A cryptocurrency analyst has pointed out how Stellar has just seen a TD Sequential buy signal. Here’s what happened the last time the pattern surfaced.

Stellar Shot Up The Last Time A TD Buy Signal Appeared At Current Prices

In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about a Tom Demark (TD) Sequential signal that has appeared in the 1-week price of Stellar. The TD Sequential is a technical analysis (TA) indicator that’s used for pinpointing locations of probable reversal in an asset’s price.

The indicator involves two phases. In both of them, it works by counting up candles of the same polarity (that is, whether red or green) in the asset’s chart. These candles don’t have to be consecutive.

During the first phase, called the setup, this count runs until nine candles of a color are in. Once the indicator finishes the setup, the price can be assumed to have reached a potential point of turnaround. Naturally, this signal is a bullish one if the candles leading up to the setup’s completion were red. On the other hand, it’s bearish in the case of nine green candles.

As soon as the setup is over, the second phase, known as the countdown, kicks off. In this phase, the candle count runs until 13. After the countdown is over, the asset could be considered to have arrived at another reversal.

The TD Sequential has just completed the former of the two phases for Stellar. Below is the chart shared by the analyst that shows this pattern forming in the weekly XLM price.

As displayed in the graph, Stellar has formed the latest TD Sequential setup with nine red candles, implying that the downtrend may be reaching a state of exhaustion and a bullish reversal could be due for the asset.

Interestingly, this isn’t the first time that XLM has shown a TD Sequential buy signal at the current price levels during the last few months. From the chart, it’s visible that this pattern also emerged when the cryptocurrency was trading at similar levels in March. That setup in the indicator eventually led to a price surge of 95% for Stellar. Given this trend, it’s possible that the latest signal could also prove to be bullish for XLM.

Something to note, however, is that the TD Sequential setup didn’t immediately lead into the big price rally back then; it took a while of consolidation before the breakout appeared.

It now remains to be seen whether the indicator will hold for Stellar this time, and if so, how long a rally will take to appear.

XLM Price

At the time of writing, Stellar is trading around $0.243, down more than 4% over the last week.

Surging about 4% in the past 24 hours, Stellar (XLM) goes through December with a mix of optimism and caution as new payment integrations and institutional pilots draw attention back to the network’s utility.

However, despite signs of growing real-world use, XLM continues to trade near a critical long-term support level, leaving traders divided on whether the token is preparing for a recovery or facing another downward leg.

Recent activity across payments, banking pilots, and data-infrastructure upgrades show how Stellar’s ecosystem is expanding at a time when the token sits at a pivotal market position. The tension between strengthening fundamentals and fragile price structure is shaping the month’s outlook.

Rising Utility Gives Stellar a Boost

Network usage has climbed following several developments in November. Wirex activated USDC and EURC card-settlement on Stellar for more than seven million users, shifting everyday transactions onto the blockchain and increasing stablecoin throughput.

Days later, U.S. Bank began testing a programmable stablecoin on Stellar, adding an institutional layer to the network’s growing settlement activity.

The recent integration of Space and Time (SxT), which now indexes the full Stellar network and provides cryptographically verified data to institutions, also strengthens the chain’s infrastructure.

Together, these upgrades position Stellar as a functioning payments network rather than a speculative asset alone. Early market reaction has been modest, but analysts note that expanding stablecoin flows could support stronger demand for XLM over time.

Price Holds Key Support as Traders Watch $0.245

Despite the momentum in utility, XLM continues to sit at one of its most important technical zones. The token has trended downward since November 2024 and now trades just above the $0.245 horizontal support, an area that has repeatedly prevented deeper losses over the past year.

Weekly indicators remain bearish, with RSI below 50 and MACD negative, suggesting that long-term momentum still leans downward. Short-term charts show a contained bounce within an ascending channel, which analysts view as corrective rather than a new uptrend.

A decisive break below $0.245 could open the door to new lows, while holding this level would give bulls another chance to challenge overhead resistance.

Even with potential catalysts from network growth, analysts remain cautious about XLM’s ability to retest previous highs. Multiple reports highlight the $0.26–$0.27 range as the first major resistance zone, followed by a broader cluster near $0.28–$0.31.

Some forecasts suggest a possible move toward $0.31 by year-end if momentum strengthens, though this outlook carries medium confidence given the broader market’s uncertainty.

Stellar’s December narrative is supported by two opposing forces, rising real-world adoption and a price chart still struggling against long-standing resistance. Whether utility gains translate into market recovery will depend on XLM’s ability to hold its support level and reclaim key technical thresholds in the weeks ahead.

Cover image from ChatGPT, XLMUSD chart from Tradingview