Crypto analyst CryptoWzrd, in a recent Chainlink daily technical outlook, noted that the candle closed slightly bearish, but the overall structure remains constructive and pushes toward the key $16.00 resistance, where momentum could shift quickly. According to the analyst, a retest of the $13.50 support or a break above the $15.20 resistance will be the critical trigger for the next major trade setup.

Indecisive Daily Close Sets the Stage For A Critical Trendline Test

CryptoWzrd noted that both LINK and LINKBTC closed the daily candle in an indecisive manner, reflecting uncertainty in the short-term market direction. Despite this hesitation, the broader structure remains intact, and price action is approaching a technically significant point that will play a crucial role in determining the next major move for Chainlink.

According to the analyst, LINKBTC is now testing its daily lower-high trendline. A series of bullish candles emerging from this zone would be a strong signal that buyers are re-entering the market. If this momentum builds, it is likely to spill over into Chainlink, potentially triggering an impulsive rally.

Should bullish confirmation appear, LINK could drive toward the $16 resistance level, a region that has been tested multiple times in the past. A clean breakout above $16 would open the door for a swift extension toward the next major hurdle for the bulls $20 resistance, marking a significant continuation of upward momentum.

On the downside, CryptoWzrd emphasized that the $12 level stands as the primary support. A daily close below this level would weaken the bullish structure and could signal a deeper correction. Until then, the trendline test remains a critical focal point where LINK’s uptrend will continue or reverse.

ChainLink Choppy Intraday Movement Signals Caution

Conclusively, the analyst highlighted that the intraday chart was characterized by being somewhat choppy and trading within a very tight, small range. This consolidation phase often precedes a significant directional move, but it has made short-term trading decisions challenging without a clear trigger.

The analyst defined a specific setup to watch for: a bearish pullback towards the $13.50 support level, followed by a decisive bullish reversal, would serve as the ideal trigger for a long position. Such a trade would initially target the $15.20 resistance and potentially move toward higher levels thereafter.

By confirming immediate strategic focus, the analyst stated that his attention “tomorrow will remain on the lower time frame chart development” to scout the next optimal scalp opportunity. This indicates a short-term, opportunistic trading mindset by waiting for the confined range to break or for the identified mean-reversion setup at $13.50 to play out.

Chainlink (LINK) is once again in the spotlight across the cryptosphere after the launch of the first U.S. Chainlink-focused ETF sparked a sharp price rebound and renewed institutional interest. LINK surged more than 20% in 24 hours, trading around $14.4 as volumes and market participation accelerated.

Chainlink ETF Launch Sparks Strong Market Reaction

Grayscale launched the GLNK ETF on December 2, converting its previous private Chainlink trust into a publicly traded product on NYSE Arca.

The ETF opened with zero fees and recorded more than 1.17 million shares traded on its first day, far above historical averages. Trading volume reached roughly $13.8 million, while early inflows were reported near $43 million, reflecting strong initial demand.

The ETF gives institutions regulated exposure to LINK without requiring direct token custody. With access through major platforms such as Fidelity and Robinhood, Chainlink is receiving increased visibility among traditional investors.

Grayscale currently holds about 1.3 million LINK tokens through the product. Derivatives data also shows rising interest, with LINK futures open interest climbing more than 20% and funding rates turning positive as traders add long positions.

Technical Signals Point Toward Breakout Potential

Beyond ETF-driven momentum, the LINK chart is drawing attention from technical analysts.

Several analysts have emphasized a rare four-year descending wedge pattern, typically associated with long-term compression before a breakout. LINK recently bounced from the $12.50 support level, forming higher lows and regaining key Fibonacci levels.

Momentum indicators are turning positive as well. The daily RSI has recovered to around 53, while MACD signals improving strength. LINK is now approaching the $14.96 Supertrend level and remains below the 50-day and 200-day EMAs, both key levels the market is watching for confirmation of a trend shift.

If the token holds above $13, analysts expect a possible move toward the $18–$20 resistance range. A break above these zones could open the path toward the higher targets mentioned by long-term analysts.

Crypto analyst Ali Martinez notes that LINK is currently sitting on an important long-term support trendline, which could act as a foundation for a move toward $26 and potentially $47 if momentum continues.

Rising institutional inflows, accelerating derivatives activity, and a new spot ETF creating a steady channel for capital have strengthened market expectations.

For now, traders are watching the $12–$13 support area for signs that LINK can sustain its recovery. A decisive move above $14.50–$15 would mark the next major step toward a full bullish breakout.

Cover image from ChatGPT, LINKUSD chart from Tradingview

Chainlink is approaching a decisive moment as its price compresses within a well-defined triangle structure. The pattern remains strong, but the market is signaling that a major move is imminent. Everything now hinges on a single trendline break, one that will determine whether LINK is ready to reverse higher or sink into a deeper correction.

B-Wave Extension Back In Focus: Is The Triangle Still Intact?

According to crypto analyst More Crypto Online in a recent update on Chainlink, it is crucial to step back and examine the bigger picture of the asset’s price action. The analyst believes the market is likely still extending the yellow B-wave correction. At the moment, the analyst is considering that this B-wave may be unfolding as a complex triangle pattern, as seen in the “yellow scenario.”

Despite the triangle hypothesis, the analyst emphasizes that there is currently no evidence that a definitive low has formed. To confirm a structural reversal, LINK requires a clear 1-2 setup to the upside, which would signal the start of a new impulsive trend. As stated in previous updates, a confirmed bottom hinges on a break above the first yellow trendline.

The triangle pattern, which typically unfolds as a 5-wave structure (A–B–C–D–E), remains valid for now, without a confirmed low. This pattern suggests that the price will continue to consolidate sideways, trapping both bulls and bears. 

More Crypto Online defined the critical invalidation point for the primary count. If the price were to break below the Monday, April 4th, low at $10.20, the current triangle microstructure would be entirely invalidated. Meanwhile, the broader B-wave correction would still be theoretically possible, but would likely unfold in a different structural path.

Critical Support Cluster: $10.70, $8.94, And $6.90 In Focus

More Crypto Online went further to highlight the next crucial support levels if the current triangle structure fails, which are located at $10.70, $8.94, and $6.90. The analyst cautioned that a definitive break below the $6.90 mark would significantly increase the probability of an alternative scenario for Chainlink: the unfolding of a larger degree Wave 4.

For now, the immediate focus is on how the price reacts within the key Fibonacci support zone defined by the boundaries of $6.90 and $10.70. The analyst concluded by stating the necessary condition for a structural low: the earliest sign of a reversal would be a break above the yellow trendline. Until that happens, the trendline continues to act as firm resistance, keeping the local downtrend structurally intact and signaling that caution remains necessary.