompanied by soaring trading and meme-coin activity, the slowdown represents a significant change.

As of November 2024, the number of weekly wallet addresses created was approximately 30.2 million. Fast forward to today, and the figure has fallen sharply, sitting at about 7.3 million. This massive drop in wallet creation signals a growing cooling phase in user onboarding across the SOL network. 

SOL Maintaining Large Daily Transactions

New wallet addresses may have reduced significantly, but Solana’s transaction scale remains robust. Despite fluctuations in the overall market momentum, SOL maintains a remarkably high level of daily transactions, demonstrating the power of its network.

In a recent report from Solana Daily on the X platform, it was revealed that the network has persistently carried out more than 60 million transactions every day for the past 750 days. This consistency demonstrates the chain’s widespread use in Decentralized Finance (DeFi), Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs), payments, and high-throughput applications that depend on its affordability and speed.

An interesting aspect of this growth is that the network has maintained zero uptime within the timeframe, reinforcing its position as a reliable hub for on-chain activity. Currently, Solana is supported by real usage rather than just speculative spikes, which increases network efficiency.

On-chain data shows the Network Growth indicator has continued to fall for Solana recently, a sign that adoption of the asset has remained weak.

Solana Network Growth Has Been Declining

According to data from on-chain analytics firm Santiment, SOL’s recent price recovery has come despite a drop in the Network Growth. This metric measures the weekly total number of addresses that are coming online on the blockchain for the first time. A wallet comes “online” on the network when it participates in some kind of transfer activity. Thus, the wallets that the Network Growth is counting are the ones that are making their first transaction on the network.

When the value of the Network Growth is high, it means that a large number of addresses are being created on the blockchain. Such a trend can be a sign that an influx of users is occurring. On the other hand, the indicator being low suggests that there isn’t much new address generation taking place on the network, which can be a potential indication that the chain isn’t attracting fresh investors.

Now, here is the chart shared by Santiment that shows the trend in the Solana Network Growth over the last couple of years:

As displayed in the above graph, the Solana Network Growth has witnessed a drawdown recently, despite the fact that the SOL price has made some recovery since its December low. This suggests that the bullish price action has been unable to bring fresh attention to the cryptocurrency.

Historically, rallies have generally needed the incoming of new investors to be sustainable, as it’s the increased trading activity that provides them with the fuel to go on.

In the chart, Santiment has highlighted the case of a rally where this requirement wasn’t met. The Network Growth was initially at a significant level, but as this price surge from 2025 played out, the metric’s value plummeted. This could be a potential factor behind the rally eventually running out of momentum.

In late 2024, the opposite conditions were present, as the Network Growth shot up alongside the Solana bull run, implying adoption backed the price appreciation. Considering these past cases, it’s possible that the indicator might have to reverse its trajectory if SOL’s recovery has to last.

The latest downward move in the Network Growth is also not the only development SOL is dealing with right now. From the graph, it’s visible that the indicator has gone through a long-term downtrend since its high in November 2024.

Back then, the metric had a value of 30.2 million, but today, the figure has dropped to just 7.3 million. It now remains to be seen whether the long decline in the adoption of Solana will continue or if a turnaround will appear.

SOL Price

Solana recovered back to $144 on Sunday, but the coin has retraced to open the week as its price is back at $139.

Solana’s price action is sending a clear message: the correction may not be finished yet. While buyers continue to show up at key levels, the broader structure still points to the possibility of one final downside test before a sustainable move higher can take shape. 

Wave IV Still Unfinished As C-Wave Pressure Persists

Crypto analyst More Crypto Online, in a recent update, explained that Solana’s chart structure still points to the possibility of another downside move before the ongoing correction is fully completed. Within the orange scenario, price action continues to align with a C-wave decline in a broader wave IV correction, keeping the corrective outlook valid as long as the structure remains non-impulsive.

Even when viewed through the alternative white scenario, the current pullback can still be classified as an A-wave, which leaves room for another low before a B-wave recovery begins or before a potential fifth wave to the upside develops. In both interpretations, the analyst noted that the correction may not yet be finished.

From a short-term perspective, the chart suggests that Solana could drift lower into the $81 to $90 region. Currently, there are no clear structural signals indicating an immediate bullish continuation, as the absence of impulsive upside movement keeps downside scenarios firmly in play.

However, if prices were to turn higher from current levels without setting a new low, the broader structure since January 2025 would start to resemble a triangular consolidation rather than a completed wave IV. This alternative setup would imply extended sideways movement instead of a rapid trend resumption. Until stronger upside momentum appears, the focus remains on the risk of one more corrective low.

Controlled Reaction At The 50% Fibonacci Signals Solana Buyer Strength

AltCoin Việt Nam stated that Solana’s current price action is showing a strong and reassuring reaction around the 50% Fibonacci level. Instead of breaking down aggressively, the price has been rebounding in a controlled manner, suggesting that buyers are still maintaining influence. From a wave-structure perspective, wave IV does not appear to be rushing toward completion, leaving room for wave C to extend further if the market continues to move in line with the broader rhythm.

Adding to the bullish bias is the ongoing ETF narrative surrounding Solana. Spot SOL inflows are not arriving in a FOMO-driven manner, but rather through steady accumulation across several sessions. This type of capital flow often reflects longer-term positioning rather than short-term speculation, which explains why the price tends to rebound quickly whenever it revisits key support zones.

That said, the outlook is not without invalidation. A sustained move below the 50% Fibonacci level would signal that the current structure has broken down. However, the analyst views the recent pauses as temporary breathers within a broader upward structure, rather than the beginning of a meaningful downtrend.